NYSE: LCII · Recreational Vehicles
LCI Industries (LCII) fair value: undervalued or overvalued?
As of 26 Sep 2026, Faircurve's model values LCI Industries (LCII) at $92.41 a share. The stock last closed at $82.81, which puts the model's fair value 11.6% above the price. On the model's bands that reads as Fairly valued.
Revalued . Price is the close of 2 Oct 2026. LCI Industries.
Faircurve Insights · 26 Sep 2026
LCI Industries operates globally through its subsidiaries, specializing in producing and delivering components for recreational vehicle manufacturers and various associated industries.
Faircurve's model found a fair value of $92.41 a share on 26 Sep 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The previous run, on 19 Sep 2026, gave $94.76, so the fair value moved -2.5%. The calibrated range over 63 trading days is $77.53 to $112.68. The evidence grade is Medium.
The company's overall quality score is 58 out of 100 against comparable companies. The model compares it with Polaris Inc. (PII) and Thor Industries, Inc. (THO). Moves around the last 8 earnings reports ranged from -5.3% to +14.5%, with a median size of 4.2%.
Written from the figures on this page for the 26 Sep 2026 valuation and checked by rule before publishing: every number is one printed here, no forecast, no instruction. The price, the gap and the verdict are the page's own and change daily. Not a recommendation.
What price range does the model give LCII?
The calibrated range for LCII over 63 trading days is $77.53 to $112.68. There is no live options data for this stock, so the range is built from the fair value and calibrated weekly against realised prices (n = 4,327 past valuations, refreshed 26 Sep 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon.
The model's own simulated range, from the 20th to the 80th percentile of its runs, is $56.30 to $139.74. In 56% of the simulations the fair value came out above the price the model ran on.
How does LCII score on business quality?
LCI Industries's overall quality score is 58 out of 100. Each factor below is a score against comparable companies, not a percentile of the metric beside it.
| Factor | Score (0 to 100) | Headline measure | Peer median |
|---|---|---|---|
| ProfitabilityReturn on invested capital against the peer group, with a bonus for an improving trend. | 72 | 9.5%ROIC | 8.2% |
| Earnings qualityHow much of reported profit is cash: free cash flow to net income, and the accrual ratio (the share of earnings that is not cash). | 43 | 1.36xFCF / net income | 1.33x |
| Growth qualityTrailing revenue growth, forward growth from consensus, and the direction of analyst estimate revisions. | 52 | 10.2%Revenue growth, trailing | 0.8% |
| Capital disciplineReinvestment efficiency (capital spending per unit of revenue) and net buybacks. | 80 | 3.0%Net buybacks / market value | 0.9% |
| Balance sheetNet debt to EBITDA and interest coverage. | 50 | 2.10xNet debt / EBITDA | 1.72x |
| StabilityDownside volatility of the EBITDA margin over the last five years. | 47 | 1.6 ptsEBITDA margin downside volatility, 5y | 1.4 pts |
How does LCII compare with similar companies?
The companies in recreational vehicles closest to LCI Industries in market value, each on the same model and the same date.
| Company | Last close | Model fair value | Gap | Model verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PII Polaris Inc. | $53.71 | $53.00 | -1.3% | Fairly valued |
| THO Thor Industries, Inc. | $69.55 | $66.22 | -4.8% | Fairly valued |
| BC Brunswick Corporation | $65.43 | $74.94 | +14.5% | Low evidence grade |
| WGO Winnebago Industries, Inc. | $26.30 | $27.04 | +2.8% | Low evidence grade |
All recreational vehicles stocks ranked by gap to fair value
When does LCII report earnings, and how has the stock reacted?
LCI Industries's next earnings report is scheduled for 29 Oct 2026. Companies can move their dates.
Options prices on 2 Oct 2026 imply a move of about 12.5% in either direction through the nearest expiry, about 48 days out, a window that includes the report. That is the size the market is pricing, not a direction.
How LCII moved around its last 8 earnings reports
Each move runs from the last close before the report to the first close after it, so it covers companies that report before the open and after the close. The median size across these 8 reports, ignoring direction, was 4.2%.
| Report date | Two session move |
|---|---|
| 5 Aug 2026 | -1.2% |
| 31 Mar 2026 | +2.3% |
| 18 Feb 2026 | -5.3% |
| 30 Oct 2025 | +14.5% |
| 5 Aug 2025 | -0.1% |
| 6 May 2025 | +8.4% |
| 11 Feb 2025 | +7.0% |
| 7 Nov 2024 | -3.1% |
LCI Industries at a glance
LCI Industries, operating globally through its subsidiaries, specializes in producing and delivering a wide array of components for recreational vehicle (RV) manufacturers and various associated industries.
- Market value
- $2.1B
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical
- Industry
- Recreational Vehicles
- Revenue expected, next twelve months
- $4.2B
- Consensus revenue growth, next fiscal year
- -2.5%
- Analysts with estimates
- 7
- Beta to the US market
- 0.66
- First valued by Faircurve
- 11 Jul 2026
How the fair value is worked out: the model prices LCI Industries on the value of the whole business, debt included, against the operating profit analysts expect next year (forward EV/EBITDA), runs 2,000 simulations across its inputs and takes the midpoint. The full method is documented here.
What changed in the latest valuation?
On 19 Sep 2026 the model's fair value for LCII was $94.76. As of 26 Sep 2026 it is $92.41, a change of -2.5%. The model revalues every stock it covers each week, and again after an earnings report.
Questions about LCI Industries's valuation
Is LCI Industries stock undervalued or overvalued?
On Faircurve's model, LCII reads as Fairly valued as of 26 Sep 2026. The model's fair value is $92.41 a share against a last close of $82.81, a gap of +11.6%.
What is LCII's fair value?
$92.41 a share as of 26 Sep 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The model's own 20th to 80th percentile range is $56.30 to $139.74.
What price range does the model give LCII?
$77.53 to $112.68 over 63 trading days. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time across 4,327 past valuations, refreshed 26 Sep 2026.
When does LCI Industries report earnings next?
The next report is scheduled for 29 Oct 2026. Companies can move their dates.
How much has LCII moved on past earnings reports?
Across its last 8 reports the median two session move was 4.2%, ignoring direction. The largest was +14.5% around the report of 30 Oct 2025.
How confident is the model in this valuation?
The model's evidence grade for LCII is medium. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It is not a probability that the fair value is right, or that the price reaches it.