NASDAQ: NWL · Household & Personal Products
Newell Brands (NWL) fair value and price range
As of 31 Oct 2026, Faircurve's model values Newell Brands (NWL) at $5.59 a share. The stock last closed at $5.63, which puts the model's fair value 0.7% below the price. The model grades the evidence behind this valuation as low, so no verdict is shown. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It does not say how likely the fair value is to be right.
Revalued . Price is the close of 3 Nov 2026. Newell Brands Inc.
The report adds the live price, the chart against the range the options market prices, the next earnings date and the analysts' consensus. No account needed.
This week, in three parts
What happenedThe run of 31 Oct 2026 held the fair value at $5.59, within 1% of the run of 24 Oct 2026.
What the model makes of itThe price of $5.63 is 0.7% above it. The model grades the evidence behind this valuation as low, so no verdict is shown. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It does not say how likely the fair value is to be right.
What's nextNext report on 5 Feb 2027. The next weekly run is on Saturday 7 Nov 2026.
What price range does the model give NWL?
The calibrated range for NWL over 63 trading days is $4.53 to $6.68. There is no live options data for this stock, so the range is built from the fair value and calibrated weekly against realised prices (n = 10,454 past valuations, refreshed 31 Oct 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon.
The model's own simulated range, from the 20th to the 80th percentile of its runs, is $0.00 to $15.37. In 52% of the simulations the fair value came out above the price the model ran on.
Faircurve Insights · 31 Oct 2026
Newell Brands Inc. (NWL) is a global enterprise based in Atlanta, Georgia, established in 1903. It develops, manufactures, sources and distributes a broad range of consumer and commercial products.
Faircurve's model put the fair value at $5.59 a share on 31 Oct 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The previous run, on 24 Oct 2026, gave $5.57, so the fair value moved +0.4%. The range over 63 trading days is $4.53 to $6.68. As there is no live options data for the stock, the range is built from the fair value and calibrated weekly against realised prices, using 10,454 past valuations refreshed 31 Oct 2026. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon. The model grades the evidence as low, so no verdict is shown. The grade covers the inputs, the comparables and the range width, and does not say whether the fair value is right.
The model scores the business 52 out of 100 on quality against comparable companies. Earnings quality scores 88, while the balance sheet scores 0, with net debt to EBITDA at 14.50x against a peer median of 2.64x. Profitability scores 47, with ROIC at 6.7% against a peer median of 8.2%. The model compares it with Edgewell (EPC), Inter Parfums (IPAR), Reynolds Consumer Products (REYN), e.l.f. Beauty (ELF), Clorox (CLX), Church & Dwight (CHD) and Kimberly-Clark (KMB).
Written from the figures on this page for the 31 Oct 2026 valuation and checked by rule before publishing: every number is one printed here, no forecast, no instruction. The price, the gap and the verdict are the page's own and change daily. Not a recommendation.
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When does NWL report earnings, and how has the stock reacted?
Newell Brands's next earnings report is scheduled for 5 Feb 2027. Companies can move their dates.
Options prices on 29 Oct 2026 imply a move of about 19.6% in either direction through the nearest expiry, about 49 days out. That is the size the market is pricing, not a direction.
Around its last 8 reports: what the options market priced, and what followed
Each move runs from the last close before the report to the first close after it, so it covers companies that report before the open and after the close. The median size across NWL's last 8 reports, ignoring direction, was 20.5%.
How does NWL score on business quality?
Newell Brands's overall quality score is 52 out of 100. Each factor below is a score against comparable companies, not a percentile of the metric beside it.
| Factor | Score (0 to 100) | Headline measure | Peer median |
|---|---|---|---|
| ProfitabilityReturn on invested capital against the peer group, with a bonus for an improving trend. | 47 | 6.7%ROIC | 8.2% |
| Earnings qualityHow much of reported profit is cash: free cash flow to net income, and the accrual ratio (the share of earnings that is not cash). | 88 | ||
| Growth qualityTrailing revenue growth, forward growth from consensus, and the direction of analysts' rating changes. | 40 | -5.0%Revenue growth, trailing | -5.3% |
| Capital disciplineReinvestment efficiency (capital spending per unit of revenue) and net buybacks. | 52 | 0.0%Net buybacks / market value | 1.3% |
| Balance sheetNet debt to EBITDA and interest coverage. | 0 | 14.50xNet debt / EBITDA | 2.64x |
| StabilityDownside volatility of the EBITDA margin over the last five years. | 71 | 2.3 ptsEBITDA margin downside volatility, 5y | 3.3 pts |
How does NWL compare with similar companies?
