NYSE: BC · Recreational Vehicles
Brunswick (BC) fair value: undervalued or overvalued?
As of 4 Nov 2026, Faircurve's model values Brunswick (BC) at $90.62 a share. The stock last closed at $78.89, which puts the model's fair value 14.9% above the price. On the model's bands that reads as Fairly valued.
Revalued . Price is the close of 5 Nov 2026. Brunswick Corporation.
The report adds the live price, the chart against the range the options market prices, the next earnings date and the analysts' consensus. No account needed.
This week, in three parts
What happenedThe run of 4 Nov 2026 moved the fair value from $88.50 to $90.62 (+2.4%).
What the model makes of itThe price of $78.89 is 14.9% below it: Fairly valued, on a medium evidence grade.
What's nextNext report on 28 Jan 2027. Options prices imply a move of about 11% either way over the next month. The next weekly run is on Saturday 7 Nov 2026.
What price range does the model give BC?
The calibrated range for BC over 63 trading days is $70.64 to $90.36. It sits around the last close, and its width comes from the volatility that BC's own options imply (37% a year), calibrated weekly against realised prices (n = 6,661 past valuations, refreshed 31 Oct 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon. The fair value is the model's opinion and rides beside the range. It is not the centre of it.
The model's own simulated range, from the 20th to the 80th percentile of its runs, is $55.13 to $140.44. In 60% of the simulations the fair value came out above the price the model ran on.
Faircurve Insights · 4 Nov 2026
Brunswick Corporation designs, manufactures, and markets recreation products in the United States, Europe, the Asia-Pacific, Canada, and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Propulsion, Engine P&A, Navico Group, and Boat.
Faircurve's model put the fair value of Brunswick Corporation (BC) at $90.62 a share on 4 Nov 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The previous run, on 31 Oct 2026, gave $88.50, so the fair value moved +2.4%. The calibrated range over 63 trading days runs from $72.80 to $93.12. It is built around the price implied by the stock's own options volatility and calibrated weekly against realised prices (6,661 past valuations, refreshed 31 Oct 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon. The evidence grade is Medium, based on input completeness, the number and agreement of comparable companies, and the width of outcomes. It does not say whether the fair value is right.
Brunswick scores 56 out of 100 overall on quality against comparable companies. Earnings quality is the highest factor, at 80, with free cash flow to net income of 1.77x against a peer median of 0.67x. Growth quality scores 65, with trailing revenue growth of 2.4% against a peer median of 0.2%. Capital discipline scores 29, with net buybacks at 1.5% of market value against a peer median of 2.9%. The model compares the company with Thor Industries, Inc. (THO), Polaris Inc. (PII) and LCI Industries (LCII).
Written from the figures on this page for the 4 Nov 2026 valuation and checked by rule before publishing: every number is one printed here, no forecast, no instruction. The price, the gap and the verdict are the page's own and change daily. Not a recommendation.
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When does BC report earnings, and how has the stock reacted?
Brunswick's next earnings report is scheduled for 28 Jan 2027. Companies can move their dates.
Options prices on 4 Nov 2026 imply a move of about 10.2% in either direction through the nearest expiry, about 43 days out. That is the size the market is pricing, not a direction. BC's 30 day implied volatility works out to about 10.7% over one month.
Around its last 8 reports: what the options market priced, and what followed
Each move runs from the last close before the report to the first close after it, so it covers companies that report before the open and after the close. The median size across BC's last 8 reports, ignoring direction, was 3.3%.
What the options market has priced for a month's move in BC
How does BC score on business quality?
