NYSE: SCI · Personal Products & Services
Service Corporation International (SCI) fair value: undervalued or overvalued?
As of 4 Nov 2026, Faircurve's model values Service Corporation International (SCI) at $70.00 a share. The stock last closed at $75.45, which puts the model's fair value 7.2% below the price. On the model's bands that reads as Fairly valued.
Revalued . Price is the close of 5 Nov 2026. Service Corporation International.
The report adds the live price, the chart against the range the options market prices, the next earnings date and the analysts' consensus. No account needed.
This week, in three parts
What happenedThe run of 4 Nov 2026 moved the fair value from $71.71 to $70.00 (-2.4%).
What the model makes of itThe price of $75.45 is 7.2% above it: Fairly valued, on a medium evidence grade.
What's nextNext report on 10 Feb 2027. Options prices imply a move of about 9% either way over the next month. The next weekly run is on Saturday 7 Nov 2026.
What price range does the model give SCI?
The calibrated range for SCI over 63 trading days is $69.07 to $84.09. It sits around the last close, and its width comes from the volatility that SCI's own options imply (30% a year), calibrated weekly against realised prices (n = 6,661 past valuations, refreshed 31 Oct 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon. The fair value is the model's opinion and rides beside the range. It is not the centre of it.
The model's own simulated range, from the 20th to the 80th percentile of its runs, is $45.27 to $100.45. In 44% of the simulations the fair value came out above the price the model ran on.
Faircurve Insights · 4 Nov 2026
Service Corporation International (SCI) is a leading provider of comprehensive end-of-life products and services across the United States and Canada.
Faircurve's model put the fair value of SCI at $70.00 a share on 4 Nov 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The previous run, on 31 Oct 2026, gave $71.71, so the fair value moved -2.4%. The calibrated range over 63 trading days is $71.59 to $84.72. It is built around the price from the volatility the stock's own options imply, and calibrated weekly against realised prices. Across 6,661 past valuations, ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon. The model grades the evidence as Medium. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It does not say whether the fair value is right.
SCI scores 62 out of 100 on quality against comparable companies, the model's composite of six factors. Stability stands out at 86, with five-year EBITDA margin downside volatility of 0.8 pts against a peer median of 1.5 pts. Growth quality scores 38, with trailing revenue growth of 2.9% against a peer median of 5.6%. Balance sheet scores 36, with net debt to EBITDA of 3.69x against a peer median of 2.90x. The model compares SCI with H&R Block, Frontdoor, BorgWarner, Murphy USA, Deckers and Aptiv.
Written from the figures on this page for the 4 Nov 2026 valuation and checked by rule before publishing: every number is one printed here, no forecast, no instruction. The price, the gap and the verdict are the page's own and change daily. Not a recommendation.
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When does SCI report earnings, and how has the stock reacted?
Service Corporation International's next earnings report is scheduled for 10 Feb 2027. Companies can move their dates.
Options prices on 5 Nov 2026 imply a move of about 8.0% in either direction through the nearest expiry, about 42 days out. That is the size the market is pricing, not a direction. SCI's 30 day implied volatility works out to about 8.6% over one month.
Around its last 8 reports: what the options market priced, and what followed
Each move runs from the last close before the report to the first close after it, so it covers companies that report before the open and after the close. The median size across SCI's last 8 reports, ignoring direction, was 4.5%.
What the options market has priced for a month's move in SCI
How does SCI score on business quality?
Service Corporation International's overall quality score is 62 out of 100. Each factor below is a score against comparable companies, not a percentile of the metric beside it.
