NYSE: WCC · Industrial Distribution
WESCO International (WCC) fair value: undervalued or overvalued?
As of 5 Nov 2026, Faircurve's model values WESCO International (WCC) at $336.59 a share. The stock last closed at $286.47, which puts the model's fair value 17.5% above the price. On the model's bands that reads as Undervalued.
Revalued . Price is the close of 5 Nov 2026. WESCO International, Inc.
The report adds the live price, the chart against the range the options market prices, the next earnings date and the analysts' consensus. No account needed.
This week, in three parts
What happenedThe run of 5 Nov 2026 moved the fair value from $344.00 to $336.59 (-2.2%).
What the model makes of itThe price of $286.47 is 17.5% below it: Undervalued, on a high evidence grade.
What's nextNext report on 9 Feb 2027. Options prices imply a move of about 15% either way over the next month. The next weekly run is on Saturday 7 Nov 2026.
What price range does the model give WCC?
The calibrated range for WCC over 63 trading days is $246.17 to $345.12. It sits around the last close, and its width comes from the volatility that WCC's own options imply (51% a year), calibrated weekly against realised prices (n = 6,661 past valuations, refreshed 31 Oct 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon. The fair value is the model's opinion and rides beside the range. It is not the centre of it.
The model's own simulated range, from the 20th to the 80th percentile of its runs, is $259.94 to $422.86. In 58% of the simulations the fair value came out above the price the model ran on.
Faircurve Insights · 5 Nov 2026
WESCO International, Inc. functions as a prominent global distributor. It delivers business-to-business logistical services and supply chain management solutions across the United States, Canada and internationally.
Faircurve's model put the fair value at $336.59 a share on 5 Nov 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The previous run, on 31 Oct 2026, gave $344.00, a move of -2.2%. The calibrated range over 63 trading days runs from $278.10 to $371.59, built around the price from the volatility the stock's own options imply. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon, based on 6,661 past valuations. The model grades the evidence High, based on input completeness, comparable agreement and the width of outcomes. The grade does not say whether the fair value is right.
The model's overall quality score for WESCO is 39 out of 100, a composite of six factors. Earnings quality is the weakest, at 5, with FCF / net income at 0.53x against a peer median of 0.92x. Stability is the strongest, at 88, with EBITDA margin downside volatility at 0.5 pts over five years against a peer median of 1.1 pts. The model compares it with Watsco, Inc., Core & Main, Inc., Pool Corporation, MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc., Ferguson plc, Fastenal Company and W.W. Grainger, Inc.
Written from the figures on this page for the 5 Nov 2026 valuation and checked by rule before publishing: every number is one printed here, no forecast, no instruction. The price, the gap and the verdict are the page's own and change daily. Not a recommendation.
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When does WCC report earnings, and how has the stock reacted?
WESCO International's next earnings report is scheduled for 9 Feb 2027. Companies can move their dates.
Options prices on 5 Nov 2026 imply a move of about 9.6% in either direction through the nearest expiry, about 14 days out. That is the size the market is pricing, not a direction. WCC's 30 day implied volatility works out to about 14.7% over one month.
On 5 Nov 2026 WCC moved 9.6% in one session, against the 2.8% a day that options had priced: 3.5 times the implied size.
Around its last 8 reports: what the options market priced, and what followed
Each move runs from the last close before the report to the first close after it, so it covers companies that report before the open and after the close. The median size across WCC's last 8 reports, ignoring direction, was 5.1%.
What the options market has priced for a month's move in WCC
How does WCC score on business quality?
