NYSE: CXT · Industrial Machinery
Crane NXT (CXT) fair value: undervalued or overvalued?
As of 31 Oct 2026, Faircurve's model values Crane NXT (CXT) at $67.59 a share. The stock last closed at $60.04, which puts the model's fair value 12.6% above the price. On the model's bands that reads as Fairly valued.
Revalued . Price is the close of 3 Nov 2026. Crane NXT, Co.
The report adds the live price, the chart against the range the options market prices, the next earnings date and the analysts' consensus. No account needed.
This week, in three parts
What happenedThe run of 31 Oct 2026 moved the fair value from $62.81 to $67.59 (+7.6%). The companies the model compares it with now trade on higher multiples: most of the move.
What the model makes of itThe price of $60.04 is 12.6% below it: Fairly valued, on a high evidence grade.
What's nextReports on 4 Nov 2026. Options expiring after the report price a move of about 9% either way. The next weekly run is on Saturday 7 Nov 2026.
What price range does the model give CXT?
The calibrated range for CXT over 63 trading days is $53.20 to $69.65. It sits around the last close, and its width comes from the volatility that CXT's own options imply (41% a year), calibrated weekly against realised prices (n = 6,661 past valuations, refreshed 31 Oct 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon. The fair value is the model's opinion and rides beside the range. It is not the centre of it.
The model's own simulated range, from the 20th to the 80th percentile of its runs, is $52.70 to $84.35. In 69% of the simulations the fair value came out above the price the model ran on.
Faircurve Insights · 31 Oct 2026
Crane NXT, Co. (CXT) focuses on developing technologies for payment processing and merchandising. It supplies integrated electronic hardware and accompanying software solutions.
Faircurve's model put the fair value of Crane NXT at $67.59 a share on 31 Oct 2026. The previous run, on 24 Oct 2026, gave $62.81, so the fair value moved +7.6%. The model gives the reason in its own words: "The companies the model compares it with now trade on higher multiples: most of the move." The calibrated range over 63 trading days is $53.20 to $69.65. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon. The model grades the evidence High. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It does not say whether the fair value is right.
Crane NXT scores 44 out of 100 on the model's overall quality score, measured against comparable companies. Growth quality stands out at 81, with trailing revenue growth of 11.4% against a peer median of 7.1%. Capital discipline is lowest at 17, with net buybacks of 0.0% of market value against a peer median of 0.6%. The model compares the company with Mueller Water Products, Inc. (MWA), Standex International Corporation (SXI), Franklin Electric Co., Inc. (FELE), Badger Meter, Inc. (BMI), ESAB Corporation (ESAB) and The Middleby Corporation (MIDD).
Written from the figures on this page for the 31 Oct 2026 valuation and checked by rule before publishing: every number is one printed here, no forecast, no instruction. The price, the gap and the verdict are the page's own and change daily. Not a recommendation.
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When does CXT report earnings, and how has the stock reacted?
Crane NXT's next earnings report is scheduled for 4 Nov 2026. Companies can move their dates.
Options prices on 2 Nov 2026 imply a move of about 9.4% in either direction through the nearest expiry, about 17 days out, a window that includes the report. That is the size the market is pricing, not a direction. CXT's 30 day implied volatility works out to about 11.7% over one month.
Around its last 8 reports: what the options market priced, and what followed
Each move runs from the last close before the report to the first close after it, so it covers companies that report before the open and after the close. The median size across CXT's last 8 reports, ignoring direction, was 2.0%.
How does CXT score on business quality?
