NYSE: CRH ยท Construction Materials
CRH (CRH) fair value and price range
As of 3 Oct 2026, Faircurve's model values CRH (CRH) at $92.27 a share. The stock last closed at $81.94, which puts the model's fair value 12.6% above the price. The inputs behind this valuation are under review, so no verdict is shown.
- Quarterly statements on file skip whole periods, so trailing figures come from the annual statement.
Revalued . Price is the close of 2 Oct 2026. CRH plc.
What price range does the model give CRH?
The calibrated range for CRH over 63 trading days is $74.10 to $97.68. It sits around the last close, and its width comes from the volatility that CRH's own options imply (39% a year), calibrated weekly against realised prices (n = 3,330 past valuations, refreshed 26 Sep 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon. The fair value is the model's opinion and rides beside the range. It is not the centre of it.
The model's own simulated range, from the 20th to the 80th percentile of its runs, is $70.01 to $118.10. In 64% of the simulations the fair value came out above the price the model ran on.
How does CRH score on business quality?
CRH's overall quality score is 51 out of 100. Each factor below is a score against comparable companies, not a percentile of the metric beside it.
| Factor | Score (0 to 100) | Headline measure | Peer median |
|---|---|---|---|
| ProfitabilityReturn on invested capital against the peer group, with a bonus for an improving trend. | 45 | 9.9%ROIC | 11.7% |
| Earnings qualityHow much of reported profit is cash: free cash flow to net income, and the accrual ratio (the share of earnings that is not cash). | 14 | 0.78xFCF / net income | 1.03x |
| Growth qualityTrailing revenue growth, forward growth from consensus, and the direction of analyst estimate revisions. | 65 | 9.0%Revenue growth, trailing | 4.6% |
| Capital disciplineReinvestment efficiency (capital spending per unit of revenue) and net buybacks. | 85 | 2.2%Net buybacks / market value | 0.9% |
| Balance sheetNet debt to EBITDA and interest coverage. | 46 | 2.24xNet debt / EBITDA | 1.73x |
| StabilityDownside volatility of the EBITDA margin over the last five years. | 90 | 1.0 ptsEBITDA margin downside volatility, 5y | 2.5 pts |
How does CRH compare with similar companies?
The companies in construction materials closest to CRH in market value, each on the same model and the same date.
| Company | Last close | Model fair value | Gap | Model verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JCI Johnson Controls International plc | $156.24 | $149.32 | -4.4% | Low evidence grade |
| VMC Vulcan Materials Company | $243.06 | $231.20 | -4.9% | Fairly valued |
| MLM Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. | $482.27 | $398.73 | -17.3% | Overvalued |
| MAS Masco Corporation | $68.36 | $71.71 | +4.9% | Fairly valued |
| CSL Carlisle Companies Incorporated | $329.34 | $329.36 | 0.0% | Fairly valued |
| WMS Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. | $127.27 | $125.98 | -1.0% | Fairly valued |
| OC Owens Corning | $118.36 | $132.22 | +11.7% | Fairly valued |
| SPXC SPX Technologies, Inc. | $173.09 | $173.62 | +0.3% | Low evidence grade |
All construction materials stocks ranked by gap to fair value
When does CRH report earnings, and how has the stock reacted?
CRH's next earnings report is scheduled for 4 Nov 2026. Companies can move their dates.
Options prices on 2 Oct 2026 imply a move of about 5.7% in either direction through the nearest expiry, about 13 days out. That is the size the market is pricing, not a direction. CRH's 30 day implied volatility works out to about 11.2% over one month.
How CRH moved around its last 8 earnings reports
Each move runs from the last close before the report to the first close after it, so it covers companies that report before the open and after the close. The median size across these 8 reports, ignoring direction, was 2.5%.
| Report date | Two session move |
|---|---|
| 30 Jul 2026 | -4.7% |
| 30 Apr 2026 | +1.8% |
| 18 Feb 2026 | +2.8% |
| 5 Nov 2025 | -2.2% |
| 6 Aug 2025 | +9.2% |
| 5 May 2025 | -4.6% |
| 26 Feb 2025 | +1.2% |
| 7 Nov 2024 | +0.7% |
CRH at a glance
CRH plc, together with its subsidiaries, provides building materials solutions in Ireland, the United States, the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, and internationally.
- Market value
- $56.8B
- Sector
- Basic Materials
- Industry
- Construction Materials
- Revenue expected, next twelve months
- $41.5B
- Consensus revenue growth, next fiscal year
- +6.0%
- Analysts with estimates
- 9
- Beta to the US market
- 1.11
- First valued by Faircurve
- 1 May 2026
How the fair value is worked out: the model prices CRH on the value of the whole business, debt included, against the operating profit analysts expect next year (forward EV/EBITDA), runs 2,000 simulations across its inputs and takes the midpoint. The full method is documented here.
What changed in the latest valuation?
On 26 Sep 2026 the model's fair value for CRH was $94.75. As of 3 Oct 2026 it is $92.27, a change of -2.6%. The model revalues every stock it covers each week, and again after an earnings report.
Questions about CRH's valuation
Is CRH stock undervalued or overvalued?
Faircurve's model puts CRH's fair value at $92.27 a share against a last close of $81.94, as of 3 Oct 2026. The inputs behind this valuation are under review, so no verdict is shown.
What is CRH's fair value?
$92.27 a share as of 3 Oct 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The model's own 20th to 80th percentile range is $70.01 to $118.10.
What price range does the model give CRH?
$74.10 to $97.68 over 63 trading days. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time across 3,330 past valuations, refreshed 26 Sep 2026.
When does CRH report earnings next?
The next report is scheduled for 4 Nov 2026. Companies can move their dates.
How much has CRH moved on past earnings reports?
Across its last 8 reports the median two session move was 2.5%, ignoring direction. The largest was +9.2% around the report of 6 Aug 2025.
How confident is the model in this valuation?
The model's evidence grade for CRH is low. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It is not a probability that the fair value is right, or that the price reaches it.