NYSE: RH ยท Specialty Retail
Rh (RH) fair value and price range
As of 19 Sep 2026, Faircurve's model values Rh (RH) at $74.84 a share. The stock last closed at $127.20, which puts the model's fair value 41.2% below the price. The model grades the evidence behind this valuation as low, so no verdict is shown. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It does not say how likely the fair value is to be right.
Revalued . Price is the close of 21 Sep 2026. Rh.
What price range does the model give RH?
The calibrated range for RH over 63 trading days is $110.71 to $165.33. It sits around the last close, and its width comes from the volatility that RH's own options imply (57% a year), calibrated weekly against realised prices (n = 2,982 past valuations, refreshed 19 Sep 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon. The fair value is the model's opinion and rides beside the range. It is not the centre of it.
The model's own simulated range, from the 20th to the 80th percentile of its runs, is $0.00 to $178.56. In 32% of the simulations the fair value came out above the price the model ran on.
How does RH score on business quality?
Rh's overall quality score is 41 out of 100. Each factor below is a score against comparable companies, not a percentile of the metric beside it.
| Factor | Score (0 to 100) | Headline measure | Peer median |
|---|---|---|---|
| ProfitabilityReturn on invested capital against the peer group, with a bonus for an improving trend. | 20 | 6.3%ROIC | 8.5% |
| Earnings qualityHow much of reported profit is cash: free cash flow to net income, and the accrual ratio (the share of earnings that is not cash). | 89 | 2.22xFCF / net income | 0.81x |
| Growth qualityTrailing revenue growth, forward growth from consensus, and the direction of analyst estimate revisions. | 63 | 8.1%Revenue growth, trailing | 5.1% |
| Capital disciplineReinvestment efficiency (capital spending per unit of revenue) and net buybacks. | 11 | 0.0%Net buybacks / market value | 1.1% |
| Balance sheetNet debt to EBITDA and interest coverage. | 11 | 7.83xNet debt / EBITDA | 2.42x |
| StabilityDownside volatility of the EBITDA margin over the last five years. | 27 | 3.0 ptsEBITDA margin downside volatility, 5y | 1.9 pts |
How does RH compare with similar companies?
The companies in specialty retail closest to Rh in market value, each on the same model and the same date.
| Company | Last close | Model fair value | Gap | Model verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAP Advance Auto Parts, Inc. | $41.01 | $41.42 | +1.0% | Low model confidence |
| ASO Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. | $48.49 | $65.65 | +35.4% | Undervalued |
| BBWI Bath & Body Works, Inc. | $16.91 | $24.38 | +44.2% | Undervalued |
| SBH Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc. | $16.12 | $20.09 | +24.6% | Undervalued |
| EYE National Vision Holdings, Inc. | $16.45 | $15.53 | -5.6% | Low model confidence |
| LQDT Liquidity Services, Inc. | $42.83 | $43.78 | +2.2% | Fairly valued |
| HZO MarineMax, Inc. | $52.41 | $49.98 | -4.6% | Low model confidence |
| WINA Winmark Corporation | $286.19 | $263.54 | -7.9% | Fairly valued |
When does RH report earnings, and how has the stock reacted?
Rh's next earnings report is scheduled for 10 Dec 2026. Companies can move their dates.
Options prices on 21 Sep 2026 imply a move of about 7.8% in either direction through the nearest expiry, about 10 days out. That is the size the market is pricing, not a direction. RH's 30 day implied volatility works out to about 16.4% over one month.
How RH moved around its last 8 earnings reports
Each move runs from the last close before the report to the first close after it, so it covers companies that report before the open and after the close. The median size across these 8 reports, ignoring direction, was 4.4%.
| Report date | Two session move |
|---|---|
| 10 Sep 2026 | -3.8% |
| 11 Jun 2026 | +2.9% |
| 31 Mar 2026 | -14.5% |
| 11 Dec 2025 | +3.0% |
| 11 Sep 2025 | -4.9% |
| 12 Jun 2025 | -1.7% |
| 2 Apr 2025 | -37.5% |
| 12 Dec 2024 | +11.8% |
Rh at a glance
RH, along with its various associated businesses, functions as a prominent retailer specializing in home furnishings.
- Market value
- $2.4B
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical
- Industry
- Specialty Retail
- Revenue expected, next twelve months
- $3.9B
- Consensus revenue growth, next fiscal year
- +5.8%
- Analysts with estimates
- 10
- Beta to the US market
- 1.66
- First valued by Faircurve
- 11 Jul 2026
How the fair value is worked out: the model prices Rh on the value of the whole business, debt included, against the operating profit analysts expect next year (forward EV/EBITDA), runs 2,000 simulations across its inputs and takes the midpoint. The full method is documented here.
What changed in the latest valuation?
On 12 Sep 2026 the model's fair value for RH was $152.42. As of 19 Sep 2026 it is $74.84, a change of -50.9%. The model revalues every stock it covers each week, and again after an earnings report.
Questions about Rh's valuation
Is Rh stock undervalued or overvalued?
Faircurve's model puts RH's fair value at $74.84 a share against a last close of $127.20, as of 19 Sep 2026. The model grades the evidence behind this valuation as low, so no verdict is shown. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It does not say how likely the fair value is to be right.
What is RH's fair value?
$74.84 a share as of 19 Sep 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The model's own 20th to 80th percentile range is $0.00 to $178.56.
What price range does the model give RH?
$110.71 to $165.33 over 63 trading days. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time across 2,982 past valuations, refreshed 19 Sep 2026.
When does Rh report earnings next?
The next report is scheduled for 10 Dec 2026. Companies can move their dates.
How much has RH moved on past earnings reports?
Across its last 8 reports the median two session move was 4.4%, ignoring direction. The largest was -37.5% around the report of 2 Apr 2025.
How confident is the model in this valuation?
Model confidence for RH is low. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It is not a probability that the fair value is right, or that the price reaches it.