Faircurve

Sector · Oct 2026

Consumer Defensive stocks ranked by gap to the model's fair value

Faircurve's model values 80 consumer defensive stocks. 64 of them are ranked below by the gap between the model's fair value and the last close, as of 31 Oct 2026: 12 read as Undervalued, 48 as Fairly valued and 4 as Overvalued. The median gap across the ranked names is +2.1%. The widest gaps above the price are DLTR (+38.7%), ACI (+37.3%), KR (+27.4%). The widest below it are COST (-18.3%), KO (-18.1%), WMT (-17.3%).

Valuations as of . Prices are the closes of 3 Nov 2026. The gap is the model's fair value against the price: a positive gap means the fair value is above the price. It states what the model concluded, not where the price goes next.

The ranking

RankCompanyLast closeModel fair valueGapModel verdictQuality scoreMarket value
1DLTR Dollar Tree, Inc.Discount Stores$134.07$185.89+38.7%Undervalued66$25.1B
2ACI Albertsons Companies, Inc.Grocery Stores$13.27$18.22+37.3%Undervalued39$6.3B
3KR The Kroger Co.Grocery Stores$66.81$85.12+27.4%Undervalued46$39.4B
4PRDO Perdoceo Education CorporationEducation & Training Services$29.66$37.04+24.9%Undervalued70$1.9B
5PEP PepsiCo, Inc.Non-Alcoholic Beverages$137.27$168.33+22.6%Undervalued69$187.2B
6TGT Target CorporationDiscount Stores$154.40$184.76+19.7%Undervalued54$70.1B
7PPC Pilgrim's Pride CorporationPackaged Foods$27.28$32.05+17.5%Undervalued46$6.8B
8SYY Sysco CorporationFood Distribution$74.11$86.97+17.4%Undervalued68$40.8B
9MO Altria Group, Inc.Tobacco$76.94$90.15+17.2%Undervalued73$130.3B
10KMB Kimberly-Clark CorporationHousehold & Personal Products$104.46$121.79+16.6%Undervalued49$35.9B
11ANDE The Andersons, Inc.Agricultural Farm Products$62.67$72.68+16.0%Undervalued62$2.2B
12CENT Central Garden & Pet CompanyPackaged Foods$46.35$53.45+15.3%Undervalued61$2.5B
13STRA Strategic Education, Inc.Education & Training Services$74.04$82.60+11.6%Fairly valued44$1.6B
14LRN Stride, Inc.Education & Training Services$75.05$83.03+10.6%Fairly valued73$3.3B
15INGR Ingredion IncorporatedPackaged Foods$96.78$106.41+10.0%Fairly valued60$6.1B
16PFGC Performance Food Group CoFood Distribution$96.51$103.44+7.2%Fairly valued54$15.6B
17CENTA Central Garden & Pet CompanyPackaged Foods$39.87$42.57+6.8%Fairly valued57$2.5B
18TSN Tyson Foods, Inc.Agricultural Farm Products$56.96$60.39+6.0%Fairly valued58$20.1B
19UVV Universal CorporationTobacco$39.47$41.76+5.8%Fairly valued45$1.0B
20KDP Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.Non-Alcoholic Beverages$34.74$36.72+5.7%Fairly valued48$48.8B
21CL Colgate-Palmolive CompanyHousehold & Personal Products$95.62$101.05+5.7%Fairly valued76$76.0B
22KVUE Kenvue Inc.Household & Personal Products$19.31$20.35+5.4%Fairly valued38$37.1B
23IPAR Inter Parfums, Inc.Household & Personal Products$117.09$123.13+5.2%Fairly valued72$3.7B
24SJM The J. M. Smucker CompanyPackaged Foods$127.98$132.86+3.8%Fairly valued49$13.9B
25SFM Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc.Grocery Stores$52.49$54.46+3.8%Fairly valued71$4.6B
26HRL Hormel Foods CorporationPackaged Foods$21.26$22.05+3.7%Fairly valued59$11.7B
27USFD US Foods Holding Corp.Food Distribution$101.36$104.60+3.2%Fairly valued64$22.4B
28VITL Vital Farms, Inc.Agricultural Farm Products$10.02$10.34+3.2%Fairly valued32$372M
29EL The Estée Lauder Companies Inc.Household & Personal Products$105.39$108.63+3.1%Fairly valued44$39.6B
30PSMT PriceSmart, Inc.Discount Stores$160.61$164.78+2.6%Fairly valued67$5.1B
31CVSA Covista Inc.Education & Training Services$122.53$125.59+2.5%Fairly valued68$4.2B
32GIS General Mills, Inc.Packaged Foods$34.08$34.93+2.5%Fairly valued40$18.3B
33LOPE Grand Canyon Education, Inc.Education & Training Services$148.73$151.24+1.7%Fairly valued74$3.9B
34CLX The Clorox CompanyHousehold & Personal Products$93.80$94.91+1.2%Fairly valued46$10.6B
35BJ BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc.Discount Stores$109.46$110.45+0.9%Fairly valued57$13.6B
36HSY The Hershey CompanyFood Confectioners$167.54$168.43+0.5%Fairly valued75$33.3B
37LW Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc.Packaged Foods$54.92$55.08+0.3%Fairly valued58$7.5B
38OLLI Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.Discount Stores$88.98$89.11+0.1%Fairly valued58$5.4B
39REYN Reynolds Consumer Products Inc.Household & Personal Products$24.09$23.98-0.5%Fairly valued41$5.0B
40PM Philip Morris International Inc.Tobacco$208.03$206.55-0.7%Fairly valued77$325.4B
41PG The Procter & Gamble CompanyHousehold & Personal Products$162.06$160.47-1.0%Fairly valued61$374.5B
42FIZZ National Beverage Corp.Non-Alcoholic Beverages$36.10$35.70-1.1%Fairly valued72$3.3B
43SAM The Boston Beer Company, Inc.Alcoholic Beverages$215.46$213.07-1.1%Fairly valued80$2.0B
44JJSF J&J Snack Foods Corp.Packaged Foods$87.01$85.42-1.8%Fairly valued57$1.6B
45CAG Conagra Brands, Inc.Packaged Foods$14.41$14.13-1.9%Fairly valued38$7.0B
46CCEP Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLCNon-Alcoholic Beverages$111.56$108.01-3.2%Fairly valued49$50.2B
47FRPT Freshpet, Inc.Packaged Foods$69.60$67.18-3.5%Fairly valued51$3.3B
48COCO The Vita Coco Company, Inc.Non-Alcoholic Beverages$59.69$57.35-3.9%Fairly valued86$3.3B
49BF-B Brown-Forman CorporationWineries & Distilleries$28.95$27.79-4.0%Fairly valued64$13.3B
50LAUR Laureate Education, Inc.Education & Training Services$35.49$34.05-4.1%Fairly valued48$4.6B
51ELF e.l.f. Beauty, Inc.Household & Personal Products$111.50$106.27-4.7%Fairly valued65$6.6B
52MNST Monster Beverage CorporationNon-Alcoholic Beverages$47.18$44.96-4.7%Fairly valued85$92.7B
53KHC The Kraft Heinz CompanyPackaged Foods$24.52$23.21-5.3%Fairly valued38$28.9B
54MKC McCormick & Company, IncorporatedPackaged Foods$47.88$44.95-6.1%Fairly valued64$12.7B
55DG Dollar General CorporationDiscount Stores$130.52$120.83-7.4%Fairly valued38$29.2B
56EPC Edgewell Personal Care CompanyHousehold & Personal Products$27.93$25.82-7.6%Fairly valued35$1.3B
57CHD Church & Dwight Co., Inc.Household & Personal Products$109.16$99.76-8.6%Fairly valued51$25.4B
58SMPL The Simply Good Foods CompanyPackaged Foods$12.47$11.29-9.5%Fairly valued42$977M
59CPB Campbell Soup CompanyPackaged Foods$21.96$19.81-9.8%Fairly valued50$6.4B
60TR Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc.Food Confectioners$38.08$34.31-9.9%Fairly valued61$2.8B
61MDLZ Mondelez International, Inc.Food Confectioners$65.12$54.62-16.1%Overvalued58$82.9B
62WMT Walmart Inc.Discount Stores$124.86$103.20-17.3%Overvalued61$982.9B
63KO The Coca-Cola CompanyNon-Alcoholic Beverages$94.80$77.63-18.1%Overvalued65$404.8B
64COST Costco Wholesale CorporationDiscount Stores$1,019.26$833.24-18.3%Overvalued81$448.6B

