NYSE: EVR ยท Capital Markets
Evercore (EVR) fair value: undervalued or overvalued?
As of 7 Nov 2026, Faircurve's model values Evercore (EVR) at $334.63 a share. The stock last closed at $284.65, which puts the model's fair value 17.6% above the price. On the model's bands that reads as Undervalued.
Revalued . Price is the close of 6 Nov 2026. Evercore Inc.
The report adds the live price, the chart against the range the options market prices, the next earnings date and the analysts' consensus. No account needed.
This week, in three parts
What happenedThe run of 7 Nov 2026 moved the fair value from $287.94 to $334.63 (+16.2%). The model does not yet explain moves on this valuation method.
What the model makes of itThe price of $284.65 is 17.6% below it: Undervalued, on a high evidence grade.
What's nextNext report on 3 Feb 2027. Options prices imply a move of about 12% either way over the next month. The next weekly run is on Saturday 14 Nov 2026.
What price range does the model give EVR?
The calibrated range for EVR over 63 trading days is $249.07 to $330.30. It sits around the last close, and its width comes from the volatility that EVR's own options imply (42% a year), calibrated weekly against realised prices (n = 7,355 past valuations, refreshed 7 Nov 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon. The fair value is the model's opinion and rides beside the range. It is not the centre of it.
The model's own simulated range, from the 20th to the 80th percentile of its runs, is $279.45 to $397.79. In 78% of the simulations the fair value came out above the price the model ran on.
The Global Pulse
Faircurve's note after each US session, in your inbox. No account needed.
When does EVR report earnings, and how has the stock reacted?
Evercore's next earnings report is scheduled for 3 Feb 2027. Companies can move their dates.
Options prices on 6 Nov 2026 imply a move of about 7.4% in either direction through the nearest expiry, about 13 days out. That is the size the market is pricing, not a direction. EVR's 30 day implied volatility works out to about 12.2% over one month.
On 5 Nov 2026 EVR moved 6.7% in one session, against the 2.4% a day that options had priced: 2.8 times the implied size.
Around its last 8 reports: what the options market priced, and what followed
Each move runs from the last close before the report to the first close after it, so it covers companies that report before the open and after the close. The median size across EVR's last 8 reports, ignoring direction, was 5.2%.
What the options market has priced for a month's move in EVR
How does EVR compare with similar companies?
The companies in capital markets closest to Evercore in market value, each on the same model and the same date.
| Company | Last close | Model fair value | Gap | Model verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SF Stifel Financial Corp | $71.35 | $80.99 | +13.5% | Undervalued |
| JEF Jefferies Financial Group Inc. | $47.38 | $51.49 | +8.7% | Low evidence grade |
| SNEX StoneX Group Inc. | $54.31 | $61.73 | +13.7% | Fairly valued |
| MKTX MarketAxess Holdings Inc. | $165.59 | $189.60 | +14.5% | Fairly valued |
| BGC BGC Group, Inc | $10.48 | $15.72 | +50.0% | Low evidence grade |
| VIRT Virtu Financial, Inc. | $53.91 | $91.78 | +70.2% | Gap wider than 60% |
| MC Moelis & Company | $56.92 | $63.10 | +10.9% | Low evidence grade |
| MARA MARA Holdings, Inc. | $6.35 | $7.14 | +12.4% | Low evidence grade |
Evercore at a glance
Evercore Inc. functions as an autonomous investment banking advisory firm, maintaining a substantial international presence with operations spanning the United States, Europe, and Latin America.
- Market value
- $10.9B
- Sector
- Financial Services
- Industry
- Capital Markets
- Consensus revenue growth, next fiscal year
- +26.7%
- Analysts with estimates
- 6
- Beta to the US market
- 1.67
- First valued by Faircurve
- 11 Jul 2026
At the close of 6 Nov 2026, 53.0% of the 1,067 graded US stocks the model covers traded below the model's fair value. EVR was among them.
How the fair value is worked out: the model prices Evercore on the share price against the net assets on the balance sheet, adjusted for the earnings analysts expect (price to book value), runs 2,000 simulations across its inputs and takes the midpoint. The full method is documented here.
What changed in the latest valuation?
On 31 Oct 2026 the model's fair value for EVR was $287.94. As of 7 Nov 2026 it is $334.63, a change of +16.2%. The model does not yet explain moves on this valuation method. The model revalues every stock it covers each week, and again after an earnings report.
Questions about Evercore's valuation
Is Evercore stock undervalued or overvalued?
On Faircurve's model, EVR reads as Undervalued as of 7 Nov 2026. The model's fair value is $334.63 a share against a last close of $284.65, a gap of +17.6%.
What is EVR's fair value?
$334.63 a share as of 7 Nov 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The model's own 20th to 80th percentile range is $279.45 to $397.79.
What price range does the model give EVR?
$249.07 to $330.30 over 63 trading days. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time across 7,355 past valuations, refreshed 7 Nov 2026.
When does Evercore report earnings next?
The next report is scheduled for 3 Feb 2027. Companies can move their dates.
How much has EVR moved on past earnings reports?
Across its last 8 reports the median two session move was 5.2%, ignoring direction. The largest was +14.5% around the report of 28 Oct 2026.
How confident is the model in this valuation?
The model's evidence grade for EVR is high. For banks, insurers and mortgage real estate investment trusts (REITs) the grade looks at how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, how wide the range of outcomes is, and whether the model's valuation methods agree with each other. It is not a probability that the fair value is right, or that the price reaches it.
The model's own ideas on EVR
The model holds no idea open on EVR today. Signed-in readers see the rule each idea runs on, the floor and the exit level the model set and its time limit, and the model's closed ideas on EVR with their outcomes. A free account is enough.