Sector ยท Oct 2026

Consumer Cyclical stocks ranked by gap to the model's fair value

Faircurve's model values 186 consumer cyclical stocks. 129 of them are ranked below by the gap between the model's fair value and the last close, as of 31 Oct 2026: 27 read as Undervalued, 91 as Fairly valued and 11 as Overvalued. The median gap across the ranked names is 0.0%. The widest gaps above the price are LEA (+57.4%), DAN (+47.3%), EAT (+46.9%). The widest below it are UAA (-35.3%), UA (-33.7%), PAG (-24.8%).

Valuations as of . Prices are the closes of 3 Nov 2026. The gap is the model's fair value against the price: a positive gap means the fair value is above the price. It states what the model concluded, not where the price goes next.

The ranking

RankCompanyLast closeModel fair valueGapModel verdictQuality scoreMarket value
1LEA Lear CorporationAuto Parts$116.77$183.77+57.4%Undervalued56$5.8B
2DAN Dana IncorporatedAuto Parts$23.57$34.72+47.3%Undervalued46$2.5B
3EAT Brinker International, Inc.Restaurants$207.41$304.67+46.9%Undervalued80$8.8B
4RRR Red Rock Resorts, Inc.Gambling, Resorts & Casinos$51.39$71.53+39.2%Undervalued62$2.9B
5CCL Carnival Corporation & plcTravel Services$29.20$39.25+34.4%Undervalued36$38.8B
6SBH Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc.Specialty Retail$17.90$24.06+34.4%Undervalued54$1.7B
7DECK Deckers Outdoor CorporationFootwear & Accessories$84.09$112.72+34.0%Undervalued71$11.2B
8BJRI BJ's Restaurants, Inc.Restaurants$60.62$80.73+33.2%Undervalued57$1.3B
9LKQ LKQ CorporationAuto Parts$19.26$24.97+29.6%Undervalued39$4.7B
10ANF Abercrombie & Fitch Co.Apparel Retail$157.51$203.90+29.5%Undervalued64$7.0B
11LZB La-Z-Boy IncorporatedFurnishings, Fixtures & Appliances$31.16$40.30+29.3%Undervalued63$1.2B
12BBY Best Buy Co., Inc.Specialty Retail$93.87$120.86+28.8%Undervalued71$20.1B
13PVH PVH Corp.Apparel Manufacturers$91.10$115.15+26.4%Undervalued33$4.2B
14PHIN PHINIA Inc.Auto Parts$68.92$85.53+24.1%Undervalued60$2.3B
15TRIP Tripadvisor, Inc.Travel Services$9.44$11.59+22.8%Undervalued40$1.1B
16GIII G-III Apparel Group, Ltd.Apparel Manufacturers$31.34$38.16+21.8%Undervalued57$1.3B
17MHK Mohawk Industries, Inc.Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances$145.36$175.98+21.1%Undervalued47$8.4B
18MUSA Murphy USA Inc.Specialty Retail$509.34$616.05+21.0%Undervalued78$9.8B
19AEO American Eagle Outfitters, Inc.Apparel Retail$19.54$23.32+19.3%Undervalued44$3.3B
20GAP The Gap, Inc.Apparel Retail$21.99$26.02+18.3%Undervalued47$7.8B
21CCK Crown Holdings, Inc.Packaging & Containers$120.73$141.33+17.1%Undervalued73$12.9B
22SKY Champion Homes, Inc.Residential Construction$86.37$100.95+16.9%Undervalued77$4.6B
23BKNG Booking Holdings Inc.Travel Services$155.67$181.23+16.4%Undervalued37$111.3B
24DRI Darden Restaurants, Inc.Restaurants$219.39$255.26+16.3%Undervalued56$24.9B
25BC Brunswick CorporationRecreational Vehicles$78.09$90.62+16.0%Undervalued55$4.9B
26LULU Lululemon Athletica Inc.Apparel Retail$106.95$124.10+16.0%Undervalued69$12.4B
27EXPE Expedia Group, Inc.Travel Services$285.77$330.15+15.5%Undervalued88$32.7B
