Service Corporation International (SCI) — Fair Value Analysis

Base-case fair value (P50): $78.96 · Current price: $86.19 · Verdict: Fairly Valued

The Verdict on SCI

SERVICE (SCI) currently appears fairly valued according to our Monte Carlo simulations. Our analysis indicates a median fair value (P50) of $78.96, placing it close to the current market price of $86.19. This suggests that while there isn't significant implied upside or downside based purely on this metric, the stock's valuation is largely in line with its fundamental outlook. The -8.4% against the current price further corroborates this "Fairly Valued" verdict, positioning SCI appropriately within its sector given its operational and financial health.

How SCI stacks up against peers

SERVICE (SCI) is categorized as having an average quality tier, reflecting its operational and financial health relative to its sector peers. This average standing supports the Monte Carlo simulation's "Fairly Valued" assessment, as a company with typical strengths and weaknesses isn't expected to trade at a substantial premium or discount without other compelling factors. While the $86.19 is marginally above the $78.96 median fair value, the overall picture suggests a balanced risk-reward profile, where the valuation reflects its competitive position and financial resilience.

What this means for investors

For investors tracking SERVICE (SCI), the fair valuation, with a $78.96 close to $86.19 and a -8.4%, suggests that the stock is currently trading within a reasonable range based on thousands of forward-looking scenarios. This isn't an outright "undervalued" signal for aggressive accumulation, nor does it imply significant "overvalued" risk for immediate selling. A full exploration of the bear and bull case distributions, which reveal the wider range of possible outcomes, is essential for a complete understanding. To access these detailed probability distributions and track SCI's fair value as new fundamentals are released, sign up for a free FairCurve account.