NYSE: GS · Capital Markets
Goldman Sachs Group (GS) fair value and price range
As of 1 Oct 2026, Faircurve's model values Goldman Sachs Group (GS) at $957.45 a share. The stock last closed at $902.56, which puts the model's fair value 6.1% above the price. The model grades the evidence behind this valuation as low, so no verdict is shown. For banks, insurers and mortgage real estate investment trusts (REITs) the grade looks at how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, how wide the range of outcomes is, and whether the model's valuation methods agree with each other. It does not say how likely the fair value is to be right.
Revalued . Price is the close of 2 Oct 2026. The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.
Faircurve Insights · 1 Oct 2026
The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. operates as a prominent global financial services firm, offering an extensive array of services to corporations, financial institutions, governmental bodies, and individuals worldwide. It is in Financial Services, Capital Markets.
Faircurve's model on 1 Oct 2026 found a fair value of $957.45 a share, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The previous run on 26 Sep 2026 gave $988.61, so the fair value moved -3.2%. The calibrated range over 63 trading days is $826.62 to $1,052.45, and ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon (3,330 past valuations, refreshed 26 Sep 2026). The model grades the evidence behind this valuation as low.
The model compares the company with Robinhood Markets, Inc. and Evercore Inc., each with a fair value of its own on the site. Its moves around the last 8 earnings reports, measured from the close before each report to the close after it, are 14 Jul 2026 +10.2%, 13 Apr 2026 +0.2%, 15 Jan 2026 +3.1%, 14 Oct 2025 -2.4%, 16 Jul 2025 +0.5%, 14 Apr 2025 +2.7%, 15 Jan 2025 +7.3%, and 15 Oct 2024 +1.4%.
Written from the figures on this page for the 1 Oct 2026 valuation and checked by rule before publishing: every number is one printed here, no forecast, no instruction. The price, the gap and the verdict are the page's own and change daily. Not a recommendation.
What price range does the model give GS?
The calibrated range for GS over 63 trading days is $826.62 to $1,052.45. It sits around the last close, and its width comes from the volatility that GS's own options imply (34% a year), calibrated weekly against realised prices (n = 3,330 past valuations, refreshed 26 Sep 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon. The fair value is the model's opinion and rides beside the range. It is not the centre of it.
The model's own simulated range, from the 20th to the 80th percentile of its runs, is $883.40 to $1,031.50. In 73% of the simulations the fair value came out above the price the model ran on.
How does GS compare with similar companies?
The companies in capital markets closest to Goldman Sachs Group in market value, each on the same model and the same date.
| Company | Last close | Model fair value | Gap | Model verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MS Morgan Stanley | $190.31 | $151.68 | -20.3% | Low evidence grade |
| SCHW The Charles Schwab Corporation | $96.70 | $74.21 | -23.3% | Low evidence grade |
| HOOD Robinhood Markets, Inc. | $112.74 | $95.89 | -14.9% | Fairly valued |
| VIRT Virtu Financial, Inc. | $58.79 | $60.92 | +3.6% | Data under review |
| EVR Evercore Inc. | $261.68 | $325.22 | +24.3% | Undervalued |
| JEF Jefferies Financial Group Inc. | $45.97 | n/a | n/a | Data under review |
| SNEX StoneX Group Inc. | $65.81 | $59.85 | -9.1% | Low evidence grade |
| MKTX MarketAxess Holdings Inc. | $164.14 | $132.11 | -19.5% | Low evidence grade |
When does GS report earnings, and how has the stock reacted?
Goldman Sachs Group's next earnings report is scheduled for 13 Oct 2026. Companies can move their dates.
Options prices on 2 Oct 2026 imply a move of about 5.5% in either direction through the nearest expiry, about 13 days out, a window that includes the report. That is the size the market is pricing, not a direction. GS's 30 day implied volatility works out to about 9.8% over one month.
How GS moved around its last 8 earnings reports
Each move runs from the last close before the report to the first close after it, so it covers companies that report before the open and after the close. The median size across these 8 reports, ignoring direction, was 2.6%.
| Report date | Two session move |
|---|---|
| 14 Jul 2026 | +10.2% |
| 13 Apr 2026 | +0.2% |
| 15 Jan 2026 | +3.1% |
| 14 Oct 2025 | -2.4% |
| 16 Jul 2025 | +0.5% |
| 14 Apr 2025 | +2.7% |
| 15 Jan 2025 | +7.3% |
| 15 Oct 2024 | +1.4% |
Goldman Sachs Group at a glance
The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (GS) operates as a prominent global financial services firm, offering an extensive array of services to corporations, financial institutions, governmental bodies, and individuals worldwide.
- Market value
- $276.0B
- Sector
- Financial Services
- Industry
- Capital Markets
- Consensus revenue growth, next fiscal year
- -43.1%
- Analysts with estimates
- 17
- Beta to the US market
- 1.65
- First valued by Faircurve
- 4 Jul 2026
How the fair value is worked out: the model prices Goldman Sachs Group on the share price against the net assets on the balance sheet, adjusted for the earnings analysts expect (price to book value), runs 2,000 simulations across its inputs and takes the midpoint. The full method is documented here.
What changed in the latest valuation?
On 26 Sep 2026 the model's fair value for GS was $988.61. As of 1 Oct 2026 it is $957.45, a change of -3.2%. The model revalues every stock it covers each week, and again after an earnings report.
Questions about Goldman Sachs Group's valuation
Is Goldman Sachs Group stock undervalued or overvalued?
Faircurve's model puts GS's fair value at $957.45 a share against a last close of $902.56, as of 1 Oct 2026. The model grades the evidence behind this valuation as low, so no verdict is shown. For banks, insurers and mortgage real estate investment trusts (REITs) the grade looks at how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, how wide the range of outcomes is, and whether the model's valuation methods agree with each other. It does not say how likely the fair value is to be right.
What is GS's fair value?
$957.45 a share as of 1 Oct 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The model's own 20th to 80th percentile range is $883.40 to $1,031.50.
What price range does the model give GS?
$826.62 to $1,052.45 over 63 trading days. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time across 3,330 past valuations, refreshed 26 Sep 2026.
When does Goldman Sachs Group report earnings next?
The next report is scheduled for 13 Oct 2026. Companies can move their dates.
How much has GS moved on past earnings reports?
Across its last 8 reports the median two session move was 2.6%, ignoring direction. The largest was +10.2% around the report of 14 Jul 2026.
How confident is the model in this valuation?
The model's evidence grade for GS is low. For banks, insurers and mortgage real estate investment trusts (REITs) the grade looks at how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, how wide the range of outcomes is, and whether the model's valuation methods agree with each other. It is not a probability that the fair value is right, or that the price reaches it.