NASDAQ: REYN · Household & Personal Products
Reynolds Consumer Products (REYN) fair value: undervalued or overvalued?
As of 31 Oct 2026, Faircurve's model values Reynolds Consumer Products (REYN) at $23.98 a share. The stock last closed at $24.53, which puts the model's fair value 2.2% below the price. On the model's bands that reads as Fairly valued.
Revalued . Price is the close of 5 Nov 2026. Reynolds Consumer Products Inc.
The report adds the live price, the price chart, the next earnings date and the analysts' consensus. No account needed.
This week, in three parts
What happenedThe run of 31 Oct 2026 moved the fair value from $23.56 to $23.98 (+1.8%). The stock's own trading multiple rose with its price, and the fair value follows it in part: most of the move.
What the model makes of itThe price of $24.53 is 2.2% above it: Fairly valued, on a high evidence grade.
What's nextNext report on 3 Feb 2027. The next weekly run is on Saturday 7 Nov 2026.
What price range does the model give REYN?
The calibrated range for REYN over 63 trading days is $19.42 to $28.64. There is no live options data for this stock, so the range is built from the fair value and calibrated weekly against realised prices (n = 10,454 past valuations, refreshed 31 Oct 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon.
The model's own simulated range, from the 20th to the 80th percentile of its runs, is $19.13 to $29.30. In 52% of the simulations the fair value came out above the price the model ran on.
Faircurve Insights · 31 Oct 2026
Reynolds Consumer Products Inc. (REYN) produces and sells products in cooking, serving, cleanup, and storage, and tableware product categories in the United States and internationally.
Faircurve's model gave a fair value of $23.98 a share on 31 Oct 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The previous run, on 24 Oct 2026, gave $23.56, a move of +1.8%. The model says the stock's own trading multiple rose with its price, and the fair value follows it in part. The calibrated range over 63 trading days is $19.42 to $28.64, built from the fair value. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon, based on 10,454 past valuations. The evidence grade is High.
The model's overall quality score is 41 out of 100, against comparable companies. Capital discipline is lowest at 12, with net buybacks at 0.0% of market value against a peer median of 2.0%. Earnings quality scores 35, with FCF to net income at 0.93x against a peer median of 1.48x. The model compares it with e.l.f. Beauty, Inc., Inter Parfums, Inc., The Clorox Company, Edgewell Personal Care Company, Church & Dwight Co., Inc. and Kimberly-Clark Corporation.
Written from the figures on this page for the 31 Oct 2026 valuation and checked by rule before publishing: every number is one printed here, no forecast, no instruction. The price, the gap and the verdict are the page's own and change daily. Not a recommendation.
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When does REYN report earnings, and how has the stock reacted?
Reynolds Consumer Products's next earnings report is scheduled for 3 Feb 2027. Companies can move their dates.
Around its last 8 reports: what the options market priced, and what followed
Each move runs from the last close before the report to the first close after it, so it covers companies that report before the open and after the close. The median size across REYN's last 8 reports, ignoring direction, was 4.4%.
How does REYN score on business quality?
Reynolds Consumer Products's overall quality score is 41 out of 100. Each factor below is a score against comparable companies, not a percentile of the metric beside it.
| Factor | Score (0 to 100) | Headline measure | Peer median |
|---|---|---|---|
| ProfitabilityReturn on invested capital against the peer group, with a bonus for an improving trend. | 38 | 10.6%ROIC | 18.4% |
| Earnings qualityHow much of reported profit is cash: free cash flow to net income, and the accrual ratio (the share of earnings that is not cash). | 35 | 0.93xFCF / net income | 1.48x |
| Growth qualityTrailing revenue growth, forward growth from consensus, and the direction of analysts' rating changes. | 50 | 0.7%Revenue growth, trailing | -3.6% |
| Capital disciplineReinvestment efficiency (capital spending per unit of revenue) and net buybacks. | 12 | 0.0%Net buybacks / market value | 2.0% |
| Balance sheetNet debt to EBITDA and interest coverage. | 45 | 2.52xNet debt / EBITDA | 1.78x |
| StabilityDownside volatility of the EBITDA margin over the last five years. | 67 | 1.2 ptsEBITDA margin downside volatility, 5y | 1.9 pts |
How does REYN compare with similar companies?