28BKE The Buckle, Inc.Apparel Retail$46.22$52.10+12.7%Fairly valued69$2.4B
29BBWI Bath & Body Works, Inc.Specialty Retail$22.61$25.43+12.5%Fairly valued75$4.6B
30TOL Toll Brothers, Inc.Residential Construction$149.24$166.08+11.3%Fairly valued46$13.4B
31CRI Carter's Inc.Apparel Retail$31.31$34.83+11.2%Fairly valued63$1.2B
32DKS DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc.Specialty Retail$137.08$151.65+10.6%Fairly valued52$12.8B
33ASO Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc.Specialty Retail$60.86$66.85+9.8%Fairly valued57$3.6B
34SIG Signet Jewelers LimitedLuxury Goods$118.90$130.58+9.8%Fairly valued71$4.5B
35MAT Mattel, Inc.Leisure$15.29$16.78+9.7%Fairly valued73$4.4B
36TNL Travel + Leisure Co.Travel Services$75.40$82.46+9.4%Fairly valued51$4.3B
37ATMU Atmus Filtration Technologies Inc.Auto Parts$47.83$51.84+8.4%Fairly valued66$3.7B
38CROX Crocs, Inc.Footwear & Accessories$153.61$166.37+8.3%Fairly valued55$7.2B
39BURL Burlington Stores, Inc.Apparel Retail$239.90$259.28+8.1%Fairly valued62$14.9B
40HRB H&R Block, Inc.Personal Products & Services$53.14$57.42+8.1%Fairly valued77$6.3B
41MELI MercadoLibre, Inc.Specialty Retail$1,662.16$1,790.99+7.8%Fairly valued71$82.4B
42ETSY Etsy, Inc.Specialty Retail$89.86$96.64+7.5%Fairly valued49$7.7B
43M Macy's, Inc.Department Stores$23.88$25.60+7.2%Fairly valued49$6.3B
44MHO M/I Homes, Inc.Residential Construction$128.84$137.77+6.9%Fairly valued42$3.2B
45EBAY eBay Inc.Specialty Retail$118.62$125.91+6.1%Fairly valued44$54.1B
46LOW Lowe's Companies, Inc.Home Improvement$213.38$225.96+5.9%Fairly valued52$117.3B
47VC Visteon CorporationAuto Parts$74.57$78.58+5.4%Fairly valued50$1.8B
48NVR NVR, Inc.Residential Construction$6,024.72$6,347.69+5.4%Fairly valued67$16.0B
49GRBK Green Brick Partners, Inc.Residential Construction$61.69$64.98+5.3%Fairly valued46$2.6B
50SGI Somnigroup International IncFurnishings, Fixtures & Appliances$65.35$68.79+5.3%Fairly valued67$14.6B
51KTB Kontoor Brands, Inc.Apparel Manufacturers$76.92$80.52+4.7%Fairly valued76$4.1B
52TXRH Texas Roadhouse, Inc.Restaurants$184.49$192.57+4.4%Fairly valued74$12.0B
53HNI HNI CorporationFurnishings, Fixtures & Appliances$48.31$50.23+4.0%Fairly valued45$3.5B
54BOOT Boot Barn Holdings, Inc.Apparel Retail$133.59$138.23+3.5%Fairly valued62$4.0B
55LCII LCI IndustriesRecreational Vehicles$101.85$105.34+3.4%Fairly valued57$2.4B
56TILE Interface, Inc.Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances$37.94$39.20+3.3%Fairly valued72$2.1B
57ULTA Ulta Beauty, Inc.Specialty Retail$634.89$655.25+3.2%Fairly valued51$27.4B
58TPR Tapestry, Inc.Luxury Goods$121.02$124.51+2.9%Fairly valued75$23.0B
59GME GameStop Corp.Specialty Retail$24.27$24.86+2.4%Fairly valued40$12.2B
60AZO AutoZone, Inc.Specialty Retail$3,200.00$3,270.93+2.2%Fairly valued74$51.0B
61CBRL Cracker Barrel Old Country StoreRestaurants$68.33$69.42+1.6%Fairly valued40$1.6B
62YETI YETI Holdings, Inc.Leisure$44.85$45.28+1.0%Fairly valued68$3.2B
63CMG Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.Restaurants$33.26$33.40+0.4%Fairly valued63$40.4B
