NASDAQ: GIII · Apparel Manufacturers
G-III Apparel Group (GIII) fair value: undervalued or overvalued?
As of 26 Sep 2026, Faircurve's model values G-III Apparel Group (GIII) at $35.63 a share. The stock last closed at $27.37, which puts the model's fair value 30.2% above the price. On the model's bands that reads as Undervalued.
Revalued . Price is the close of 2 Oct 2026. G-III Apparel Group, Ltd.
Faircurve Insights · 26 Sep 2026
G-III Apparel Group, Ltd. designs, sources, and markets women’s and men’s apparel in the United States and internationally. It operates through two segments, Wholesale Operations and Retail Operations.
On 26 Sep 2026, Faircurve's model found a fair value of $35.63 a share, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The previous run, on 19 Sep 2026, gave $32.97, and the fair value moved +8.1%. The calibrated range over 63 trading days, built from the fair value, is $29.89 to $43.44, and ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon. The model's evidence grade is Medium.
The company's overall quality score is 64 out of 100 against comparable companies, which include Under Armour, Inc. (UA), Under Armour, Inc. (UAA), Columbia Sportswear Company (COLM), Kontoor Brands, Inc. (KTB), and Ralph Lauren Corporation (RL). The stock moved -15.4% around its 2 Sep 2026 earnings report, +9.0% around 5 Jun 2026, and -10.8% around 12 Mar 2026.
Written from the figures on this page for the 26 Sep 2026 valuation and checked by rule before publishing: every number is one printed here, no forecast, no instruction. The price, the gap and the verdict are the page's own and change daily. Not a recommendation.
What price range does the model give GIII?
The calibrated range for GIII over 63 trading days is $29.89 to $43.44. There is no live options data for this stock, so the range is built from the fair value and calibrated weekly against realised prices (n = 4,327 past valuations, refreshed 26 Sep 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon.
The price is below this range. For names with fair value 30%+ above price, the calibrated range has held the price 29% of the time over 63 trading days, and 71% ended below it; the typical move was +5.7%.
The model's own simulated range, from the 20th to the 80th percentile of its runs, is $25.67 to $49.69. In 75% of the simulations the fair value came out above the price the model ran on.
How does GIII score on business quality?
G-III Apparel Group's overall quality score is 64 out of 100. Each factor below is a score against comparable companies, not a percentile of the metric beside it.
| Factor | Score (0 to 100) | Headline measure | Peer median |
|---|---|---|---|
| ProfitabilityReturn on invested capital against the peer group, with a bonus for an improving trend. | 91 | 10.3%ROIC | 5.7% |
| Earnings qualityHow much of reported profit is cash: free cash flow to net income, and the accrual ratio (the share of earnings that is not cash). | 77 | 2.03xFCF / net income | 1.19x |
| Growth qualityTrailing revenue growth, forward growth from consensus, and the direction of analyst estimate revisions. | 11 | -7.0%Revenue growth, trailing | 0.8% |
| Capital disciplineReinvestment efficiency (capital spending per unit of revenue) and net buybacks. | 59 | 1.2%Net buybacks / market value | 1.3% |
| Balance sheetNet debt to EBITDA and interest coverage. | 92 | -0.88xNet debt / EBITDA | 2.21x |
| StabilityDownside volatility of the EBITDA margin over the last five years. | 36 | 3.7 ptsEBITDA margin downside volatility, 5y | 3.3 pts |
How does GIII compare with similar companies?
The companies in apparel manufacturers closest to G-III Apparel Group in market value, each on the same model and the same date.
| Company | Last close | Model fair value | Gap | Model verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UA Under Armour, Inc. | $4.59 | $3.02 | -34.2% | Overvalued |
| UAA Under Armour, Inc. | $4.71 | $2.98 | -36.7% | Overvalued |
| COLM Columbia Sportswear Company | $57.27 | $60.11 | +5.0% | Fairly valued |
| OXM Oxford Industries, Inc. | $24.93 | $23.16 | -7.1% | Low evidence grade |
| PVH PVH Corp. | $75.53 | $100.61 | +33.2% | Low evidence grade |
| KTB Kontoor Brands, Inc. | $64.71 | $69.57 | +7.5% | Fairly valued |
| VFC V.F. Corporation | $14.33 | $13.65 | -4.7% | Low evidence grade |
| RL Ralph Lauren Corporation | $363.37 | $343.08 | -5.6% | Fairly valued |
When does GIII report earnings, and how has the stock reacted?
G-III Apparel Group's next earnings report is scheduled for 8 Dec 2026. Companies can move their dates.
How GIII moved around its last 8 earnings reports
Each move runs from the last close before the report to the first close after it, so it covers companies that report before the open and after the close. The median size across these 8 reports, ignoring direction, was 9.9%.
| Report date | Two session move |
|---|---|
| 2 Sep 2026 | -15.4% |
| 5 Jun 2026 | +9.0% |
| 12 Mar 2026 | -10.8% |
| 9 Dec 2025 | +6.2% |
| 4 Sep 2025 | -4.3% |
| 6 Jun 2025 | -12.6% |
| 13 Mar 2025 | +5.3% |
| 10 Dec 2024 | +11.5% |
G-III Apparel Group at a glance
G-III Apparel Group, Ltd. designs, sources, and markets women’s and men’s apparel in the United States and internationally. It operates through two segments, Wholesale Operations and Retail Operations.
- Market value
- $1.1B
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical
- Industry
- Apparel Manufacturers
- Revenue expected, next twelve months
- $2.8B
- Consensus revenue growth, next fiscal year
- -8.4%
- Analysts with estimates
- 1
- Beta to the US market
- 0.64
- First valued by Faircurve
- 11 Jul 2026
How the fair value is worked out: the model prices G-III Apparel Group on the value of the whole business, debt included, against the operating profit analysts expect next year (forward EV/EBITDA), runs 2,000 simulations across its inputs and takes the midpoint. The full method is documented here.
What changed in the latest valuation?
On 19 Sep 2026 the model's fair value for GIII was $32.97. As of 26 Sep 2026 it is $35.63, a change of +8.1%. The model revalues every stock it covers each week, and again after an earnings report.
Questions about G-III Apparel Group's valuation
Is G-III Apparel Group stock undervalued or overvalued?
On Faircurve's model, GIII reads as Undervalued as of 26 Sep 2026. The model's fair value is $35.63 a share against a last close of $27.37, a gap of +30.2%.
What is GIII's fair value?
$35.63 a share as of 26 Sep 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The model's own 20th to 80th percentile range is $25.67 to $49.69.
What price range does the model give GIII?
$29.89 to $43.44 over 63 trading days. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time across 4,327 past valuations, refreshed 26 Sep 2026.
When does G-III Apparel Group report earnings next?
The next report is scheduled for 8 Dec 2026. Companies can move their dates.
How much has GIII moved on past earnings reports?
Across its last 8 reports the median two session move was 9.9%, ignoring direction. The largest was -15.4% around the report of 2 Sep 2026.
How confident is the model in this valuation?
The model's evidence grade for GIII is medium. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It is not a probability that the fair value is right, or that the price reaches it.