| Factor | Score (0 to 100) | Headline measure | Peer median |
|---|---|---|---|
| ProfitabilityReturn on invested capital against the peer group, with a bonus for an improving trend. | 71 | 13.3%ROIC | 8.3% |
| Earnings qualityHow much of reported profit is cash: free cash flow to net income, and the accrual ratio (the share of earnings that is not cash). | 72 | 1.11xFCF / net income | 0.90x |
| Growth qualityTrailing revenue growth, forward growth from consensus, and the direction of analysts' rating changes. | 38 | 2.9%Revenue growth, trailing | 5.6% |
| Capital disciplineReinvestment efficiency (capital spending per unit of revenue) and net buybacks. | 62 | 3.7%Net buybacks / market value | 2.3% |
| Balance sheetNet debt to EBITDA and interest coverage. | 36 | 3.69xNet debt / EBITDA | 2.90x |
| StabilityDownside volatility of the EBITDA margin over the last five years. | 86 | 0.8 ptsEBITDA margin downside volatility, 5y | 1.5 pts |
How does SCI compare with similar companies?
The companies in personal products & services closest to Service Corporation International in market value, each on the same model and the same date.
| Company | Last close | Model fair value | Gap | Model verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HRB H&R Block, Inc. | $55.01 | $57.42 | +4.4% | Fairly valued |
| FTDR Frontdoor, Inc. | $95.98 | $86.58 | -9.8% | Fairly valued |
| DPZ Domino's Pizza, Inc. | $341.63 | $350.00 | +2.5% | Low evidence grade |
| BWA BorgWarner Inc. | $47.53 | $50.06 | +5.3% | Fairly valued |
| LTH Life Time Group Holdings, Inc. | $47.75 | $42.95 | -10.1% | Low evidence grade |
| MUSA Murphy USA Inc. | $514.53 | $616.05 | +19.7% | Undervalued |
| DECK Deckers Outdoor Corporation | $87.74 | $112.72 | +28.5% | Undervalued |
| APTV Aptiv PLC | $40.85 | $36.37 | -11.0% | Fairly valued |
What the comparable companies' multiples alone would give for SCI, the peer-implied price, is $46.78 a share on this run. The fair value weighs that against the company's own multiple.
Service Corporation International at a glance
Service Corporation International (SCI) is a leading provider of comprehensive end-of-life products and services across the United States and Canada.
- Market value
- $10.4B
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical
- Industry
- Personal Products & Services
- Revenue expected, next twelve months
- $4.6B
- Consensus revenue growth, next fiscal year
- +3.7%
- Analysts with estimates
- 5
- Beta to the US market
- -0.13
- First valued by Faircurve
- 11 Jul 2026
At the close of 5 Nov 2026, 56.1% of the 1,065 graded US stocks the model covers traded below the model's fair value. SCI was not among them.
How the fair value is worked out: the model prices Service Corporation International on the value of the whole business, debt included, against the operating profit analysts expect next year (forward EV/EBITDA), runs 2,000 simulations across its inputs and takes the midpoint. The full method is documented here.
What changed in the latest valuation?
On 31 Oct 2026 the model's fair value for SCI was $71.71. As of 4 Nov 2026 it is $70.00, a change of -2.4%. The model revalues every stock it covers each week, and again after an earnings report.
Questions about Service Corporation International's valuation
Is Service Corporation International stock undervalued or overvalued?
On Faircurve's model, SCI reads as Fairly valued as of 4 Nov 2026. The model's fair value is $70.00 a share against a last close of $75.45, a gap of -7.2%.
What is SCI's fair value?
$70.00 a share as of 4 Nov 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The model's own 20th to 80th percentile range is $45.27 to $100.45.
What price range does the model give SCI?
$69.07 to $84.09 over 63 trading days. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time across 6,661 past valuations, refreshed 31 Oct 2026.
When does Service Corporation International report earnings next?
The next report is scheduled for 10 Feb 2027. Companies can move their dates.
How much has SCI moved on past earnings reports?
Across its last 8 reports the median two session move was 4.5%, ignoring direction. The largest was -8.9% around the report of 28 Oct 2026.
How confident is the model in this valuation?
The model's evidence grade for SCI is medium. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It is not a probability that the fair value is right, or that the price reaches it.
The model's own ideas on SCI
The model holds no idea open on SCI today. Signed-in readers see the rule each idea runs on, the floor and the exit level the model set and its time limit, and the model's closed ideas on SCI with their outcomes. A free account is enough.