The companies in household & personal products closest to Reynolds Consumer Products in market value, each on the same model and the same date.
| Company | Last close | Model fair value | Gap | Model verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ELF e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. | $109.85 | $106.27 | -3.3% | Fairly valued |
| IPAR Inter Parfums, Inc. | $135.28 | $123.13 | -9.0% | Fairly valued |
| COTY Coty Inc. | $3.91 | $4.34 | +11.0% | Low evidence grade |
| CLX The Clorox Company | $99.70 | $94.91 | -4.8% | Fairly valued |
| NWL Newell Brands Inc. | $5.49 | $6.29 | +14.6% | Low evidence grade |
| EPC Edgewell Personal Care Company | $28.56 | $25.82 | -9.6% | Fairly valued |
| CHD Church & Dwight Co., Inc. | $111.33 | $99.76 | -10.4% | Fairly valued |
| KMB Kimberly-Clark Corporation | $110.46 | $121.79 | +10.3% | Fairly valued |
What the comparable companies' multiples alone would give for REYN, the peer-implied price, is $24.53 a share on this run. The fair value weighs that against the company's own multiple.
All household & personal products stocks ranked by gap to fair value
Reynolds Consumer Products at a glance
Reynolds Consumer Products Inc. produces and sells products in cooking, serving, cleanup, and storage, and tableware product categories in the United States and internationally.
- Market value
- $5.0B
- Sector
- Consumer Defensive
- Industry
- Household & Personal Products
- Revenue expected, next twelve months
- $3.9B
- Consensus revenue growth, next fiscal year
- +2.1%
- Analysts with estimates
- 3
- Beta to the US market
- -0.02
- First valued by Faircurve
- 11 Jul 2026
At the close of 5 Nov 2026, 55.1% of the 1,060 graded US stocks the model covers traded below the model's fair value. REYN was not among them.
How the fair value is worked out: the model prices Reynolds Consumer Products on the value of the whole business, debt included, against the operating profit analysts expect next year (forward EV/EBITDA), runs 2,000 simulations across its inputs and takes the midpoint. The full method is documented here.
What changed in the latest valuation?
On 24 Oct 2026 the model's fair value for REYN was $23.56. As of 31 Oct 2026 it is $23.98, a change of +1.8%. The stock's own trading multiple rose with its price, and the fair value follows it in part: most of the move. The model revalues every stock it covers each week, and again after an earnings report.
Questions about Reynolds Consumer Products's valuation
Is Reynolds Consumer Products stock undervalued or overvalued?
On Faircurve's model, REYN reads as Fairly valued as of 31 Oct 2026. The model's fair value is $23.98 a share against a last close of $24.53, a gap of -2.2%.
What is REYN's fair value?
$23.98 a share as of 31 Oct 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The model's own 20th to 80th percentile range is $19.13 to $29.30.
What price range does the model give REYN?
$19.42 to $28.64 over 63 trading days. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time across 10,454 past valuations, refreshed 31 Oct 2026.
When does Reynolds Consumer Products report earnings next?
The next report is scheduled for 3 Feb 2027. Companies can move their dates.
How much has REYN moved on past earnings reports?
Across its last 8 reports the median two session move was 4.4%, ignoring direction. The largest was -10.8% around the report of 5 Feb 2025.
How confident is the model in this valuation?
The model's evidence grade for REYN is high. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It is not a probability that the fair value is right, or that the price reaches it.
The model's own ideas on REYN
The model holds no idea open on REYN today. Signed-in readers see the rule each idea runs on, the floor and the exit level the model set and its time limit, and the model's closed ideas on REYN with their outcomes. A free account is enough.