NASDAQ: GEN · Infrastructure Software
Gen Digital (GEN) fair value: undervalued or overvalued?
As of 26 Sep 2026, Faircurve's model values Gen Digital (GEN) at $31.78 a share. The stock last closed at $21.99, which puts the model's fair value 44.5% above the price. On the model's bands that reads as Undervalued.
Revalued . Price is the close of 2 Oct 2026. Gen Digital Inc.
Faircurve Insights · 26 Sep 2026
Gen Digital Inc. delivers a wide array of cyber safety solutions for individual users across the globe, with operations spanning the United States, Canada, Latin America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific region, and Japan.
Faircurve's model found a fair value of $31.78 a share for Gen Digital Inc. on 26 Sep 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. This is a -14.5% move from the previous run on 19 Sep 2026, which gave $37.15. The calibrated range is $26.66 to $38.75, built from the fair value since there is no live options data, and ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time. The model's evidence grade is Medium.
The company scores 58 out of 100 on overall quality against comparable companies. The model compares Gen Digital Inc. with GoDaddy Inc. (GDDY), DigitalOcean Holdings, Inc. (DOCN), Akamai Technologies, Inc. (AKAM), Nutanix, Inc. (NTNX), Dropbox, Inc. (DBX), F5, Inc. (FFIV), UiPath Inc. (PATH), and VeriSign, Inc. (VRSN). The stock's median move around its last 8 earnings reports was 5.9%.
Written from the figures on this page for the 26 Sep 2026 valuation and checked by rule before publishing: every number is one printed here, no forecast, no instruction. The price, the gap and the verdict are the page's own and change daily. Not a recommendation.
What price range does the model give GEN?
The calibrated range for GEN over 63 trading days is $26.66 to $38.75. There is no live options data for this stock, so the range is built from the fair value and calibrated weekly against realised prices (n = 4,327 past valuations, refreshed 26 Sep 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon.
The price is below this range. For names with fair value 30%+ above price, the calibrated range has held the price 29% of the time over 63 trading days, and 71% ended below it; the typical move was +5.7%.
The model's own simulated range, from the 20th to the 80th percentile of its runs, is $21.48 to $44.68. In 79% of the simulations the fair value came out above the price the model ran on.
How does GEN score on business quality?
Gen Digital's overall quality score is 58 out of 100. Each factor below is a score against comparable companies, not a percentile of the metric beside it.
| Factor | Score (0 to 100) | Headline measure | Peer median |
|---|---|---|---|
| ProfitabilityReturn on invested capital against the peer group, with a bonus for an improving trend. | 65 | 14.3%ROIC | 3.4% |
| Earnings qualityHow much of reported profit is cash: free cash flow to net income, and the accrual ratio (the share of earnings that is not cash). | 52 | 1.47xFCF / net income | 1.28x |
| Growth qualityTrailing revenue growth, forward growth from consensus, and the direction of analyst estimate revisions. | 65 | 27.1%Revenue growth, trailing | 13.3% |
| Capital disciplineReinvestment efficiency (capital spending per unit of revenue) and net buybacks. | 75 | 4.7%Net buybacks / market value | 2.3% |
| Balance sheetNet debt to EBITDA and interest coverage. | 21 | 3.30xNet debt / EBITDA | 0.17x |
| StabilityDownside volatility of the EBITDA margin over the last five years. | 60 | 6.4 ptsEBITDA margin downside volatility, 5y | 10.0 pts |
How does GEN compare with similar companies?
The companies in infrastructure software closest to Gen Digital in market value, each on the same model and the same date.
| Company | Last close | Model fair value | Gap | Model verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GDDY GoDaddy Inc. | $97.21 | $126.29 | +29.9% | Undervalued |
| DOCN DigitalOcean Holdings, Inc. | $140.07 | $136.66 | -2.4% | Fairly valued |
| AKAM Akamai Technologies, Inc. | $108.92 | $124.31 | +14.1% | Fairly valued |
| NTNX Nutanix, Inc. | $72.29 | $60.80 | -15.9% | Overvalued |
| DBX Dropbox, Inc. | $33.90 | $38.53 | +13.7% | Fairly valued |
| FFIV F5, Inc. | $454.04 | $449.07 | -1.1% | Fairly valued |
| PATH UiPath Inc. | $13.12 | $16.38 | +24.8% | Undervalued |
| VRSN VeriSign, Inc. | $288.32 | $262.57 | -8.9% | Fairly valued |
All infrastructure software stocks ranked by gap to fair value
When does GEN report earnings, and how has the stock reacted?
Gen Digital's next earnings report is scheduled for 5 Nov 2026. Companies can move their dates.
Options prices on 2 Oct 2026 imply a move of about 15.8% in either direction through the nearest expiry, about 48 days out, a window that includes the report. That is the size the market is pricing, not a direction.
How GEN moved around its last 8 earnings reports
Each move runs from the last close before the report to the first close after it, so it covers companies that report before the open and after the close. The median size across these 8 reports, ignoring direction, was 5.9%.
| Report date | Two session move |
|---|---|
| 6 Aug 2026 | +4.4% |
| 7 May 2026 | +16.0% |
| 5 Feb 2026 | +5.8% |
| 6 Nov 2025 | -0.3% |
| 7 Aug 2025 | +6.1% |
| 6 May 2025 | +8.0% |
| 30 Jan 2025 | -2.6% |
| 30 Oct 2024 | +7.4% |
Gen Digital at a glance
Gen Digital Inc. delivers a wide array of cyber safety solutions for individual users across the globe, with operations spanning the United States, Canada, Latin America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific region, and Japan.
- Market value
- $12.9B
- Sector
- Technology
- Industry
- Infrastructure Software
- Revenue expected, next twelve months
- $5.6B
- Consensus revenue growth, next fiscal year
- +8.5%
- Analysts with estimates
- 5
- Beta to the US market
- 0.77
- First valued by Faircurve
- 1 May 2026
How the fair value is worked out: the model prices Gen Digital on the value of the whole business, debt included, against the operating profit analysts expect next year (forward EV/EBITDA), runs 2,000 simulations across its inputs and takes the midpoint. The full method is documented here.
What changed in the latest valuation?
On 19 Sep 2026 the model's fair value for GEN was $37.15. As of 26 Sep 2026 it is $31.78, a change of -14.5%. The model revalues every stock it covers each week, and again after an earnings report.
Questions about Gen Digital's valuation
Is Gen Digital stock undervalued or overvalued?
On Faircurve's model, GEN reads as Undervalued as of 26 Sep 2026. The model's fair value is $31.78 a share against a last close of $21.99, a gap of +44.5%.
What is GEN's fair value?
$31.78 a share as of 26 Sep 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The model's own 20th to 80th percentile range is $21.48 to $44.68.
What price range does the model give GEN?
$26.66 to $38.75 over 63 trading days. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time across 4,327 past valuations, refreshed 26 Sep 2026.
When does Gen Digital report earnings next?
The next report is scheduled for 5 Nov 2026. Companies can move their dates.
How much has GEN moved on past earnings reports?
Across its last 8 reports the median two session move was 5.9%, ignoring direction. The largest was +16.0% around the report of 7 May 2026.
How confident is the model in this valuation?
The model's evidence grade for GEN is medium. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It is not a probability that the fair value is right, or that the price reaches it.