NYSE: CUBI · Regional Banks

Customers Bancorp (CUBI) fair value: undervalued or overvalued?

As of 3 Oct 2026, Faircurve's model values Customers Bancorp (CUBI) at $107.22 a share. The stock last closed at $75.47, which puts the model's fair value 42.1% above the price. On the model's bands that reads as Undervalued.

Revalued . Price is the close of 2 Oct 2026. Customers Bancorp, Inc.

Model fair value$107.22midpoint of 2,000 simulations
Last close$75.47NYSE: CUBI
Gap to fair value+42.1%fair value against price
Model verdictUndervaluedevidence grade: High

Faircurve Insights · 3 Oct 2026

Customers Bancorp, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Customers Bank that provides banking products and services.

Faircurve's model on 3 Oct 2026 found a fair value of $107.22 a share, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The previous run on 26 Sep 2026 gave $108.67, a move of -1.3%. The calibrated range over 63 trading days, built from the fair value, since there is no live options data for the stock, is $89.45 to $129.98. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon, and the model's evidence grade is High.

The model compares the company with First Bancorp (FBNC), NBT Bancorp Inc. (NBTB), Trustmark Corporation (TRMK), Bank of Hawaii Corporation (BOH), Beacon Financial Corp. (BBT), FB Financial Corporation (FBK), and Banner Corporation (BANR). Moves around the last 8 earnings reports were 0.0% on 23 Jul 2026, -2.9% on 23 Apr 2026, -7.1% on 22 Jan 2026, +9.5% on 23 Oct 2025, -1.4% on 24 Jul 2025, +14.0% on 24 Apr 2025, +14.4% on 23 Jan 2025, and 0.0% on 31 Oct 2024.

Written from the figures on this page for the 3 Oct 2026 valuation and checked by rule before publishing: every number is one printed here, no forecast, no instruction. The price, the gap and the verdict are the page's own and change daily. Not a recommendation.

What price range does the model give CUBI?

The calibrated range for CUBI over 63 trading days is $89.45 to $129.98. There is no live options data for this stock, so the range is built from the fair value and calibrated weekly against realised prices (n = 4,809 past valuations, refreshed 3 Oct 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon.

The price is below this range. For names with fair value 30%+ above price, the calibrated range has held the price 29% of the time over 63 trading days, and 71% ended below it; the typical move was +4.4%.

The model's own simulated range, from the 20th to the 80th percentile of its runs, is $94.50 to $120.51. In 100% of the simulations the fair value came out above the price the model ran on.

$80.12$144.36
Spread of the 2,000 simulated fair values. Solid line: the midpoint, $107.22. Dashed line: the last close, $75.47.

How does CUBI compare with similar companies?

The companies in regional banks closest to Customers Bancorp in market value, each on the same model and the same date.

CompanyLast closeModel fair valueGapModel verdict
FBNC First Bancorp$62.33$40.89-34.4%Overvalued
NBTB NBT Bancorp Inc.$51.53$43.09-16.4%Overvalued
TRMK Trustmark Corporation$45.93$42.10-8.3%Fairly valued
BANC Banc of California, Inc.$17.74$22.52+26.9%Low evidence grade
BOH Bank of Hawaii Corporation$69.28$72.11+4.1%Fairly valued
BBT Beacon Financial Corp.$28.34$27.14-4.2%Fairly valued
FBK FB Financial Corporation$53.42$46.96-12.1%Fairly valued
BANR Banner Corporation$67.88$67.27-0.9%Fairly valued

All regional bank stocks ranked by gap to fair value

When does CUBI report earnings, and how has the stock reacted?

Customers Bancorp's next earnings report is scheduled for 22 Oct 2026. Companies can move their dates.

Options prices on 2 Oct 2026 imply a move of about 10.3% in either direction through the nearest expiry, about 48 days out, a window that includes the report. That is the size the market is pricing, not a direction.

How CUBI moved around its last 8 earnings reports

Each move runs from the last close before the report to the first close after it, so it covers companies that report before the open and after the close. The median size across these 8 reports, ignoring direction, was 5.0%.

Report dateTwo session move
23 Jul 20260.0%
23 Apr 2026-2.9%
22 Jan 2026-7.1%
23 Oct 2025+9.5%
24 Jul 2025-1.4%
24 Apr 2025+14.0%
23 Jan 2025+14.4%
31 Oct 20240.0%

Customers Bancorp at a glance

Customers Bancorp, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Customers Bank that provides banking products and services.

Market value
$2.6B
Sector
Financial Services
Industry
Regional Banks
Consensus revenue growth, next fiscal year
-33.9%
Analysts with estimates
9
Beta to the US market
1.00
First valued by Faircurve
11 Jul 2026

How the fair value is worked out: the model prices Customers Bancorp on the share price against the net assets on the balance sheet, adjusted for the earnings analysts expect (price to book value), runs 2,000 simulations across its inputs and takes the midpoint. The full method is documented here.

What changed in the latest valuation?

On 26 Sep 2026 the model's fair value for CUBI was $108.67. As of 3 Oct 2026 it is $107.22, a change of -1.3%. The model revalues every stock it covers each week, and again after an earnings report.

Questions about Customers Bancorp's valuation

Is Customers Bancorp stock undervalued or overvalued?

On Faircurve's model, CUBI reads as Undervalued as of 3 Oct 2026. The model's fair value is $107.22 a share against a last close of $75.47, a gap of +42.1%.

What is CUBI's fair value?

$107.22 a share as of 3 Oct 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The model's own 20th to 80th percentile range is $94.50 to $120.51.

What price range does the model give CUBI?

$89.45 to $129.98 over 63 trading days. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time across 4,809 past valuations, refreshed 3 Oct 2026.

When does Customers Bancorp report earnings next?

The next report is scheduled for 22 Oct 2026. Companies can move their dates.

How much has CUBI moved on past earnings reports?

Across its last 8 reports the median two session move was 5.0%, ignoring direction. The largest was +14.4% around the report of 23 Jan 2025.

How confident is the model in this valuation?

The model's evidence grade for CUBI is high. For banks, insurers and mortgage real estate investment trusts (REITs) the grade looks at how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, how wide the range of outcomes is, and whether the model's valuation methods agree with each other. It is not a probability that the fair value is right, or that the price reaches it.

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