The companies in household & personal products closest to Newell Brands in market value, each on the same model and the same date.
| Company | Last close | Model fair value | Gap | Model verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| COTY Coty Inc. | $3.29 | $4.34 | +31.9% | Low evidence grade |
| EPC Edgewell Personal Care Company | $27.93 | $25.82 | -7.6% | Fairly valued |
| IPAR Inter Parfums, Inc. | $117.09 | $123.13 | +5.2% | Fairly valued |
| REYN Reynolds Consumer Products Inc. | $24.09 | $23.98 | -0.5% | Fairly valued |
| ELF e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. | $111.50 | $106.27 | -4.7% | Fairly valued |
| CLX The Clorox Company | $93.80 | $94.91 | +1.2% | Fairly valued |
| CHD Church & Dwight Co., Inc. | $109.16 | $99.76 | -8.6% | Fairly valued |
| KMB Kimberly-Clark Corporation | $104.46 | $121.79 | +16.6% | Undervalued |
What the comparable companies' multiples alone would give for NWL, the peer-implied price, is $7.24 a share on this run. The fair value weighs that against the company's own multiple.
All household & personal products stocks ranked by gap to fair value
Newell Brands at a glance
Headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia, and established in 1903, Newell Brands Inc. is a global enterprise specializing in the development, manufacturing, sourcing, and distribution of a broad spectrum of consumer and commercial products.
- Market value
- $2.2B
- Sector
- Consumer Defensive
- Industry
- Household & Personal Products
- Revenue expected, next twelve months
- $7.4B
- Consensus revenue growth, next fiscal year
- +1.7%
- Analysts with estimates
- 5
- Beta to the US market
- 1.04
- First valued by Faircurve
- 11 Jul 2026
How the fair value is worked out: the model prices Newell Brands on the value of the whole business, debt included, against the operating profit analysts expect next year (forward EV/EBITDA), runs 2,000 simulations across its inputs and takes the midpoint. The full method is documented here.
What changed in the latest valuation?
On 24 Oct 2026 the model's fair value for NWL was $5.57. As of 31 Oct 2026 it is $5.59, a change of +0.4%. The model revalues every stock it covers each week, and again after an earnings report.
Questions about Newell Brands's valuation
Is Newell Brands stock undervalued or overvalued?
Faircurve's model puts NWL's fair value at $5.59 a share against a last close of $5.63, as of 31 Oct 2026. The model grades the evidence behind this valuation as low, so no verdict is shown. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It does not say how likely the fair value is to be right.
What is NWL's fair value?
$5.59 a share as of 31 Oct 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The model's own 20th to 80th percentile range is $0.00 to $15.37.
What price range does the model give NWL?
$4.53 to $6.68 over 63 trading days. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time across 10,454 past valuations, refreshed 31 Oct 2026.
When does Newell Brands report earnings next?
The next report is scheduled for 5 Feb 2027. Companies can move their dates.
How much has NWL moved on past earnings reports?
Across its last 8 reports the median two session move was 20.5%, ignoring direction. The largest was +32.7% around the report of 25 Oct 2024.
How confident is the model in this valuation?
The model's evidence grade for NWL is low. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It is not a probability that the fair value is right, or that the price reaches it.
The model's own ideas on NWL
The model holds no idea open on NWL today. Signed-in readers see the rule each idea runs on, the floor and the exit level the model set and its time limit, and the model's closed ideas on NWL with their outcomes. A free account is enough.