NASDAQ: REYN ยท Household & Personal Products
Reynolds Consumer Products (REYN) fair value: undervalued or overvalued?
As of 22 Sep 2026, Faircurve's model values Reynolds Consumer Products (REYN) at $23.57 a share. The stock last closed at $22.09, which puts the model's fair value 6.7% above the price. On the model's bands that reads as Fairly valued.
Revalued . Price is the close of 21 Sep 2026. Reynolds Consumer Products Inc.
What price range does the model give REYN?
The calibrated range for REYN over 63 trading days is $19.89 to $28.89. There is no live options data for this stock, so the range is built from the fair value and calibrated weekly against realised prices (n = 3,913 past valuations, refreshed 19 Sep 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon.
The model's own simulated range, from the 20th to the 80th percentile of its runs, is $18.78 to $28.82. In 59% of the simulations the fair value came out above the price the model ran on.
How does REYN score on business quality?
Reynolds Consumer Products's overall quality score is 40 out of 100. Each factor below is a score against comparable companies, not a percentile of the metric beside it.
| Factor | Score (0 to 100) | Headline measure | Peer median |
|---|---|---|---|
| ProfitabilityReturn on invested capital against the peer group, with a bonus for an improving trend. | 33 | 10.6%ROIC | 22.4% |
| Earnings qualityHow much of reported profit is cash: free cash flow to net income, and the accrual ratio (the share of earnings that is not cash). | 43 | 0.93xFCF / net income | 1.48x |
| Growth qualityTrailing revenue growth, forward growth from consensus, and the direction of analyst estimate revisions. | 44 | 0.7%Revenue growth, trailing | -2.2% |
| Capital disciplineReinvestment efficiency (capital spending per unit of revenue) and net buybacks. | 23 | 0.0%Net buybacks / market value | 2.5% |
| Balance sheetNet debt to EBITDA and interest coverage. | 38 | 2.52xNet debt / EBITDA | 1.69x |
| StabilityDownside volatility of the EBITDA margin over the last five years. | 67 | 1.2 ptsEBITDA margin downside volatility, 5y | 1.3 pts |
How does REYN compare with similar companies?
The companies in household & personal products closest to Reynolds Consumer Products in market value, each on the same model and the same date.
| Company | Last close | Model fair value | Gap | Model verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ELF e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. | $97.79 | $97.53 | -0.3% | Fairly valued |
| IPAR Inter Parfums, Inc. | $112.76 | $110.80 | -1.7% | Fairly valued |
| NWL Newell Brands Inc. | $5.60 | $6.15 | +9.8% | Low model confidence |
| CLX The Clorox Company | $84.88 | $87.88 | +3.5% | Fairly valued |
| COTY Coty Inc. | $2.51 | $3.47 | +38.2% | Low model confidence |
| EPC Edgewell Personal Care Company | $27.08 | $23.89 | -11.8% | Fairly valued |
| CHD Church & Dwight Co., Inc. | $95.49 | $89.14 | -6.6% | Fairly valued |
| KMB Kimberly-Clark Corporation | $97.74 | $109.97 | +12.5% | Fairly valued |
All household & personal products stocks ranked by gap to fair value
When does REYN report earnings, and how has the stock reacted?
Reynolds Consumer Products's next earnings report is scheduled for 4 Nov 2026. Companies can move their dates.
How REYN moved around its last 8 earnings reports
Each move runs from the last close before the report to the first close after it, so it covers companies that report before the open and after the close. The median size across these 8 reports, ignoring direction, was 6.0%.
| Report date | Two session move |
|---|---|
| 29 Jul 2026 | -2.1% |
| 6 May 2026 | +3.0% |
| 4 Feb 2026 | +4.5% |
| 29 Oct 2025 | +7.9% |
| 30 Jul 2025 | +4.3% |
| 30 Apr 2025 | -7.5% |
| 5 Feb 2025 | -10.8% |
| 30 Oct 2024 | -8.7% |
Reynolds Consumer Products at a glance
Reynolds Consumer Products Inc. produces and sells products in cooking, serving, cleanup, and storage, and tableware product categories in the United States and internationally.
- Market value
- $4.7B
- Sector
- Consumer Defensive
- Industry
- Household & Personal Products
- Revenue expected, next twelve months
- $3.8B
- Consensus revenue growth, next fiscal year
- +2.0%
- Analysts with estimates
- 3
- Beta to the US market
- 0.17
- First valued by Faircurve
- 11 Jul 2026
How the fair value is worked out: the model prices Reynolds Consumer Products on the value of the whole business, debt included, against the operating profit analysts expect next year (forward EV/EBITDA), runs 2,000 simulations across its inputs and takes the midpoint. The full method is documented here.
What changed in the latest valuation?
On 19 Sep 2026 the model's fair value for REYN was $23.49. As of 22 Sep 2026 it is $23.57, a change of +0.3%. The model revalues every stock it covers each week, and again after an earnings report.
Questions about Reynolds Consumer Products's valuation
Is Reynolds Consumer Products stock undervalued or overvalued?
On Faircurve's model, REYN reads as Fairly valued as of 22 Sep 2026. The model's fair value is $23.57 a share against a last close of $22.09, a gap of +6.7%.
What is REYN's fair value?
$23.57 a share as of 22 Sep 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The model's own 20th to 80th percentile range is $18.78 to $28.82.
What price range does the model give REYN?
$19.89 to $28.89 over 63 trading days. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time across 3,913 past valuations, refreshed 19 Sep 2026.
When does Reynolds Consumer Products report earnings next?
The next report is scheduled for 4 Nov 2026. Companies can move their dates.
How much has REYN moved on past earnings reports?
Across its last 8 reports the median two session move was 6.0%, ignoring direction. The largest was -10.8% around the report of 5 Feb 2025.
How confident is the model in this valuation?
Model confidence for REYN is medium. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It is not a probability that the fair value is right, or that the price reaches it.