NASDAQ: FELE · Industrial Machinery
Franklin Electric (FELE) fair value: undervalued or overvalued?
As of 26 Sep 2026, Faircurve's model values Franklin Electric (FELE) at $102.19 a share. The stock last closed at $98.65, which puts the model's fair value 3.6% above the price. On the model's bands that reads as Fairly valued.
Revalued . Price is the close of 2 Oct 2026. Franklin Electric Co., Inc.
Faircurve Insights · 26 Sep 2026
Franklin Electric Co., Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and distributes water and fuel pumping systems in the United States, Canada, Latin America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific.
On 26 Sep 2026, Faircurve's model found a fair value of $102.19 a share, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The previous run, on 19 Sep 2026, gave the same fair value. The calibrated range over 63 trading days is $85.74 to $124.60. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon, and the model's evidence grade is High.
The overall quality score against comparable companies is 70 out of 100. This includes a Profitability score of 71, Earnings quality 69, Growth quality 48, Capital discipline 71, Balance sheet 87, and Stability 93. The model compares it with ESAB Corporation, Mirion Technologies, Inc., The Middleby Corporation, Badger Meter, Inc., Standex International Corporation, Mueller Water Products, Inc., and JBT Marel Corporation. The median move around the last 8 earnings reports, ignoring direction, was 4.5%.
Written from the figures on this page for the 26 Sep 2026 valuation and checked by rule before publishing: every number is one printed here, no forecast, no instruction. The price, the gap and the verdict are the page's own and change daily. Not a recommendation.
What price range does the model give FELE?
The calibrated range for FELE over 63 trading days is $85.74 to $124.60. There is no live options data for this stock, so the range is built from the fair value and calibrated weekly against realised prices (n = 4,327 past valuations, refreshed 26 Sep 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon.
The model's own simulated range, from the 20th to the 80th percentile of its runs, is $84.31 to $122.32. In 59% of the simulations the fair value came out above the price the model ran on.
How does FELE score on business quality?
Franklin Electric's overall quality score is 70 out of 100. Each factor below is a score against comparable companies, not a percentile of the metric beside it.
| Factor | Score (0 to 100) | Headline measure | Peer median |
|---|---|---|---|
| ProfitabilityReturn on invested capital against the peer group, with a bonus for an improving trend. | 71 | 13.3%ROIC | 9.6% |
| Earnings qualityHow much of reported profit is cash: free cash flow to net income, and the accrual ratio (the share of earnings that is not cash). | 69 | 1.40xFCF / net income | 1.14x |
| Growth qualityTrailing revenue growth, forward growth from consensus, and the direction of analyst estimate revisions. | 48 | 5.4%Revenue growth, trailing | 9.7% |
| Capital disciplineReinvestment efficiency (capital spending per unit of revenue) and net buybacks. | 71 | 1.3%Net buybacks / market value | 0.3% |
| Balance sheetNet debt to EBITDA and interest coverage. | 87 | 0.77xNet debt / EBITDA | 2.41x |
| StabilityDownside volatility of the EBITDA margin over the last five years. | 93 | 0.7 ptsEBITDA margin downside volatility, 5y | 1.7 pts |
How does FELE compare with similar companies?
The companies in industrial machinery closest to Franklin Electric in market value, each on the same model and the same date.
| Company | Last close | Model fair value | Gap | Model verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ESAB ESAB Corporation | $69.90 | $74.41 | +6.5% | Fairly valued |
| MIR Mirion Technologies, Inc. | $14.60 | $15.53 | +6.4% | Fairly valued |
| MIDD The Middleby Corporation | $104.57 | $126.71 | +21.2% | Undervalued |
| BMI Badger Meter, Inc. | $127.77 | $132.83 | +4.0% | Fairly valued |
| SXI Standex International Corporation | $288.59 | $237.37 | -17.7% | Overvalued |
| MWA Mueller Water Products, Inc. | $21.66 | $25.74 | +18.8% | Undervalued |
| KAI Kadant Inc. | $268.83 | $297.10 | +10.5% | Data under review |
| JBTM JBT Marel Corporation | $108.60 | $106.42 | -2.0% | Fairly valued |
When does FELE report earnings, and how has the stock reacted?
Franklin Electric's next earnings report is scheduled for 27 Oct 2026. Companies can move their dates.
How FELE moved around its last 8 earnings reports
Each move runs from the last close before the report to the first close after it, so it covers companies that report before the open and after the close. The median size across these 8 reports, ignoring direction, was 4.5%.
| Report date | Two session move |
|---|---|
| 28 Jul 2026 | 0.0% |
| 28 Apr 2026 | -1.6% |
| 17 Feb 2026 | -16.6% |
| 28 Oct 2025 | -3.3% |
| 29 Jul 2025 | +1.1% |
| 29 Apr 2025 | -5.7% |
| 18 Feb 2025 | +6.1% |
| 29 Oct 2024 | -5.9% |
Franklin Electric at a glance
Franklin Electric Co., Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and distributes water and fuel pumping systems in the United States, Canada, Latin America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific.
- Market value
- $4.3B
- Sector
- Industrials
- Industry
- Industrial Machinery
- Revenue expected, next twelve months
- $2.4B
- Consensus revenue growth, next fiscal year
- +7.1%
- Analysts with estimates
- 3
- Beta to the US market
- 0.61
- First valued by Faircurve
- 11 Jul 2026
How the fair value is worked out: the model prices Franklin Electric on the value of the whole business, debt included, against the operating profit analysts expect next year (forward EV/EBITDA), runs 2,000 simulations across its inputs and takes the midpoint. The full method is documented here.
What changed in the latest valuation?
On 19 Sep 2026 the model's fair value for FELE was $102.19. It is unchanged at $102.19 as of 26 Sep 2026. The model revalues every stock it covers each week, and again after an earnings report.
Questions about Franklin Electric's valuation
Is Franklin Electric stock undervalued or overvalued?
On Faircurve's model, FELE reads as Fairly valued as of 26 Sep 2026. The model's fair value is $102.19 a share against a last close of $98.65, a gap of +3.6%.
What is FELE's fair value?
$102.19 a share as of 26 Sep 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The model's own 20th to 80th percentile range is $84.31 to $122.32.
What price range does the model give FELE?
$85.74 to $124.60 over 63 trading days. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time across 4,327 past valuations, refreshed 26 Sep 2026.
When does Franklin Electric report earnings next?
The next report is scheduled for 27 Oct 2026. Companies can move their dates.
How much has FELE moved on past earnings reports?
Across its last 8 reports the median two session move was 4.5%, ignoring direction. The largest was -16.6% around the report of 17 Feb 2026.
How confident is the model in this valuation?
The model's evidence grade for FELE is high. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It is not a probability that the fair value is right, or that the price reaches it.