WESCO International's overall quality score is 39 out of 100. Each factor below is a score against comparable companies, not a percentile of the metric beside it.
| Factor | Score (0 to 100) | Headline measure | Peer median |
|---|---|---|---|
| ProfitabilityReturn on invested capital against the peer group, with a bonus for an improving trend. | 25 | 9.7%ROIC | 12.2% |
| Earnings qualityHow much of reported profit is cash: free cash flow to net income, and the accrual ratio (the share of earnings that is not cash). | 5 | 0.53xFCF / net income | 0.92x |
| Growth qualityTrailing revenue growth, forward growth from consensus, and the direction of analysts' rating changes. | 64 | 7.8%Revenue growth, trailing | 8.7% |
| Capital disciplineReinvestment efficiency (capital spending per unit of revenue) and net buybacks. | 63 | 0.5%Net buybacks / market value | 0.8% |
| Balance sheetNet debt to EBITDA and interest coverage. | 30 | 3.51xNet debt / EBITDA | 2.41x |
| StabilityDownside volatility of the EBITDA margin over the last five years. | 88 | 0.5 ptsEBITDA margin downside volatility, 5y | 1.1 pts |
How does WCC compare with similar companies?
The companies in industrial distribution closest to WESCO International in market value, each on the same model and the same date.
| Company | Last close | Model fair value | Gap | Model verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSO Watsco, Inc. | $311.14 | $289.79 | -6.9% | Fairly valued |
| AIT Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc. | $280.90 | $297.48 | +5.9% | Data under review |
| CNM Core & Main, Inc. | $46.95 | $61.75 | +31.5% | Undervalued |
| POOL Pool Corporation | $216.66 | $203.28 | -6.2% | Fairly valued |
| MSM MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. | $110.95 | $125.85 | +13.4% | Fairly valued |
| FERG Ferguson Enterprises Inc. | $235.65 | $244.69 | +3.8% | Fairly valued |
| FAST Fastenal Company | $52.90 | $44.05 | -16.7% | Overvalued |
| GWW W.W. Grainger, Inc. | $1,451.39 | $1,301.09 | -10.4% | Fairly valued |
What the comparable companies' multiples alone would give for WCC, the peer-implied price, is $368.38 a share on this run. The fair value weighs that against the company's own multiple.
All industrial distribution stocks ranked by gap to fair value
WESCO International at a glance
WESCO International, Inc. functions as a prominent global distributor, delivering an array of business-to-business logistical services and sophisticated supply chain management solutions across the United States, Canada, and internationally.
- Market value
- $16.7B
- Sector
- Industrials
- Industry
- Industrial Distribution
- Revenue expected, next twelve months
- $28.6B
- Consensus revenue growth, next fiscal year
- +13.7%
- Analysts with estimates
- 8
- Beta to the US market
- 2.05
- First valued by Faircurve
- 11 Jul 2026
At the close of 5 Nov 2026, 56.0% of the 1,065 graded US stocks the model covers traded below the model's fair value. WCC was among them.
How the fair value is worked out: the model prices WESCO International on the value of the whole business, debt included, against the operating profit analysts expect next year (forward EV/EBITDA), runs 2,000 simulations across its inputs and takes the midpoint. The full method is documented here.
What changed in the latest valuation?
On 31 Oct 2026 the model's fair value for WCC was $344.00. As of 5 Nov 2026 it is $336.59, a change of -2.2%. The model revalues every stock it covers each week, and again after an earnings report.
Questions about WESCO International's valuation
Is WESCO International stock undervalued or overvalued?
On Faircurve's model, WCC reads as Undervalued as of 5 Nov 2026. The model's fair value is $336.59 a share against a last close of $286.47, a gap of +17.5%.
What is WCC's fair value?
$336.59 a share as of 5 Nov 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The model's own 20th to 80th percentile range is $259.94 to $422.86.
What price range does the model give WCC?
$246.17 to $345.12 over 63 trading days. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time across 6,661 past valuations, refreshed 31 Oct 2026.
When does WESCO International report earnings next?
The next report is scheduled for 9 Feb 2027. Companies can move their dates.
How much has WCC moved on past earnings reports?
Across its last 8 reports the median two session move was 5.1%, ignoring direction. The largest was +16.2% around the report of 30 Apr 2026.
How confident is the model in this valuation?
The model's evidence grade for WCC is high. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It is not a probability that the fair value is right, or that the price reaches it.
The model's own ideas on WCC
The model holds no idea open on WCC today. Signed-in readers see the rule each idea runs on, the floor and the exit level the model set and its time limit, and the model's closed ideas on WCC with their outcomes. A free account is enough.