NYSE: OXM · Apparel Manufacturers
Oxford Industries (OXM) fair value and price range
As of 26 Sep 2026, Faircurve's model values Oxford Industries (OXM) at $23.16 a share. The stock last closed at $24.93, which puts the model's fair value 7.1% below the price. The model grades the evidence behind this valuation as low, so no verdict is shown. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It does not say how likely the fair value is to be right.
Revalued . Price is the close of 2 Oct 2026. Oxford Industries, Inc.
Faircurve Insights · 26 Sep 2026
Oxford Industries, Inc. (OII) operates globally as a lifestyle apparel and accessories enterprise, engaged in the development, procurement, promotion, and sale of various branded products.
Faircurve's model found a fair value of $23.16 a share on 26 Sep 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. This fair value moved -8.5% from the $25.31 given on 19 Sep 2026. The calibrated range over 63 trading days is $19.43 to $28.24, which held the price 60% of the time at this horizon, and the model grades the evidence behind this valuation as low.
The overall quality score for Oxford Industries, Inc. is 34 out of 100 against comparable companies. The model compares it with G-III Apparel Group, Ltd. (GIII), Under Armour, Inc. (UA), Under Armour, Inc. (UAA), Columbia Sportswear Company (COLM), Kontoor Brands, Inc. (KTB), and Ralph Lauren Corporation (RL). The stock's median move around its last 8 earnings reports, ignoring direction, was 17.5%.
Written from the figures on this page for the 26 Sep 2026 valuation and checked by rule before publishing: every number is one printed here, no forecast, no instruction. The price, the gap and the verdict are the page's own and change daily. Not a recommendation.
What price range does the model give OXM?
The calibrated range for OXM over 63 trading days is $19.43 to $28.24. There is no live options data for this stock, so the range is built from the fair value and calibrated weekly against realised prices (n = 4,327 past valuations, refreshed 26 Sep 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon.
The model's own simulated range, from the 20th to the 80th percentile of its runs, is $0.57 to $58.42. In 47% of the simulations the fair value came out above the price the model ran on.
How does OXM score on business quality?
Oxford Industries's overall quality score is 34 out of 100. Each factor below is a score against comparable companies, not a percentile of the metric beside it.
| Factor | Score (0 to 100) | Headline measure | Peer median |
|---|---|---|---|
| ProfitabilityReturn on invested capital against the peer group, with a bonus for an improving trend. | 0 | -0.6%ROIC | 6.3% |
| Earnings qualityHow much of reported profit is cash: free cash flow to net income, and the accrual ratio (the share of earnings that is not cash). | 100 | ||
| Growth qualityTrailing revenue growth, forward growth from consensus, and the direction of analyst estimate revisions. | 32 | -2.6%Revenue growth, trailing | -1.9% |
| Capital disciplineReinvestment efficiency (capital spending per unit of revenue) and net buybacks. | 36 | 0.0%Net buybacks / market value | 0.6% |
| Balance sheetNet debt to EBITDA and interest coverage. | 16 | 9.03xNet debt / EBITDA | 0.77x |
| StabilityDownside volatility of the EBITDA margin over the last five years. | 21 | 4.6 ptsEBITDA margin downside volatility, 5y | 3.1 pts |
How does OXM compare with similar companies?
The companies in apparel manufacturers closest to Oxford Industries in market value, each on the same model and the same date.
| Company | Last close | Model fair value | Gap | Model verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GIII G-III Apparel Group, Ltd. | $27.37 | $35.63 | +30.2% | Undervalued |
| UA Under Armour, Inc. | $4.59 | $3.02 | -34.2% | Overvalued |
| UAA Under Armour, Inc. | $4.71 | $2.98 | -36.7% | Overvalued |
| COLM Columbia Sportswear Company | $57.27 | $60.11 | +5.0% | Fairly valued |
| PVH PVH Corp. | $75.53 | $100.61 | +33.2% | Low evidence grade |
| KTB Kontoor Brands, Inc. | $64.71 | $69.57 | +7.5% | Fairly valued |
| VFC V.F. Corporation | $14.33 | $13.65 | -4.7% | Low evidence grade |
| RL Ralph Lauren Corporation | $363.37 | $343.08 | -5.6% | Fairly valued |
When does OXM report earnings, and how has the stock reacted?
Oxford Industries's next earnings report is scheduled for 9 Dec 2026. Companies can move their dates.
How OXM moved around its last 8 earnings reports
Each move runs from the last close before the report to the first close after it, so it covers companies that report before the open and after the close. The median size across these 8 reports, ignoring direction, was 17.5%.
| Report date | Two session move |
|---|---|
| 3 Sep 2026 | -18.2% |
| 10 Jun 2026 | -16.8% |
| 26 Mar 2026 | +5.1% |
| 10 Dec 2025 | -19.9% |
| 10 Sep 2025 | +26.6% |
| 11 Jun 2025 | -24.1% |
| 27 Mar 2025 | -4.5% |
| 11 Dec 2024 | -7.7% |
Oxford Industries at a glance
Oxford Industries, Inc. (OII) operates globally as a lifestyle apparel and accessories enterprise, engaged in the development, procurement, promotion, and sale of various branded products.
- Market value
- $387M
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical
- Industry
- Apparel Manufacturers
- Revenue expected, next twelve months
- $1.5B
- Consensus revenue growth, next fiscal year
- -1.5%
- Analysts with estimates
- 2
- Beta to the US market
- 0.96
- First valued by Faircurve
- 11 Jul 2026
How the fair value is worked out: the model prices Oxford Industries on the value of the whole business, debt included, against the operating profit analysts expect next year (forward EV/EBITDA), runs 2,000 simulations across its inputs and takes the midpoint. The full method is documented here.
What changed in the latest valuation?
On 19 Sep 2026 the model's fair value for OXM was $25.31. As of 26 Sep 2026 it is $23.16, a change of -8.5%. The model revalues every stock it covers each week, and again after an earnings report.
Questions about Oxford Industries's valuation
Is Oxford Industries stock undervalued or overvalued?
Faircurve's model puts OXM's fair value at $23.16 a share against a last close of $24.93, as of 26 Sep 2026. The model grades the evidence behind this valuation as low, so no verdict is shown. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It does not say how likely the fair value is to be right.
What is OXM's fair value?
$23.16 a share as of 26 Sep 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The model's own 20th to 80th percentile range is $0.57 to $58.42.
What price range does the model give OXM?
$19.43 to $28.24 over 63 trading days. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time across 4,327 past valuations, refreshed 26 Sep 2026.
When does Oxford Industries report earnings next?
The next report is scheduled for 9 Dec 2026. Companies can move their dates.
How much has OXM moved on past earnings reports?
Across its last 8 reports the median two session move was 17.5%, ignoring direction. The largest was +26.6% around the report of 10 Sep 2025.
How confident is the model in this valuation?
The model's evidence grade for OXM is low. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It is not a probability that the fair value is right, or that the price reaches it.