Range Resources Corporation (RRC) — Fair Value Analysis

Base-case fair value (P50): $41.50 · Current price: $38.28 · Verdict: Fairly Valued

The Verdict on RRC

Based on robust Monte Carlo simulations, RANGE RESOURCES CORP (RRC) is currently assessed as Fairly Valued. With the stock trading at $38.28, our analysis indicates a median fair value (P50) of $41.50. This suggests a projected +8.4% to its fundamental valuation, positioning RRC near its intrinsic worth as determined by thousands of forward-looking scenarios. The comprehensive simulation suggests RRC is not significantly overvalued at its current trading level, reflecting a balanced outlook for the company's future performance relative to its market price.

How RRC stacks up against peers

RRC's "strong" quality tier is a key factor supporting its Fairly Valued assessment. This indicates robust operational and financial health, distinguishing the company within the broader market context. Despite the $38.28 and the calculated $41.50, RRC's strong fundamentals suggest a resilience that underpins its current valuation, rather than indicating an overextended price point. This foundational strength provides a level of confidence in the Monte Carlo derived fair value, suggesting the market is appropriately reflecting its intrinsic quality without significant premium or discount.

What this means for investors

For investors, RRC's "Fairly Valued" verdict, with $38.28 aligning closely with the $41.50, implies that the stock's current price largely reflects its fundamental prospects. While a +8.4% is indicated, this falls within a range suggesting efficient pricing rather than a substantial mispricing opportunity. Both downside scenarios and potential bull cases are considered within our Monte Carlo framework. To explore the full probabilistic distribution for RRC, including detailed bear (P10) and bull (P90) target ranges, and to track RRC's fair value as new fundamentals are released, sign up for a free FairCurve account.