NASDAQ: SNEX · Capital Markets
StoneX Group (SNEX) fair value and price range
As of 26 Sep 2026, Faircurve's model values StoneX Group (SNEX) at $59.85 a share. The stock last closed at $65.81, which puts the model's fair value 9.1% below the price. The model grades the evidence behind this valuation as low, so no verdict is shown. For banks, insurers and mortgage real estate investment trusts (REITs) the grade looks at how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, how wide the range of outcomes is, and whether the model's valuation methods agree with each other. It does not say how likely the fair value is to be right.
Revalued . Price is the close of 2 Oct 2026. StoneX Group Inc.
Faircurve Insights · 26 Sep 2026
StoneX Group Inc. operates as a global financial services provider, connecting a diverse range of entities, including corporations, organizations, traders, and investors, to the worldwide market ecosystem.
Faircurve's model found a fair value of $59.85 a share on 26 Sep 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The previous run, on 19 Sep 2026, gave $60.09, so the fair value moved -0.4%. The calibrated range over 63 trading days is $50.21 to $72.98, built from the fair value. This range held the price 60% of the time at this horizon. The model grades the evidence behind this valuation as low, so no verdict is shown.
The model compares it with Evercore Inc., Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc., and CleanSpark, Inc. The stock's moves around its last 8 earnings reports show a median size of 11.2%, ignoring direction. The moves were -11.3% on 5 Aug 2026, +11.9% on 6 May 2026, +0.4% on 4 Feb 2026, +6.5% on 24 Nov 2025, -16.6% on 5 Aug 2025, +70.2% on 7 May 2025, +11.1% on 5 Feb 2025, and +5.7% on 19 Nov 2024.
Written from the figures on this page for the 26 Sep 2026 valuation and checked by rule before publishing: every number is one printed here, no forecast, no instruction. The price, the gap and the verdict are the page's own and change daily. Not a recommendation.
What price range does the model give SNEX?
The calibrated range for SNEX over 63 trading days is $50.21 to $72.98. There is no live options data for this stock, so the range is built from the fair value and calibrated weekly against realised prices (n = 4,327 past valuations, refreshed 26 Sep 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon.
The model's own simulated range, from the 20th to the 80th percentile of its runs, is $46.45 to $75.67. In 36% of the simulations the fair value came out above the price the model ran on.
How does SNEX compare with similar companies?
The companies in capital markets closest to StoneX Group in market value, each on the same model and the same date.
| Company | Last close | Model fair value | Gap | Model verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JEF Jefferies Financial Group Inc. | $45.97 | n/a | n/a | Data under review |
| EVR Evercore Inc. | $261.68 | $325.22 | +24.3% | Undervalued |
| MKTX MarketAxess Holdings Inc. | $164.14 | $132.11 | -19.5% | Low evidence grade |
| BGC BGC Group, Inc | $11.78 | $12.97 | +10.1% | Low evidence grade |
| VIRT Virtu Financial, Inc. | $58.79 | $60.92 | +3.6% | Data under review |
| MARA Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc. | $11.23 | $5.15 | -54.1% | Overvalued |
| MC Moelis & Company | $56.32 | $53.68 | -4.7% | Low evidence grade |
| CLSK CleanSpark, Inc. | $12.74 | $12.93 | +1.5% | Fairly valued |
When does SNEX report earnings, and how has the stock reacted?
StoneX Group's next earnings report is scheduled for 23 Nov 2026. Companies can move their dates.
Options prices on 2 Oct 2026 imply a move of about 7.6% in either direction through the nearest expiry, about 13 days out. That is the size the market is pricing, not a direction.
How SNEX moved around its last 8 earnings reports
Each move runs from the last close before the report to the first close after it, so it covers companies that report before the open and after the close. The median size across these 8 reports, ignoring direction, was 11.2%.
| Report date | Two session move |
|---|---|
| 5 Aug 2026 | -11.3% |
| 6 May 2026 | +11.9% |
| 4 Feb 2026 | +0.4% |
| 24 Nov 2025 | +6.5% |
| 5 Aug 2025 | -16.6% |
| 7 May 2025 | +70.2% |
| 5 Feb 2025 | +11.1% |
| 19 Nov 2024 | +5.7% |
StoneX Group at a glance
StoneX Group Inc. operates as a global financial services provider, connecting a diverse range of entities, including corporations, organizations, traders, and investors, to the worldwide market ecosystem.
- Market value
- $7.9B
- Sector
- Financial Services
- Industry
- Capital Markets
- Consensus revenue growth, next fiscal year
- -95.6%
- Analysts with estimates
- 1
- Beta to the US market
- 1.18
- First valued by Faircurve
- 11 Jul 2026
How the fair value is worked out: the model prices StoneX Group on the share price against the net assets on the balance sheet, adjusted for the earnings analysts expect (price to book value), runs 2,000 simulations across its inputs and takes the midpoint. The full method is documented here.
What changed in the latest valuation?
On 19 Sep 2026 the model's fair value for SNEX was $60.09. As of 26 Sep 2026 it is $59.85, a change of -0.4%. The model revalues every stock it covers each week, and again after an earnings report.
Questions about StoneX Group's valuation
Is StoneX Group stock undervalued or overvalued?
Faircurve's model puts SNEX's fair value at $59.85 a share against a last close of $65.81, as of 26 Sep 2026. The model grades the evidence behind this valuation as low, so no verdict is shown. For banks, insurers and mortgage real estate investment trusts (REITs) the grade looks at how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, how wide the range of outcomes is, and whether the model's valuation methods agree with each other. It does not say how likely the fair value is to be right.
What is SNEX's fair value?
$59.85 a share as of 26 Sep 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The model's own 20th to 80th percentile range is $46.45 to $75.67.
What price range does the model give SNEX?
$50.21 to $72.98 over 63 trading days. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time across 4,327 past valuations, refreshed 26 Sep 2026.
When does StoneX Group report earnings next?
The next report is scheduled for 23 Nov 2026. Companies can move their dates.
How much has SNEX moved on past earnings reports?
Across its last 8 reports the median two session move was 11.2%, ignoring direction. The largest was +70.2% around the report of 7 May 2025.
How confident is the model in this valuation?
The model's evidence grade for SNEX is low. For banks, insurers and mortgage real estate investment trusts (REITs) the grade looks at how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, how wide the range of outcomes is, and whether the model's valuation methods agree with each other. It is not a probability that the fair value is right, or that the price reaches it.