64TJX The TJX Companies, Inc.Apparel Retail$137.63$138.13+0.4%Fairly valued73$154.3B
65XPEL XPEL, Inc.Auto Parts$42.49$42.490.0%Fairly valued70$1.3B
66PHM PulteGroup, Inc.Residential Construction$126.88$126.62-0.2%Fairly valued45$23.8B
67BALL Ball CorporationPackaging & Containers$63.21$62.92-0.5%Fairly valued56$17.6B
68FIVE Five Below, Inc.Specialty Retail$236.19$234.83-0.6%Fairly valued77$13.3B
69AVY Avery Dennison CorporationPackaging & Containers$185.38$183.97-0.8%Fairly valued74$13.8B
70ROST Ross Stores, Inc.Apparel Retail$231.60$228.18-1.5%Fairly valued83$73.2B
71VVV Valvoline Inc.Auto Dealerships$33.74$33.20-1.6%Fairly valued73$4.1B
72MCD McDonald's CorporationRestaurants$263.04$257.72-2.0%Fairly valued50$182.7B
73SLGN Silgan Holdings Inc.Packaging & Containers$41.51$40.64-2.1%Fairly valued45$4.3B
74FTDR Frontdoor, Inc.Personal Products & Services$88.61$86.58-2.3%Fairly valued81$6.0B
75ETD Ethan Allen Interiors Inc.Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances$20.26$19.78-2.4%Fairly valued41$513M
76WINA Winmark CorporationSpecialty Retail$268.56$261.69-2.6%Fairly valued57$1.0B
77URBN Urban Outfitters, Inc.Apparel Retail$86.72$84.50-2.6%Fairly valued47$7.8B
78CASY Casey's General Stores, Inc.Specialty Retail$665.39$646.83-2.8%Fairly valued60$25.1B
79APTV Aptiv PLCAuto Parts$41.34$40.11-3.0%Fairly valued40$9.1B
80FND Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc.Home Improvement$48.15$46.68-3.1%Fairly valued57$5.1B
81BWA BorgWarner Inc.Auto Parts$51.71$50.06-3.2%Fairly valued49$10.5B
82SMP Standard Motor Products, Inc.Auto Parts$44.86$43.36-3.3%Fairly valued62$947M
83WSM Williams-Sonoma, Inc.Specialty Retail$253.70$243.55-4.0%Fairly valued78$29.8B
84RUSHA Rush Enterprises, Inc.Auto Dealerships$44.27$42.35-4.3%Fairly valued55$5.0B
85RL Ralph Lauren CorporationApparel Manufacturers$394.40$376.87-4.4%Fairly valued70$23.4B
86MCRI Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc.Gambling, Resorts & Casinos$113.88$108.28-4.9%Fairly valued76$2.0B
87ABNB Airbnb, Inc.Travel Services$166.96$158.65-5.0%Fairly valued73$98.4B
88SHOO Steven Madden, Ltd.Footwear & Accessories$44.03$41.81-5.0%Fairly valued69$3.2B
89DHI D.R. Horton, Inc.Residential Construction$145.23$137.21-5.5%Fairly valued46$40.8B
90GEF Greif, Inc.Packaging & Containers$81.25$76.59-5.7%Fairly valued30$3.8B
91PKG Packaging Corporation of AmericaPackaging & Containers$254.95$240.24-5.8%Fairly valued71$22.9B
92WWW Wolverine World Wide, Inc.Footwear & Accessories$21.63$20.35-5.9%Fairly valued66$1.7B
93YUM Yum! Brands, Inc.Restaurants$157.01$147.57-6.0%Fairly valued58$42.4B
94PII Polaris Inc.Recreational Vehicles$62.90$59.06-6.1%Fairly valued37$3.4B
95SCI Service Corporation InternationalPersonal Products & Services$75.13$70.00-6.8%Fairly valued62$10.4B
96TSCO Tractor Supply CompanySpecialty Retail$35.10$32.62-7.1%Fairly valued51$17.7B
97ORLY O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.Specialty Retail$89.99$83.60-7.1%Fairly valued80$71.3B
