NASDAQ: REG · Retail REITs
Regency Centers (REG) fair value: undervalued or overvalued?
As of 3 Oct 2026, Faircurve's model values Regency Centers (REG) at $63.22 a share. The stock last closed at $71.60, which puts the model's fair value 11.7% below the price. On the model's bands that reads as Overvalued.
Revalued . Price is the close of 2 Oct 2026. Regency Centers Corporation.
Faircurve Insights · 3 Oct 2026
Regency Centers specializes in the ownership, management, and development of retail complexes. These properties are located in prosperous and densely populated market regions.
Faircurve's model found a fair value of $63.22 a share for Regency Centers on 3 Oct 2026. This fair value blends three methods: a cash-flow multiple against comparable companies, a dividend model, and the value of the properties. The previous run on 26 Sep 2026 gave $63.64, so the fair value moved -0.7%. The model's calibrated range over 63 trading days is $52.75 to $76.64. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon. The evidence grade for the fair value is High.
The model compares Regency Centers with Kimco Realty Corporation (KIM), Federal Realty Investment Trust (FRT), Brixmor Property Group Inc. (BRX), Agree Realty Corporation (ADC), NNN REIT, Inc. (NNN), Kite Realty Group Trust (KRG), and Phillips Edison & Co. (PECO). The median move around the last eight earnings reports, ignoring direction, was 1.7%.
Written from the figures on this page for the 3 Oct 2026 valuation and checked by rule before publishing: every number is one printed here, no forecast, no instruction. The price, the gap and the verdict are the page's own and change daily. Not a recommendation.
What price range does the model give REG?
The calibrated range for REG over 63 trading days is $52.75 to $76.64. There is no live options data for this stock, so the range is built from the fair value and calibrated weekly against realised prices (n = 4,809 past valuations, refreshed 3 Oct 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon.
The model's own range is $57.61 to $69.52.
How does REG compare with similar companies?
The companies in retail reits closest to Regency Centers in market value, each on the same model and the same date.
| Company | Last close | Model fair value | Gap | Model verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KIM Kimco Realty Corporation | $22.24 | $21.78 | -2.1% | Fairly valued |
| FRT Federal Realty Investment Trust | $106.69 | $93.66 | -12.2% | Overvalued |
| BRX Brixmor Property Group Inc. | $27.39 | $30.53 | +11.5% | Undervalued |
| ADC Agree Realty Corporation | $65.88 | $51.08 | -22.5% | Overvalued |
| NNN NNN REIT, Inc. | $40.95 | $42.18 | +3.0% | Fairly valued |
| MAC The Macerich Company | $23.05 | $8.01 | -65.2% | Gap wider than 60% |
| KRG Kite Realty Group Trust | $24.39 | $33.72 | +38.3% | Undervalued |
| PECO Phillips Edison & Co. | $37.76 | $31.68 | -16.1% | Overvalued |
When does REG report earnings, and how has the stock reacted?
Regency Centers's next earnings report is scheduled for 28 Oct 2026. Companies can move their dates.
How REG moved around its last 8 earnings reports
Each move runs from the last close before the report to the first close after it, so it covers companies that report before the open and after the close. The median size across these 8 reports, ignoring direction, was 1.7%.
| Report date | Two session move |
|---|---|
| 29 Jul 2026 | -0.8% |
| 29 Apr 2026 | -3.1% |
| 5 Feb 2026 | +1.3% |
| 28 Oct 2025 | -5.2% |
| 29 Jul 2025 | +3.2% |
| 29 Apr 2025 | +0.5% |
| 6 Feb 2025 | +1.3% |
| 28 Oct 2024 | +2.0% |
Regency Centers at a glance
Regency Centers is recognized as a leading national entity specializing in the ownership, management, and development of retail complexes. These properties are strategically located in prosperous and densely populated market regions.
- Market value
- $13.1B
- Sector
- Real Estate
- Industry
- Retail REITs
- Beta to the US market
- 0.09
- First valued by Faircurve
- 4 Jul 2026
How the fair value is worked out: the model values Regency Centers three ways and blends them; the range around the fair value comes from 2,000 simulations of the dividend model. The full method is documented here.
What changed in the latest valuation?
On 26 Sep 2026 the model's fair value for REG was $63.64. As of 3 Oct 2026 it is $63.22, a change of -0.7%. The model revalues every stock it covers each week, and again after an earnings report.
Questions about Regency Centers's valuation
Is Regency Centers stock undervalued or overvalued?
On Faircurve's model, REG reads as Overvalued as of 3 Oct 2026. The model's fair value is $63.22 a share against a last close of $71.60, a gap of -11.7%.
What is REG's fair value?
$63.22 a share as of 3 Oct 2026. The fair value blends three methods: a cash-flow multiple against comparable companies, a dividend model, and the value of the properties. The model's own range is $57.61 to $69.52.
What price range does the model give REG?
$52.75 to $76.64 over 63 trading days. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time across 4,809 past valuations, refreshed 3 Oct 2026.
When does Regency Centers report earnings next?
The next report is scheduled for 28 Oct 2026. Companies can move their dates.
How much has REG moved on past earnings reports?
Across its last 8 reports the median two session move was 1.7%, ignoring direction. The largest was -5.2% around the report of 28 Oct 2025.
How confident is the model in this valuation?
The model's evidence grade for REG is high. For real estate investment trusts (REITs) the grade looks at the dividend record: at least three years of paid dividends with no cut. It is not a probability that the fair value is right, or that the price reaches it.