NYSE: WH · Travel Lodging
Wyndham Hotels & Resorts (WH) fair value: undervalued or overvalued?
As of 31 Oct 2026, Faircurve's model values Wyndham Hotels & Resorts (WH) at $65.77 a share. The stock last closed at $79.08, which puts the model's fair value 16.8% below the price. On the model's bands that reads as Overvalued.
Revalued . Price is the close of 3 Nov 2026. Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc.
The report adds the live price, the chart against the range the options market prices, the next earnings date and the analysts' consensus. No account needed.
This week, in three parts
What happenedThe run of 31 Oct 2026 moved the fair value from $62.46 to $65.77 (+5.3%). Analysts raised their next-twelve-month EBITDA estimates: most of the move.
What the model makes of itThe price of $79.08 is 16.8% above it: Overvalued, on a medium evidence grade.
What's nextNext report on 17 Feb 2027. The next weekly run is on Saturday 7 Nov 2026.
What price range does the model give WH?
The calibrated range for WH over 63 trading days is $53.28 to $78.56. There is no live options data for this stock, so the range is built from the fair value and calibrated weekly against realised prices (n = 10,454 past valuations, refreshed 31 Oct 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon.
The price is above this range. For names with fair value 15%+ below price, the calibrated range has held the price 35% of the time over 63 trading days, and 64% ended above it; the typical move was −4.7%.
The model's own simulated range, from the 20th to the 80th percentile of its runs, is $45.42 to $89.19. In 36% of the simulations the fair value came out above the price the model ran on.
Faircurve Insights · 31 Oct 2026
Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (WH) functions internationally as a prominent hotel franchisor. Its business is structured around two segments: Hotel Franchising and Hotel Management.
Faircurve's model put the fair value at $65.77 a share on 31 Oct 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. That is up 5.3% from $62.46 on 24 Oct 2026. The model's reason is: "Analysts raised their next-twelve-month EBITDA estimates: most of the move." The calibrated range over 63 trading days is $53.28 to $78.56. It is built from the fair value, as there is no live options data for the stock. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon. The model grades the evidence Medium. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It does not say whether the fair value is right.
On quality, Faircurve's model gives the business an overall score of 53 out of 100, a composite of six factors scored against comparable companies. Earnings quality is the highest at 67, with FCF / net income at 1.63x against a peer median of 0.95x. The balance sheet is the lowest at 24, with Net debt / EBITDA at 5.48x against a peer median of 3.77x. The model compares the company with Choice Hotels International, Inc. (CHH), Hyatt Hotels Corporation (H), Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) and Marriott International, Inc. (MAR).
Written from the figures on this page for the 31 Oct 2026 valuation and checked by rule before publishing: every number is one printed here, no forecast, no instruction. The price, the gap and the verdict are the page's own and change daily. Not a recommendation.
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When does WH report earnings, and how has the stock reacted?
Wyndham Hotels & Resorts's next earnings report is scheduled for 17 Feb 2027. Companies can move their dates.
Around its last 8 reports: what the options market priced, and what followed
Each move runs from the last close before the report to the first close after it, so it covers companies that report before the open and after the close. The median size across WH's last 8 reports, ignoring direction, was 3.9%.
What the options market has priced for a month's move in WH
How does WH score on business quality?
Wyndham Hotels & Resorts's overall quality score is 53 out of 100. Each factor below is a score against comparable companies, not a percentile of the metric beside it.
| Factor | Score (0 to 100) | Headline measure | Peer median |
|---|---|---|---|
| ProfitabilityReturn on invested capital against the peer group, with a bonus for an improving trend. | 60 | 10.0%ROIC | 9.5% |
| Earnings qualityHow much of reported profit is cash: free cash flow to net income, and the accrual ratio (the share of earnings that is not cash). | 67 | 1.63xFCF / net income | 0.95x |
| Growth qualityTrailing revenue growth, forward growth from consensus, and the direction of analysts' rating changes. | 46 | 1.5%Revenue growth, trailing | 2.5% |
| Capital disciplineReinvestment efficiency (capital spending per unit of revenue) and net buybacks. | 55 | 4.0%Net buybacks / market value | 2.4% |
| Balance sheetNet debt to EBITDA and interest coverage. | 24 | 5.48xNet debt / EBITDA | 3.77x |
| StabilityDownside volatility of the EBITDA margin over the last five years. | 40 | 3.2 ptsEBITDA margin downside volatility, 5y | 2.7 pts |
How does WH compare with similar companies?
The companies in travel lodging closest to Wyndham Hotels & Resorts in market value, each on the same model and the same date.
| Company | Last close | Model fair value | Gap | Model verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHH Choice Hotels International, Inc. | $118.94 | $104.24 | -12.4% | Fairly valued |
| HGV Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. | $41.76 | $29.27 | -29.9% | Low evidence grade |
| H Hyatt Hotels Corporation | $185.44 | $154.76 | -16.5% | Overvalued |
| HLT Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. | $363.83 | $308.90 | -15.1% | Overvalued |
| MAR Marriott International, Inc. | $416.38 | $362.89 | -12.8% | Fairly valued |
What the comparable companies' multiples alone would give for WH, the peer-implied price, is $52.63 a share on this run. The fair value weighs that against the company's own multiple.
Wyndham Hotels & Resorts at a glance
Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. functions internationally as a prominent hotel franchisor. Its business activities are primarily structured around two segments: Hotel Franchising and Hotel Management.
- Market value
- $5.6B
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical
- Industry
- Travel Lodging
- Revenue expected, next twelve months
- $1.6B
- Consensus revenue growth, next fiscal year
- +3.9%
- Analysts with estimates
- 12
- Beta to the US market
- 0.43
- First valued by Faircurve
- 11 Jul 2026
At the close of 3 Nov 2026, 52.1% of the 1,081 graded US stocks the model covers traded below the model's fair value. WH was not among them.
How the fair value is worked out: the model prices Wyndham Hotels & Resorts on the value of the whole business, debt included, against the operating profit analysts expect next year (forward EV/EBITDA), runs 2,000 simulations across its inputs and takes the midpoint. The full method is documented here.
What changed in the latest valuation?
On 24 Oct 2026 the model's fair value for WH was $62.46. As of 31 Oct 2026 it is $65.77, a change of +5.3%. Analysts raised their next-twelve-month EBITDA estimates: most of the move. The model revalues every stock it covers each week, and again after an earnings report.
Questions about Wyndham Hotels & Resorts's valuation
Is Wyndham Hotels & Resorts stock undervalued or overvalued?
On Faircurve's model, WH reads as Overvalued as of 31 Oct 2026. The model's fair value is $65.77 a share against a last close of $79.08, a gap of -16.8%.
What is WH's fair value?
$65.77 a share as of 31 Oct 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The model's own 20th to 80th percentile range is $45.42 to $89.19.
What price range does the model give WH?
$53.28 to $78.56 over 63 trading days. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time across 10,454 past valuations, refreshed 31 Oct 2026.
When does Wyndham Hotels & Resorts report earnings next?
The next report is scheduled for 17 Feb 2027. Companies can move their dates.
How much has WH moved on past earnings reports?
Across its last 8 reports the median two session move was 3.9%, ignoring direction. The largest was -6.3% around the report of 22 Oct 2025.
How confident is the model in this valuation?
The model's evidence grade for WH is medium. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It is not a probability that the fair value is right, or that the price reaches it.
The model's own ideas on WH
The model holds no idea open on WH today. Signed-in readers see the rule each idea runs on, the floor and the exit level the model set and its time limit, and the model's closed ideas on WH with their outcomes. A free account is enough.