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Valued but not ranked

These 16 names are valued but not ranked, for one of four reasons: the model grades the evidence as low or has not graded it yet, the inputs are under review, the gap is wider than 60%, or the valuation is more than three weeks old. The numbers are shown for reference.

CompanyLast closeModel fair valueGapWhy it is not rankedQuality scoreMarket value
ADM Archer-Daniels-Midland CompanyAgricultural Farm Products$70.60$78.00+10.5%Low evidence grade59$37.1B
BG Bunge Global S.A.Agricultural Farm Products$94.72$89.56-5.4%Low evidence grade56$18.6B
BRBR BellRing Brands, Inc.Packaged Foods$9.42$10.33+9.7%Low evidence grade84$1.1B
CALM Cal-Maine Foods, Inc.Agricultural Farm Products$66.17$60.99-7.8%Low evidence grade25$3.0B
CELH Celsius Holdings, Inc.Non-Alcoholic Beverages$29.98$29.980.0%Data under review64$7.4B
CHEF The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc.Food Distribution$100.95$98.61-2.3%Low evidence grade62$4.3B
COKE Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc.Non-Alcoholic Beverages$206.26$227.19+10.1%Low evidence grade77$14.0B
COTY Coty Inc.Household & Personal Products$3.29$4.34+31.9%Low evidence grade39$3.0B
FLO Flowers Foods, Inc.Packaged Foods$6.72$6.36-5.4%Low evidence grade48$1.3B
GO Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.Grocery Stores$12.78$11.42-10.6%Low evidence grade44$1.3B
JBSS John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc.Packaged Foods$52.59$60.41+14.9%Data under review65$630M
NWL Newell Brands Inc.Household & Personal Products$5.63$5.59-0.7%Low evidence grade52$2.2B
POST Post Holdings, Inc.Packaged Foods$83.12$90.07+8.4%Low evidence grade61$3.7B
STZ Constellation Brands, Inc.Alcoholic Beverages$138.13$155.94+12.9%Low evidence grade44$22.9B
TAP Molson Coors Beverage CompanyAlcoholic Beverages$41.87$43.99+5.1%Low evidence grade40$7.5B
UNFI United Natural Foods, Inc.Food Distribution$45.10$51.57+14.3%Low evidence grade47$2.8B

Consumer Defensive industries