Crane NXT's overall quality score is 44 out of 100. Each factor below is a score against comparable companies, not a percentile of the metric beside it.
| Factor | Score (0 to 100) | Headline measure | Peer median |
|---|---|---|---|
| ProfitabilityReturn on invested capital against the peer group, with a bonus for an improving trend. | 33 | 8.6%ROIC | 11.7% |
| Earnings qualityHow much of reported profit is cash: free cash flow to net income, and the accrual ratio (the share of earnings that is not cash). | 50 | 1.42xFCF / net income | 1.43x |
| Growth qualityTrailing revenue growth, forward growth from consensus, and the direction of analysts' rating changes. | 81 | 11.4%Revenue growth, trailing | 7.1% |
| Capital disciplineReinvestment efficiency (capital spending per unit of revenue) and net buybacks. | 17 | 0.0%Net buybacks / market value | 0.6% |
| Balance sheetNet debt to EBITDA and interest coverage. | 30 | 3.64xNet debt / EBITDA | 0.85x |
| StabilityDownside volatility of the EBITDA margin over the last five years. | 33 | 2.4 ptsEBITDA margin downside volatility, 5y | 0.9 pts |
How does CXT compare with similar companies?
The companies in industrial machinery closest to Crane NXT in market value, each on the same model and the same date.
| Company | Last close | Model fair value | Gap | Model verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MWA Mueller Water Products, Inc. | $23.57 | $25.52 | +8.3% | Fairly valued |
| KAI Kadant Inc. | $282.79 | $289.38 | +2.3% | Data under review |
| SXI Standex International Corporation | $259.13 | $211.59 | -18.3% | Overvalued |
| FELE Franklin Electric Co., Inc. | $100.96 | $88.04 | -12.8% | Fairly valued |
| BMI Badger Meter, Inc. | $152.58 | $145.74 | -4.5% | Fairly valued |
| ESAB ESAB Corporation | $76.05 | $73.96 | -2.7% | Fairly valued |
| MIR Mirion Technologies, Inc. | $19.05 | $17.72 | -7.0% | Low evidence grade |
| MIDD The Middleby Corporation | $122.73 | $126.32 | +2.9% | Fairly valued |
What the comparable companies' multiples alone would give for CXT, the peer-implied price, is $90.11 a share on this run. The fair value weighs that against the company's own multiple.
Crane NXT at a glance
Crane NXT, Co. focuses its efforts on developing technologies for payment processing and merchandising. The company supplies integrated electronic hardware and accompanying software solutions.
- Market value
- $3.4B
- Sector
- Industrials
- Industry
- Industrial Machinery
- Revenue expected, next twelve months
- $2.0B
- Consensus revenue growth, next fiscal year
- +16.0%
- Analysts with estimates
- 5
- Beta to the US market
- 1.08
- First valued by Faircurve
- 11 Jul 2026
At the close of 3 Nov 2026, 52.1% of the 1,081 graded US stocks the model covers traded below the model's fair value. CXT was among them.
How the fair value is worked out: the model prices Crane NXT on the value of the whole business, debt included, against the operating profit analysts expect next year (forward EV/EBITDA), runs 2,000 simulations across its inputs and takes the midpoint. The full method is documented here.
What changed in the latest valuation?
On 24 Oct 2026 the model's fair value for CXT was $62.81. As of 31 Oct 2026 it is $67.59, a change of +7.6%. The companies the model compares it with now trade on higher multiples: most of the move. The model revalues every stock it covers each week, and again after an earnings report.
Questions about Crane NXT's valuation
Is Crane NXT stock undervalued or overvalued?
On Faircurve's model, CXT reads as Fairly valued as of 31 Oct 2026. The model's fair value is $67.59 a share against a last close of $60.04, a gap of +12.6%.
What is CXT's fair value?
$67.59 a share as of 31 Oct 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The model's own 20th to 80th percentile range is $52.70 to $84.35.
What price range does the model give CXT?
$53.20 to $69.65 over 63 trading days. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time across 6,661 past valuations, refreshed 31 Oct 2026.
When does Crane NXT report earnings next?
The next report is scheduled for 4 Nov 2026. Companies can move their dates.
How much has CXT moved on past earnings reports?
Across its last 8 reports the median two session move was 2.0%, ignoring direction. The largest was +5.4% around the report of 6 Nov 2024.
How confident is the model in this valuation?
The model's evidence grade for CXT is high. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It is not a probability that the fair value is right, or that the price reaches it.
The model's own ideas on CXT
The model holds no idea open on CXT today. Signed-in readers see the rule each idea runs on, the floor and the exit level the model set and its time limit, and the model's closed ideas on CXT with their outcomes. A free account is enough.