NASDAQ: IPAR · Household & Personal Products
Inter Parfums (IPAR) fair value: undervalued or overvalued?
As of 3 Oct 2026, Faircurve's model values Inter Parfums (IPAR) at $122.97 a share. The stock last closed at $113.95, which puts the model's fair value 7.9% above the price. On the model's bands that reads as Fairly valued.
Revalued . Price is the close of 2 Oct 2026. Inter Parfums, Inc.
Faircurve Insights · 3 Oct 2026
Inter Parfums, Inc. develops, markets, and distributes perfumes and related scented merchandise globally.
Faircurve's model found a fair value of $122.97 a share on 3 Oct 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The previous run on 26 Sep 2026 gave $125.60, a move of -2.1%. The calibrated range over 63 trading days is $102.60 to $149.08; ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon. The model's evidence grade is Medium.
The overall quality score for Inter Parfums, Inc. is 70 out of 100, against comparable companies such as Reynolds Consumer Products Inc., e.l.f. Beauty, Inc., and The Clorox Company. Profitability scored 100 with ROIC 18.3%, and Stability scored 100 with EBITDA margin downside volatility 5y 0.6 pts. Earnings quality scored 35, and Growth quality 33. The stock moved around its last 8 earnings reports with a median size of 1.6%.
Written from the figures on this page for the 3 Oct 2026 valuation and checked by rule before publishing: every number is one printed here, no forecast, no instruction. The price, the gap and the verdict are the page's own and change daily. Not a recommendation.
What price range does the model give IPAR?
The calibrated range for IPAR over 63 trading days is $102.60 to $149.08. There is no live options data for this stock, so the range is built from the fair value and calibrated weekly against realised prices (n = 4,809 past valuations, refreshed 3 Oct 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon.
The model's own simulated range, from the 20th to the 80th percentile of its runs, is $100.67 to $149.94. In 62% of the simulations the fair value came out above the price the model ran on.
How does IPAR score on business quality?
Inter Parfums's overall quality score is 70 out of 100. Each factor below is a score against comparable companies, not a percentile of the metric beside it.
| Factor | Score (0 to 100) | Headline measure | Peer median |
|---|---|---|---|
| ProfitabilityReturn on invested capital against the peer group, with a bonus for an improving trend. | 100 | 18.3%ROIC | 4.9% |
| Earnings qualityHow much of reported profit is cash: free cash flow to net income, and the accrual ratio (the share of earnings that is not cash). | 35 | 1.47xFCF / net income | 3.81x |
| Growth qualityTrailing revenue growth, forward growth from consensus, and the direction of analyst estimate revisions. | 33 | 2.5%Revenue growth, trailing | -1.3% |
| Capital disciplineReinvestment efficiency (capital spending per unit of revenue) and net buybacks. | 64 | 0.4%Net buybacks / market value | 0.5% |
| Balance sheetNet debt to EBITDA and interest coverage. | 96 | -0.02xNet debt / EBITDA | 3.91x |
| StabilityDownside volatility of the EBITDA margin over the last five years. | 100 | 0.6 ptsEBITDA margin downside volatility, 5y | 2.1 pts |
How does IPAR compare with similar companies?
The companies in household & personal products closest to Inter Parfums in market value, each on the same model and the same date.
| Company | Last close | Model fair value | Gap | Model verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| REYN Reynolds Consumer Products Inc. | $22.32 | $23.01 | +3.1% | Fairly valued |
| COTY Coty Inc. | $2.66 | $3.64 | +36.8% | Low evidence grade |
| NWL Newell Brands Inc. | $5.40 | $5.91 | +9.4% | Low evidence grade |
| ELF e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. | $104.68 | $100.16 | -4.3% | Fairly valued |
| CLX The Clorox Company | $80.41 | $84.29 | +4.8% | Fairly valued |
| EPC Edgewell Personal Care Company | $26.97 | $23.87 | -11.5% | Fairly valued |
| CHD Church & Dwight Co., Inc. | $94.31 | $87.71 | -7.0% | Fairly valued |
| KMB Kimberly-Clark Corporation | $94.36 | $105.96 | +12.3% | Fairly valued |
All household & personal products stocks ranked by gap to fair value
When does IPAR report earnings, and how has the stock reacted?
Inter Parfums's next earnings report is scheduled for 4 Nov 2026. Companies can move their dates.
Options prices on 2 Oct 2026 imply a move of about 9.4% in either direction through the nearest expiry, about 48 days out, a window that includes the report. That is the size the market is pricing, not a direction.
On 30 Sep 2026 IPAR moved 3.6% in one session, against the 1.8% a day that options had priced: 2.0 times the implied size.
How IPAR moved around its last 8 earnings reports
Each move runs from the last close before the report to the first close after it, so it covers companies that report before the open and after the close. The median size across these 8 reports, ignoring direction, was 1.6%.
| Report date | Two session move |
|---|---|
| 4 Aug 2026 | -1.2% |
| 5 May 2026 | +5.7% |
| 24 Feb 2026 | -0.1% |
| 5 Nov 2025 | -2.1% |
| 5 Aug 2025 | +0.6% |
| 5 May 2025 | +22.4% |
| 25 Feb 2025 | +4.9% |
| 6 Nov 2024 | -0.5% |
Inter Parfums at a glance
Inter Parfums, Inc., through its various subsidiaries, is engaged in the global development, marketing, and distribution of perfumes and related scented merchandise.
- Market value
- $3.6B
- Sector
- Consumer Defensive
- Industry
- Household & Personal Products
- Revenue expected, next twelve months
- $1.6B
- Consensus revenue growth, next fiscal year
- +0.1%
- Analysts with estimates
- 4
- Beta to the US market
- 0.19
- First valued by Faircurve
- 11 Jul 2026
How the fair value is worked out: the model prices Inter Parfums on the value of the whole business, debt included, against the operating profit analysts expect next year (forward EV/EBITDA), runs 2,000 simulations across its inputs and takes the midpoint. The full method is documented here.
What changed in the latest valuation?
On 26 Sep 2026 the model's fair value for IPAR was $125.60. As of 3 Oct 2026 it is $122.97, a change of -2.1%. The model revalues every stock it covers each week, and again after an earnings report.
Questions about Inter Parfums's valuation
Is Inter Parfums stock undervalued or overvalued?
On Faircurve's model, IPAR reads as Fairly valued as of 3 Oct 2026. The model's fair value is $122.97 a share against a last close of $113.95, a gap of +7.9%.
What is IPAR's fair value?
$122.97 a share as of 3 Oct 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The model's own 20th to 80th percentile range is $100.67 to $149.94.
What price range does the model give IPAR?
$102.60 to $149.08 over 63 trading days. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time across 4,809 past valuations, refreshed 3 Oct 2026.
When does Inter Parfums report earnings next?
The next report is scheduled for 4 Nov 2026. Companies can move their dates.
How much has IPAR moved on past earnings reports?
Across its last 8 reports the median two session move was 1.6%, ignoring direction. The largest was +22.4% around the report of 5 May 2025.
How confident is the model in this valuation?
The model's evidence grade for IPAR is medium. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It is not a probability that the fair value is right, or that the price reaches it.