NASDAQ: EGBN · Regional Banks
Eagle Bancorp (EGBN) fair value and price range
As of 26 Sep 2026, Faircurve's model values Eagle Bancorp (EGBN) at $26.77 a share. The stock last closed at $28.38, which puts the model's fair value 5.7% below the price. The model grades the evidence behind this valuation as low, so no verdict is shown. For banks, insurers and mortgage real estate investment trusts (REITs) the grade looks at how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, how wide the range of outcomes is, and whether the model's valuation methods agree with each other. It does not say how likely the fair value is to be right.
Revalued . Price is the close of 2 Oct 2026. Eagle Bancorp, Inc.
Faircurve Insights · 26 Sep 2026
Eagle Bancorp, Inc. functions as the parent entity for EagleBank, providing a comprehensive suite of commercial and consumer banking services.
Faircurve's model found a fair value of $26.77 a share on 26 Sep 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. This was a move of -2.8% from the previous run on 19 Sep 2026, which gave $27.55. The calibrated range over 63 trading days was $22.46 to $32.64, built from the fair value and calibrated weekly against realised prices, holding the price 60% of the time at this horizon. The model graded the evidence behind this valuation as low, so no verdict was shown.
The model compares the company with Southside Bancshares, Inc., Hanmi Financial Corporation, Central Pacific Financial Corp., Capitol Federal Financial, Inc., Heritage Financial Corporation, Preferred Bank, and Westamerica Bancorporation. Moves around the last 8 earnings reports, measured from the close before each report to the close after it, ranged from +23.9% to -20.7%, with a median size of 10.1%.
Written from the figures on this page for the 26 Sep 2026 valuation and checked by rule before publishing: every number is one printed here, no forecast, no instruction. The price, the gap and the verdict are the page's own and change daily. Not a recommendation.
What price range does the model give EGBN?
The calibrated range for EGBN over 63 trading days is $22.46 to $32.64. There is no live options data for this stock, so the range is built from the fair value and calibrated weekly against realised prices (n = 4,327 past valuations, refreshed 26 Sep 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon.
The model's own simulated range, from the 20th to the 80th percentile of its runs, is $21.63 to $33.20. In 40% of the simulations the fair value came out above the price the model ran on.
How does EGBN compare with similar companies?
The companies in regional banks closest to Eagle Bancorp in market value, each on the same model and the same date.
| Company | Last close | Model fair value | Gap | Model verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SBSI Southside Bancshares, Inc. | $30.73 | $35.65 | +16.0% | Undervalued |
| HAFC Hanmi Financial Corporation | $31.67 | $38.68 | +22.1% | Undervalued |
| TRST TrustCo Bank Corp NY | $55.69 | $45.56 | -18.2% | Low evidence grade |
| CPF Central Pacific Financial Corp. | $36.42 | $40.77 | +11.9% | Undervalued |
| CFFN Capitol Federal Financial, Inc. | $8.58 | $8.10 | -5.6% | Fairly valued |
| HFWA Heritage Financial Corporation | $28.14 | $20.41 | -27.5% | Overvalued |
| PFBC Preferred Bank | $106.48 | $140.79 | +32.2% | Undervalued |
| WABC Westamerica Bancorporation | $59.60 | $62.23 | +4.4% | Fairly valued |
When does EGBN report earnings, and how has the stock reacted?
Eagle Bancorp's next earnings report is scheduled for 28 Oct 2026. Companies can move their dates.
How EGBN moved around its last 8 earnings reports
Each move runs from the last close before the report to the first close after it, so it covers companies that report before the open and after the close. The median size across these 8 reports, ignoring direction, was 10.1%.
| Report date | Two session move |
|---|---|
| 22 Jul 2026 | +1.2% |
| 22 Apr 2026 | -4.8% |
| 21 Jan 2026 | +23.9% |
| 22 Oct 2025 | -12.9% |
| 23 Jul 2025 | -20.7% |
| 23 Apr 2025 | -7.2% |
| 22 Jan 2025 | +0.7% |
| 23 Oct 2024 | +16.4% |
Eagle Bancorp at a glance
Eagle Bancorp, Inc. functions as the parent entity for EagleBank, providing a comprehensive suite of commercial and consumer banking services.
- Market value
- $870M
- Sector
- Financial Services
- Industry
- Regional Banks
- Consensus revenue growth, next fiscal year
- -53.8%
- Analysts with estimates
- 4
- Beta to the US market
- 0.64
- First valued by Faircurve
- 11 Jul 2026
How the fair value is worked out: the model prices Eagle Bancorp on the share price against the net assets on the balance sheet, adjusted for the earnings analysts expect (price to book value), runs 2,000 simulations across its inputs and takes the midpoint. The full method is documented here.
What changed in the latest valuation?
On 19 Sep 2026 the model's fair value for EGBN was $27.55. As of 26 Sep 2026 it is $26.77, a change of -2.8%. The model revalues every stock it covers each week, and again after an earnings report.
Questions about Eagle Bancorp's valuation
Is Eagle Bancorp stock undervalued or overvalued?
Faircurve's model puts EGBN's fair value at $26.77 a share against a last close of $28.38, as of 26 Sep 2026. The model grades the evidence behind this valuation as low, so no verdict is shown. For banks, insurers and mortgage real estate investment trusts (REITs) the grade looks at how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, how wide the range of outcomes is, and whether the model's valuation methods agree with each other. It does not say how likely the fair value is to be right.
What is EGBN's fair value?
$26.77 a share as of 26 Sep 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The model's own 20th to 80th percentile range is $21.63 to $33.20.
What price range does the model give EGBN?
$22.46 to $32.64 over 63 trading days. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time across 4,327 past valuations, refreshed 26 Sep 2026.
When does Eagle Bancorp report earnings next?
The next report is scheduled for 28 Oct 2026. Companies can move their dates.
How much has EGBN moved on past earnings reports?
Across its last 8 reports the median two session move was 10.1%, ignoring direction. The largest was +23.9% around the report of 21 Jan 2026.
How confident is the model in this valuation?
The model's evidence grade for EGBN is low. For banks, insurers and mortgage real estate investment trusts (REITs) the grade looks at how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, how wide the range of outcomes is, and whether the model's valuation methods agree with each other. It is not a probability that the fair value is right, or that the price reaches it.