98AMCR Amcor plcPackaging & Containers$46.96$43.40-7.6%Fairly valued48$21.9B
99HAS Hasbro, Inc.Leisure$117.97$108.94-7.7%Fairly valued74$16.8B
100HOG Harley-Davidson, Inc.Auto Manufacturers$33.32$30.45-8.6%Fairly valued37$3.2B
101SBUX Starbucks CorporationRestaurants$104.77$95.69-8.7%Fairly valued56$118.2B
102HD The Home Depot, Inc.Home Improvement$333.66$304.60-8.7%Fairly valued45$328.4B
103IBP Installed Building Products, Inc.Residential Construction$212.46$193.28-9.0%Fairly valued50$5.7B
104ALV Autoliv, Inc.Auto Parts$119.36$108.43-9.2%Fairly valued56$8.5B
105WING Wingstop Inc.Restaurants$161.57$145.67-9.8%Fairly valued66$4.1B
106AMZN Amazon.com, Inc.Specialty Retail$250.69$225.58-10.0%Fairly valued29$2.59T
107CVNA Carvana Co.Auto Dealerships$71.28$63.84-10.4%Fairly valued67$74.9B
108THRM Gentherm IncorporatedAuto Parts$30.30$27.09-10.6%Fairly valued46$1.6B
109THO Thor Industries, Inc.Recreational Vehicles$77.41$68.74-11.2%Fairly valued31$3.8B
110BROS Dutch Bros Inc.Restaurants$43.58$38.59-11.5%Fairly valued54$8.1B
111GPC Genuine Parts CompanyAuto Parts$124.27$109.98-11.5%Fairly valued45$16.7B
112CHH Choice Hotels International, Inc.Travel Lodging$118.94$104.24-12.4%Fairly valued56$5.1B
113DORM Dorman Products, Inc.Auto Parts$136.07$118.86-12.6%Fairly valued57$4.0B
114MAR Marriott International, Inc.Travel Lodging$416.38$362.89-12.8%Fairly valued58$104.1B
115CVCO Cavco Industries, Inc.Residential Construction$648.27$563.28-13.1%Fairly valued80$4.8B
116NKE NIKE, Inc.Footwear & Accessories$38.48$33.24-13.6%Fairly valued38$57.4B
117COLM Columbia Sportswear CompanyApparel Manufacturers$70.06$59.82-14.6%Fairly valued48$3.5B
118LEN Lennar CorporationResidential Construction$86.09$73.40-14.7%Fairly valued22$20.7B
119HLT Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.Travel Lodging$363.83$308.90-15.1%Overvalued65$79.4B
120H Hyatt Hotels CorporationTravel Lodging$185.44$154.76-16.5%Overvalued35$17.0B
121GOLF Acushnet Holdings Corp.Leisure$87.41$72.72-16.8%Overvalued58$5.0B
122WH Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc.Travel Lodging$79.08$65.77-16.8%Overvalued53$5.6B
123MTH Meritage Homes CorporationResidential Construction$67.08$55.64-17.1%Overvalued34$4.2B
124PATK Patrick Industries, Inc.Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances$81.40$65.18-19.9%Overvalued46$2.5B
125MTN Vail Resorts, Inc.Gambling, Resorts & Casinos$153.36$122.39-20.2%Overvalued44$5.4B
126CAVA CAVA Group, Inc.Restaurants$60.31$46.56-22.8%Overvalued58$6.9B
127PAG Penske Automotive Group, Inc.Auto Dealerships$212.21$159.68-24.8%Overvalued36$13.9B
128UA Under Armour, Inc.Apparel Manufacturers$5.14$3.41-33.7%Overvalued35$2.1B
129UAA Under Armour, Inc.Apparel Manufacturers$5.32$3.44-35.3%Overvalued32$2.1B

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Valued but not ranked

These 57 names are valued but not ranked, for one of four reasons: the model grades the evidence as low or has not graded it yet, the inputs are under review, the gap is wider than 60%, or the valuation is more than three weeks old. The numbers are shown for reference.

