NASDAQ: COKE · Non-Alcoholic Beverages
Coca-Cola Consolidated (COKE) fair value and price range
As of 31 Oct 2026, Faircurve's model values Coca-Cola Consolidated (COKE) at $227.19 a share. The stock last closed at $212.50, which puts the model's fair value 6.9% above the price. The model grades the evidence behind this valuation as low, so no verdict is shown. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It does not say how likely the fair value is to be right.
Revalued . Price is the close of 5 Nov 2026. Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc.
The report adds the live price, the chart against the range the options market prices and the next earnings date. No account needed.
This week, in three parts
What happenedThe run of 31 Oct 2026 moved the fair value from $220.03 to $227.19 (+3.3%). The move is not broken down.
What the model makes of itThe price of $212.50 is 6.9% below it. The model grades the evidence behind this valuation as low, so no verdict is shown. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It does not say how likely the fair value is to be right.
What's nextNext report on 24 Feb 2027. Options prices imply a move of about 11% either way over the next month. The next weekly run is on Saturday 7 Nov 2026.
What price range does the model give COKE?
The calibrated range for COKE over 63 trading days is $189.31 to $244.92. It sits around the last close, and its width comes from the volatility that COKE's own options imply (39% a year), calibrated weekly against realised prices (n = 6,661 past valuations, refreshed 31 Oct 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon. The fair value is the model's opinion and rides beside the range. It is not the centre of it.
The model's own simulated range, from the 20th to the 80th percentile of its runs, is $126.64 to $370.66. In 55% of the simulations the fair value came out above the price the model ran on.
Faircurve Insights · 31 Oct 2026
Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc. (COKE) produces, markets and distributes non-alcoholic beverages across the United States.
Faircurve's model put the fair value at $227.19 a share on 31 Oct 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. That is up 3.3% from $220.03 on 24 Oct 2026, and the model does not break down the move. The calibrated range over 63 trading days is $178.98 to $240.04, built around the price from the volatility the stock's own options imply. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon. The model grades the evidence as low, so no verdict is shown. The grade covers input completeness, the number and agreement of comparable companies, and the width of the range. It does not say whether the fair value is right.
Coca-Cola Consolidated has an overall quality score of 77 out of 100 against comparable companies. Earnings quality scores 99, with free cash flow to net income of 1.17x against a peer median of 0.79x. Profitability scores 93, with ROIC of 37.8% against a peer median of 12.5%. The model compares the company with Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP), Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC (CCEP), The Vita Coco Company, Inc. (COCO), National Beverage Corp. (FIZZ), Monster Beverage Corporation (MNST), PepsiCo, Inc. (PEP) and The Coca-Cola Company (KO).
Written from the figures on this page for the 31 Oct 2026 valuation and checked by rule before publishing: every number is one printed here, no forecast, no instruction. The price, the gap and the verdict are the page's own and change daily. Not a recommendation.
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When does COKE report earnings, and how has the stock reacted?
Coca-Cola Consolidated's next earnings report is scheduled for 24 Feb 2027. Companies can move their dates.
Options prices on 5 Nov 2026 imply a move of about 6.7% in either direction through the nearest expiry, about 14 days out. That is the size the market is pricing, not a direction. COKE's 30 day implied volatility works out to about 11.2% over one month.
Around its last 8 reports: what the options market priced, and what followed
Each move runs from the last close before the report to the first close after it, so it covers companies that report before the open and after the close. The median size across COKE's last 8 reports, ignoring direction, was 3.7%.
What the options market has priced for a month's move in COKE
How does COKE score on business quality?
