NYSE: EPAC · Industrial Machinery
Enerpac Tool Group (EPAC) fair value: undervalued or overvalued?
As of 26 Sep 2026, Faircurve's model values Enerpac Tool Group (EPAC) at $37.30 a share. The stock last closed at $35.64, which puts the model's fair value 4.7% above the price. On the model's bands that reads as Fairly valued.
Revalued . Price is the close of 2 Oct 2026. Enerpac Tool Group Corp.
Faircurve Insights · 26 Sep 2026
Enerpac Tool Group Corp. is a global enterprise specializing in the production and distribution of a diverse array of industrial products and solutions.
Faircurve's model found a fair value of $37.30 a share for Enerpac Tool Group Corp. on 26 Sep 2026. This is the midpoint of 2,000 simulations and represents a +1.6% change from the previous run on 19 Sep 2026, which gave $36.70. The model's calibrated range over 63 trading days is $31.29 to $45.48, built from the fair value, since there is no live options data for the stock, calibrated weekly against realised prices (4,327 past valuations, refreshed 26 Sep 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon, and the model's evidence grade is Medium.
The company's overall quality score is 70 out of 100 against comparable companies. Its profitability score is 97, with ROIC at 21.2% against a peer median of 7.1%. Faircurve's model compares it with Alamo Group Inc. (ALG), Crane NXT, Co. (CXT), Tennant Company (TNC), Mueller Water Products, Inc. (MWA), Standex International Corporation (SXI), Astec Industries, Inc. (ASTE), and Badger Meter, Inc. (BMI). The stock's moves around its last 8 earnings reports show a median size of 5.0%, ignoring direction.
Written from the figures on this page for the 26 Sep 2026 valuation and checked by rule before publishing: every number is one printed here, no forecast, no instruction. The price, the gap and the verdict are the page's own and change daily. Not a recommendation.
What price range does the model give EPAC?
The calibrated range for EPAC over 63 trading days is $31.29 to $45.48. There is no live options data for this stock, so the range is built from the fair value and calibrated weekly against realised prices (n = 4,327 past valuations, refreshed 26 Sep 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon.
The model's own simulated range, from the 20th to the 80th percentile of its runs, is $26.92 to $51.04. In 54% of the simulations the fair value came out above the price the model ran on.
How does EPAC score on business quality?
Enerpac Tool Group's overall quality score is 70 out of 100. Each factor below is a score against comparable companies, not a percentile of the metric beside it.
| Factor | Score (0 to 100) | Headline measure | Peer median |
|---|---|---|---|
| ProfitabilityReturn on invested capital against the peer group, with a bonus for an improving trend. | 97 | 21.2%ROIC | 7.1% |
| Earnings qualityHow much of reported profit is cash: free cash flow to net income, and the accrual ratio (the share of earnings that is not cash). | 48 | 1.20xFCF / net income | 1.14x |
| Growth qualityTrailing revenue growth, forward growth from consensus, and the direction of analyst estimate revisions. | 56 | 4.6%Revenue growth, trailing | 3.5% |
| Capital disciplineReinvestment efficiency (capital spending per unit of revenue) and net buybacks. | 92 | 6.6%Net buybacks / market value | 0.6% |
| Balance sheetNet debt to EBITDA and interest coverage. | 66 | 0.46xNet debt / EBITDA | 2.43x |
| StabilityDownside volatility of the EBITDA margin over the last five years. | 38 | 4.1 ptsEBITDA margin downside volatility, 5y | 2.5 pts |
How does EPAC compare with similar companies?
The companies in industrial machinery closest to Enerpac Tool Group in market value, each on the same model and the same date.
| Company | Last close | Model fair value | Gap | Model verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALG Alamo Group Inc. | $161.01 | $168.28 | +4.5% | Fairly valued |
| CXT Crane NXT, Co. | $48.78 | $55.80 | +14.4% | Fairly valued |
| TNC Tennant Company | $67.12 | $66.74 | -0.6% | Fairly valued |
| KAI Kadant Inc. | $268.83 | $297.10 | +10.5% | Data under review |
| MWA Mueller Water Products, Inc. | $21.66 | $25.74 | +18.8% | Undervalued |
| SXI Standex International Corporation | $288.59 | $237.37 | -17.7% | Overvalued |
| ASTE Astec Industries, Inc. | $42.00 | $47.85 | +13.9% | Fairly valued |
| BMI Badger Meter, Inc. | $127.77 | $132.83 | +4.0% | Fairly valued |
When does EPAC report earnings, and how has the stock reacted?
Enerpac Tool Group's next earnings report is scheduled for 21 Oct 2026. Companies can move their dates.
Options prices on 2 Oct 2026 imply a move of about 7.8% in either direction through the nearest expiry, about 13 days out. That is the size the market is pricing, not a direction.
How EPAC moved around its last 8 earnings reports
Each move runs from the last close before the report to the first close after it, so it covers companies that report before the open and after the close. The median size across these 8 reports, ignoring direction, was 5.0%.
| Report date | Two session move |
|---|---|
| 7 Jul 2026 | +3.6% |
| 25 Mar 2026 | -7.5% |
| 17 Dec 2025 | -9.1% |
| 15 Oct 2025 | +4.8% |
| 26 Jun 2025 | -3.8% |
| 24 Mar 2025 | +11.3% |
| 18 Dec 2024 | -5.2% |
| 15 Oct 2024 | -1.9% |
Enerpac Tool Group at a glance
Enerpac Tool Group Corp. is a global enterprise specializing in the production and distribution of a diverse array of industrial products and solutions.
- Market value
- $1.8B
- Sector
- Industrials
- Industry
- Industrial Machinery
- Revenue expected, next twelve months
- $670M
- Consensus revenue growth, next fiscal year
- +3.6%
- Analysts with estimates
- 3
- Beta to the US market
- 0.69
- First valued by Faircurve
- 11 Jul 2026
How the fair value is worked out: the model prices Enerpac Tool Group on the value of the whole business, debt included, against the operating profit analysts expect next year (forward EV/EBITDA), runs 2,000 simulations across its inputs and takes the midpoint. The full method is documented here.
What changed in the latest valuation?
On 19 Sep 2026 the model's fair value for EPAC was $36.70. As of 26 Sep 2026 it is $37.30, a change of +1.6%. The model revalues every stock it covers each week, and again after an earnings report.
Questions about Enerpac Tool Group's valuation
Is Enerpac Tool Group stock undervalued or overvalued?
On Faircurve's model, EPAC reads as Fairly valued as of 26 Sep 2026. The model's fair value is $37.30 a share against a last close of $35.64, a gap of +4.7%.
What is EPAC's fair value?
$37.30 a share as of 26 Sep 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The model's own 20th to 80th percentile range is $26.92 to $51.04.
What price range does the model give EPAC?
$31.29 to $45.48 over 63 trading days. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time across 4,327 past valuations, refreshed 26 Sep 2026.
When does Enerpac Tool Group report earnings next?
The next report is scheduled for 21 Oct 2026. Companies can move their dates.
How much has EPAC moved on past earnings reports?
Across its last 8 reports the median two session move was 5.0%, ignoring direction. The largest was +11.3% around the report of 24 Mar 2025.
How confident is the model in this valuation?
The model's evidence grade for EPAC is medium. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It is not a probability that the fair value is right, or that the price reaches it.