CompanyLast closeModel fair valueGapWhy it is not rankedQuality scoreMarket value
AAP Advance Auto Parts, Inc.Specialty Retail$47.57$46.90-1.4%Low evidence grade30$2.7B
ABG Asbury Automotive Group, Inc.Auto Dealerships$197.77$215.26+8.8%Low evidence grade42$3.6B
ADNT Adient plcAuto Parts$16.92$26.81+58.5%Low evidence grade49$1.3B
AN AutoNation, Inc.Auto Dealerships$178.51$276.95+55.1%Data under review56$5.9B
BYD Boyd Gaming CorporationGambling, Resorts & Casinos$76.76$84.34+9.9%Low evidence grade41$5.3B
CCS Century Communities, Inc.Residential Construction$52.42$29.73-43.3%Low evidence grade20$1.5B
CHDN Churchill Downs IncorporatedGambling, Resorts & Casinos$97.65$97.75+0.1%Low evidence grade56$6.5B
CHWY Chewy, Inc.Specialty Retail$22.05$21.82-1.0%Low evidence grade80$8.6B
CPRI Capri Holdings LimitedFootwear & Accessories$20.06$21.60+7.7%Low evidence grade40$2.1B
CZR Caesars Entertainment, Inc.Gambling, Resorts & Casinos$29.06$28.86-0.7%Low evidence grade37$5.9B
DFH Dream Finders Homes, Inc.Residential Construction$10.10$6.07-39.9%Low evidence grade28$886M
DPZ Domino's Pizza, Inc.Restaurants$323.09$350.00+8.3%Low evidence grade76$10.3B
EYE National Vision Holdings, Inc.Specialty Retail$16.79$18.33+9.2%Low evidence grade46$1.3B
F Ford Motor CompanyAuto Manufacturers$12.31$12.36+0.4%Low evidence grade$48.7B
FOXF Fox Factory Holding Corp.Auto Parts$16.17$14.52-10.2%Low evidence grade37$671M
FUN Six Flags Entertainment CorporationLeisure$7.46$7.55+1.2%Low evidence grade39$765M
GM General Motors CompanyAuto Manufacturers$88.34$90.16+2.1%Low evidence grade$74.2B
GNTX Gentex CorporationAuto Parts$20.09$18.59-7.5%Data under review59$4.2B
GPI Group 1 Automotive, Inc.Auto Dealerships$265.01$281.38+6.2%Low evidence grade47$3.1B
GPK Graphic Packaging Holding CompanyPackaging & Containers$11.31$11.08-2.0%Low evidence grade33$2.6B
GT The Goodyear Tire & Rubber CompanyAuto Parts$4.44$8.52+91.9%Gap wider than 60%42$1.2B
HGV Hilton Grand Vacations Inc.Travel Lodging$41.76$29.27-29.9%Low evidence grade37$3.0B
HZO MarineMax, Inc.Specialty Retail$52.65$48.98-7.0%Low evidence grade48$1.2B
KBH KB HomeResidential Construction$48.93$32.28-34.0%Low evidence grade25$2.9B
KMX CarMax, Inc.Auto Dealerships$53.38$28.75-46.1%Low evidence grade39$7.9B
KSS Kohl's CorporationDepartment Stores$23.62$24.50+3.7%Low evidence grade49$2.8B
LAD Lithia Motors, Inc.Auto Dealerships$298.77$249.55-16.5%Low evidence grade31$6.6B
LGIH LGI Homes, Inc.Residential Construction$43.51$21.81-49.9%Low evidence grade29$1.0B
LQDT Liquidity Services, Inc.Specialty Retail$44.38$44.34-0.1%Low evidence grade$1.4B
