NYSE: VLTO · Pollution & Treatment Controls
Veralto (VLTO) fair value: undervalued or overvalued?
As of 28 Sep 2026, Faircurve's model values Veralto (VLTO) at $97.01 a share. The stock last closed at $94.68, which puts the model's fair value 2.5% above the price. On the model's bands that reads as Fairly valued.
Revalued . Price is the close of 2 Oct 2026. Veralto Corporation.
Faircurve Insights · 28 Sep 2026
Veralto Corporation is a global provider specializing in critical solutions across water quality management, brand protection, and packaging aesthetics.
On 28 Sep 2026, Faircurve's model found a fair value of $97.01 a share, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. This fair value moved +1.3% since the previous run on 19 Sep 2026 which gave $95.78. The calibrated range over 63 trading days is $81.39 to $118.29, built from the fair value, and calibrated weekly against realised prices (4,327 past valuations, refreshed 26 Sep 2026); ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon. The model's evidence grade is High.
The business has an overall quality score of 69 out of 100 against comparable companies. Its profitability score is 100, with ROIC at 24.3% against a peer median of 11.1%, and its stability score is 100. The model compares Veralto Corporation with Xylem Inc. (XYL), Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. (EXPD), Hubbell Incorporated (HUBB), Otis Worldwide Corporation (OTIS), ATI Inc. (ATI), and Dover Corporation (DOV). The stock's moves around its last 8 earnings reports ranged from +4.8% to -9.9%, with a median size of 4.6% ignoring direction.
Written from the figures on this page for the 28 Sep 2026 valuation and checked by rule before publishing: every number is one printed here, no forecast, no instruction. The price, the gap and the verdict are the page's own and change daily. Not a recommendation.
What price range does the model give VLTO?
The calibrated range for VLTO over 63 trading days is $81.39 to $118.29. There is no live options data for this stock, so the range is built from the fair value and calibrated weekly against realised prices (n = 4,327 past valuations, refreshed 26 Sep 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon.
The model's own simulated range, from the 20th to the 80th percentile of its runs, is $79.92 to $116.23. In 50% of the simulations the fair value came out above the price the model ran on.
How does VLTO score on business quality?
Veralto's overall quality score is 69 out of 100. Each factor below is a score against comparable companies, not a percentile of the metric beside it.
| Factor | Score (0 to 100) | Headline measure | Peer median |
|---|---|---|---|
| ProfitabilityReturn on invested capital against the peer group, with a bonus for an improving trend. | 100 | 24.3%ROIC | 11.1% |
| Earnings qualityHow much of reported profit is cash: free cash flow to net income, and the accrual ratio (the share of earnings that is not cash). | 9 | 1.06xFCF / net income | 1.14x |
| Growth qualityTrailing revenue growth, forward growth from consensus, and the direction of analyst estimate revisions. | 56 | 6.0%Revenue growth, trailing | 4.7% |
| Capital disciplineReinvestment efficiency (capital spending per unit of revenue) and net buybacks. | 64 | 1.8%Net buybacks / market value | 1.5% |
| Balance sheetNet debt to EBITDA and interest coverage. | 92 | 0.93xNet debt / EBITDA | 2.31x |
| StabilityDownside volatility of the EBITDA margin over the last five years. | 100 | 0.1 ptsEBITDA margin downside volatility, 5y | 0.7 pts |
How does VLTO compare with similar companies?
The companies in pollution & treatment controls closest to Veralto in market value, each on the same model and the same date.
| Company | Last close | Model fair value | Gap | Model verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| XYL Xylem Inc. | $101.79 | $107.21 | +5.3% | Fairly valued |
| EXPD Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. | $192.47 | $183.65 | -4.6% | Fairly valued |
| HUBB Hubbell Incorporated | $475.52 | $405.83 | -14.7% | Fairly valued |
| OTIS Otis Worldwide Corporation | $64.05 | $82.12 | +28.2% | Undervalued |
| ATI ATI Inc. | $192.42 | $166.04 | -13.7% | Fairly valued |
| CPRT Copart, Inc. | $27.22 | $30.47 | +11.9% | Low evidence grade |
| RBA.TO RB Global, Inc. | $116.75 | $114.12 | -2.3% | Low evidence grade |
| DOV Dover Corporation | $189.69 | $197.47 | +4.1% | Fairly valued |
When does VLTO report earnings, and how has the stock reacted?
Veralto's next earnings report is scheduled for 27 Oct 2026. Companies can move their dates.
How VLTO moved around its last 8 earnings reports
Each move runs from the last close before the report to the first close after it, so it covers companies that report before the open and after the close. The median size across these 8 reports, ignoring direction, was 4.6%.
| Report date | Two session move |
|---|---|
| 28 Jul 2026 | +4.8% |
| 28 Apr 2026 | +2.7% |
| 3 Feb 2026 | -9.9% |
| 28 Oct 2025 | -4.4% |
| 28 Jul 2025 | +1.7% |
| 29 Apr 2025 | +4.2% |
| 4 Feb 2025 | -5.3% |
| 23 Oct 2024 | -5.4% |
Veralto at a glance
Veralto Corporation is a global provider specializing in critical solutions across water quality management, brand protection, and packaging aesthetics.
- Market value
- $23.7B
- Sector
- Industrials
- Industry
- Pollution & Treatment Controls
- Revenue expected, next twelve months
- $6.1B
- Consensus revenue growth, next fiscal year
- +7.4%
- Analysts with estimates
- 7
- Beta to the US market
- 0.23
- First valued by Faircurve
- 1 May 2026
How the fair value is worked out: the model prices Veralto on the value of the whole business, debt included, against the operating profit analysts expect next year (forward EV/EBITDA), runs 2,000 simulations across its inputs and takes the midpoint. The full method is documented here.
What changed in the latest valuation?
On 19 Sep 2026 the model's fair value for VLTO was $95.78. As of 28 Sep 2026 it is $97.01, a change of +1.3%. The model revalues every stock it covers each week, and again after an earnings report.
Questions about Veralto's valuation
Is Veralto stock undervalued or overvalued?
On Faircurve's model, VLTO reads as Fairly valued as of 28 Sep 2026. The model's fair value is $97.01 a share against a last close of $94.68, a gap of +2.5%.
What is VLTO's fair value?
$97.01 a share as of 28 Sep 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The model's own 20th to 80th percentile range is $79.92 to $116.23.
What price range does the model give VLTO?
$81.39 to $118.29 over 63 trading days. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time across 4,327 past valuations, refreshed 26 Sep 2026.
When does Veralto report earnings next?
The next report is scheduled for 27 Oct 2026. Companies can move their dates.
How much has VLTO moved on past earnings reports?
Across its last 8 reports the median two session move was 4.6%, ignoring direction. The largest was -9.9% around the report of 3 Feb 2026.
How confident is the model in this valuation?
The model's evidence grade for VLTO is high. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It is not a probability that the fair value is right, or that the price reaches it.