Coca-Cola Consolidated's overall quality score is 77 out of 100. Each factor below is a score against comparable companies, not a percentile of the metric beside it.
| Factor | Score (0 to 100) | Headline measure | Peer median |
|---|---|---|---|
| ProfitabilityReturn on invested capital against the peer group, with a bonus for an improving trend. | 93 | 37.8%ROIC | 12.5% |
| Earnings qualityHow much of reported profit is cash: free cash flow to net income, and the accrual ratio (the share of earnings that is not cash). | 99 | 1.17xFCF / net income | 0.79x |
| Growth qualityTrailing revenue growth, forward growth from consensus, and the direction of analysts' rating changes. | 58 | 4.8%Revenue growth, trailing | 3.3% |
| Capital disciplineReinvestment efficiency (capital spending per unit of revenue) and net buybacks. | 77 | 18.6%Net buybacks / market value | 0.0% |
| Balance sheetNet debt to EBITDA and interest coverage. | 51 | 2.20xNet debt / EBITDA | 1.81x |
| StabilityDownside volatility of the EBITDA margin over the last five years. | 50 | 1.8 ptsEBITDA margin downside volatility, 5y | 0.7 pts |
How does COKE compare with similar companies?
The companies in non-alcoholic beverages closest to Coca-Cola Consolidated in market value, each on the same model and the same date.
| Company | Last close | Model fair value | Gap | Model verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CELH Celsius Holdings, Inc. | $30.04 | $29.98 | -0.2% | Data under review |
| KDP Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. | $36.89 | $38.67 | +4.8% | Fairly valued |
| CCEP Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC | $117.29 | $108.01 | -7.9% | Fairly valued |
| COCO The Vita Coco Company, Inc. | $63.63 | $57.35 | -9.9% | Fairly valued |
| FIZZ National Beverage Corp. | $37.16 | $35.70 | -3.9% | Fairly valued |
| MNST Monster Beverage Corporation | $47.83 | $44.96 | -6.0% | Fairly valued |
| PEP PepsiCo, Inc. | $142.71 | $168.33 | +18.0% | Undervalued |
| KO The Coca-Cola Company | $95.73 | $77.63 | -18.9% | Overvalued |
What the comparable companies' multiples alone would give for COKE, the peer-implied price, is $260.04 a share on this run. The fair value weighs that against the company's own multiple.
All non-alcoholic beverage stocks ranked by gap to fair value
Coca-Cola Consolidated at a glance
Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc. and its affiliates are dedicated to the production, marketing, and distribution of non-alcoholic beverages, predominantly products of The Coca-Cola Company, across the United States.
- Market value
- $14.0B
- Sector
- Consumer Defensive
- Industry
- Non-Alcoholic Beverages
- Beta to the US market
- -0.19
- First valued by Faircurve
- 11 Jul 2026
How the fair value is worked out: the model prices Coca-Cola Consolidated on the value of the whole business against its operating profit, compared with where that ratio has sat before (EV/EBITDA against its own history), runs 2,000 simulations across its inputs and takes the midpoint. The full method is documented here.
What changed in the latest valuation?
On 24 Oct 2026 the model's fair value for COKE was $220.03. As of 31 Oct 2026 it is $227.19, a change of +3.3%. The move is not broken down. The model revalues every stock it covers each week, and again after an earnings report.
Questions about Coca-Cola Consolidated's valuation
Is Coca-Cola Consolidated stock undervalued or overvalued?
Faircurve's model puts COKE's fair value at $227.19 a share against a last close of $212.50, as of 31 Oct 2026. The model grades the evidence behind this valuation as low, so no verdict is shown. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It does not say how likely the fair value is to be right.
What is COKE's fair value?
$227.19 a share as of 31 Oct 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The model's own 20th to 80th percentile range is $126.64 to $370.66.
What price range does the model give COKE?
$189.31 to $244.92 over 63 trading days. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time across 6,661 past valuations, refreshed 31 Oct 2026.
When does Coca-Cola Consolidated report earnings next?
The next report is scheduled for 24 Feb 2027. Companies can move their dates.
How much has COKE moved on past earnings reports?
Across its last 8 reports the median two session move was 3.7%, ignoring direction. The largest was -17.5% around the report of 6 May 2026.
How confident is the model in this valuation?
The model's evidence grade for COKE is low. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It is not a probability that the fair value is right, or that the price reaches it.
The model's own ideas on COKE
The model holds no idea open on COKE today. Signed-in readers see the rule each idea runs on, the floor and the exit level the model set and its time limit, and the model's closed ideas on COKE with their outcomes. A free account is enough.