LTH Life Time Group Holdings, Inc.Leisure$44.57$42.95-3.6%Low evidence grade38$10.1B
LVS Las Vegas Sands Corp.Gambling, Resorts & Casinos$38.26$45.46+18.8%Low evidence grade71$23.9B
MBC MasterBrand, Inc.Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances$6.89$5.41-21.5%Low evidence grade47$1.5B
MGM MGM Resorts InternationalGambling, Resorts & Casinos$31.02$2.12-93.2%Data under review36$7.6B
MLKN MillerKnoll, Inc.Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances$21.43$24.27+13.3%Low evidence grade48$1.5B
MNRO Monro Inc.Auto Parts$11.63$8.37-28.0%Low evidence grade42$374M
NCLH Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.Travel Services$17.42$25.79+48.0%Low evidence grade19$8.1B
OI O-I Glass, Inc.Packaging & Containers$5.12$9.85+92.4%Gap wider than 60%59$787M
OPLN OPENLANE, Inc.Auto Dealerships$38.88$38.18-1.8%Data under review69$4.8B
OSW OneSpaWorld Holdings LtdLeisure$30.04$28.76-4.3%Low evidence grade67$3.1B
OXM Oxford Industries, Inc.Apparel Manufacturers$28.21$26.20-7.1%Low evidence grade34$422M
PDD PDD Holdings Inc.Specialty Retail$80.17$88.44+10.3%Low evidence grade76$109.9B
PENN PENN Entertainment, Inc.Gambling, Resorts & Casinos$17.07$18.47+8.2%Low evidence grade44$2.1B
PLNT Planet Fitness, Inc.Leisure$55.03$56.63+2.9%Low evidence grade71$4.1B
PZZA Papa John's International, Inc.Restaurants$18.56$23.81+28.3%Low evidence grade60$608M
RCL Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd.Travel Services$313.17$321.63+2.7%Low evidence grade43$82.2B
RH RhSpecialty Retail$134.13$107.91-19.5%Low evidence grade42$2.8B
SAH Sonic Automotive, Inc.Auto Dealerships$60.68$32.46-46.5%Low evidence grade30$2.0B
SHAK Shake Shack Inc.Restaurants$70.14$88.50+26.2%Data under review68$2.8B
SON Sonoco Products CompanyPackaging & Containers$48.83$59.09+21.0%Low evidence grade32$4.9B
SW Smurfit Westrock plcPackaging & Containers$43.42$53.89+24.1%Data under review43$22.6B
TSLA Tesla, Inc.Auto Manufacturers$398.50$349.39-12.3%Data under review51$1.58T
VAC Marriott Vacations Worldwide CorporationGambling, Resorts & Casinos$118.59$112.85-4.8%Low evidence grade45$4.0B
VFC V.F. CorporationApparel Manufacturers$20.04$16.85-15.9%Low evidence grade45$7.2B
WEN The Wendy's CompanyRestaurants$7.27$7.53+3.6%Low evidence grade60$1.4B
WGO Winnebago Industries, Inc.Recreational Vehicles$31.56$31.98+1.3%Low evidence grade54$871M
WHR Whirlpool CorporationFurnishings, Fixtures & Appliances$30.13$10.47-65.3%Gap wider than 60%25$2.0B
WYNN Wynn Resorts, LimitedGambling, Resorts & Casinos$77.68$57.90-25.5%Low evidence grade44$7.7B

Consumer Cyclical industries