Brunswick's overall quality score is 56 out of 100. Each factor below is a score against comparable companies, not a percentile of the metric beside it.
| Factor | Score (0 to 100) | Headline measure | Peer median |
|---|---|---|---|
| ProfitabilityReturn on invested capital against the peer group, with a bonus for an improving trend. | 50 | 8.4%ROIC | 8.2% |
| Earnings qualityHow much of reported profit is cash: free cash flow to net income, and the accrual ratio (the share of earnings that is not cash). | 80 | 1.77xFCF / net income | 0.67x |
| Growth qualityTrailing revenue growth, forward growth from consensus, and the direction of analysts' rating changes. | 65 | 2.4%Revenue growth, trailing | 0.2% |
| Capital disciplineReinvestment efficiency (capital spending per unit of revenue) and net buybacks. | 29 | 1.5%Net buybacks / market value | 2.9% |
| Balance sheetNet debt to EBITDA and interest coverage. | 54 | 2.74xNet debt / EBITDA | 2.89x |
| StabilityDownside volatility of the EBITDA margin over the last five years. | 33 | 3.8 ptsEBITDA margin downside volatility, 5y | 2.3 pts |
How does BC compare with similar companies?
The companies in recreational vehicles closest to Brunswick in market value, each on the same model and the same date.
| Company | Last close | Model fair value | Gap | Model verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| THO Thor Industries, Inc. | $82.33 | $68.74 | -16.5% | Overvalued |
| PII Polaris Inc. | $64.30 | $59.06 | -8.1% | Fairly valued |
| LCII LCI Industries | $102.51 | $105.34 | +2.8% | Fairly valued |
| WGO Winnebago Industries, Inc. | $33.17 | $31.98 | -3.6% | Low evidence grade |
What the comparable companies' multiples alone would give for BC, the peer-implied price, is $110.62 a share on this run. The fair value weighs that against the company's own multiple.
All recreational vehicles stocks ranked by gap to fair value
Brunswick at a glance
Brunswick Corporation designs, manufactures, and markets recreation products in the United States, Europe, the Asia-Pacific, Canada, and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Propulsion, Engine P&A, Navico Group, and Boat.
- Market value
- $4.9B
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical
- Industry
- Recreational Vehicles
- Revenue expected, next twelve months
- $6.0B
- Consensus revenue growth, next fiscal year
- +6.9%
- Analysts with estimates
- 13
- Beta to the US market
- 1.00
- First valued by Faircurve
- 11 Jul 2026
At the close of 5 Nov 2026, 56.1% of the 1,065 graded US stocks the model covers traded below the model's fair value. BC was among them.
How the fair value is worked out: the model prices Brunswick on the value of the whole business, debt included, against the operating profit analysts expect next year (forward EV/EBITDA), runs 2,000 simulations across its inputs and takes the midpoint. The full method is documented here.
What changed in the latest valuation?
On 31 Oct 2026 the model's fair value for BC was $88.50. As of 4 Nov 2026 it is $90.62, a change of +2.4%. The model revalues every stock it covers each week, and again after an earnings report.
Questions about Brunswick's valuation
Is Brunswick stock undervalued or overvalued?
On Faircurve's model, BC reads as Fairly valued as of 4 Nov 2026. The model's fair value is $90.62 a share against a last close of $78.89, a gap of +14.9%.
What is BC's fair value?
$90.62 a share as of 4 Nov 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The model's own 20th to 80th percentile range is $55.13 to $140.44.
What price range does the model give BC?
$70.64 to $90.36 over 63 trading days. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time across 6,661 past valuations, refreshed 31 Oct 2026.
When does Brunswick report earnings next?
The next report is scheduled for 28 Jan 2027. Companies can move their dates.
How much has BC moved on past earnings reports?
Across its last 8 reports the median two session move was 3.3%, ignoring direction. The largest was +10.5% around the report of 23 Oct 2025.
How confident is the model in this valuation?
The model's evidence grade for BC is medium. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It is not a probability that the fair value is right, or that the price reaches it.
The model's own ideas on BC
The model holds no idea open on BC today. Signed-in readers see the rule each idea runs on, the floor and the exit level the model set and its time limit, and the model's closed ideas on BC with their outcomes. A free account is enough.