Industry ยท Oct 2026

Industrial Distribution stocks ranked by gap to the model's fair value

Faircurve's model values 12 industrial distribution stocks. 9 of them are ranked below by the gap between the model's fair value and the last close, as of 31 Oct 2026: 1 read as Undervalued, 7 as Fairly valued and 1 as Overvalued. The median gap across the ranked names is -1.9%. The widest gaps above the price are CNM (+37.6%), MSM (+4.6%), FERG (+1.1%). The widest below it are FAST (-15.8%), WSO (-7.0%), GWW (-6.9%).

Valuations as of . Prices are the closes of 3 Nov 2026. The gap is the model's fair value against the price: a positive gap means the fair value is above the price. It states what the model concluded, not where the price goes next.

The ranking

RankCompanyLast closeModel fair valueGapModel verdictQuality scoreMarket value
1CNM Core & Main, Inc.$44.87$61.75+37.6%Undervalued63$8.2B
2MSM MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc.$120.30$125.85+4.6%Fairly valued55$6.8B
3FERG Ferguson plc$241.99$244.69+1.1%Fairly valued60$46.2B
4DXPE DXP Enterprises, Inc.$179.49$181.24+1.0%Fairly valued66$2.7B
5POOL Pool Corporation$207.25$203.28-1.9%Fairly valued73$7.5B
6WCC WESCO International, Inc.$351.61$344.00-2.2%Fairly valued41$16.7B
7GWW W.W. Grainger, Inc.$1,397.98$1,301.09-6.9%Fairly valued57$64.0B
8WSO Watsco, Inc.$311.69$289.79-7.0%Fairly valued66$12.6B
9FAST Fastenal Company$52.33$44.05-15.8%Overvalued69$59.6B

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Valued but not ranked

These 3 names are valued but not ranked, for one of four reasons: the model grades the evidence as low or has not graded it yet, the inputs are under review, the gap is wider than 60%, or the valuation is more than three weeks old. The numbers are shown for reference.

CompanyLast closeModel fair valueGapWhy it is not rankedQuality scoreMarket value
AIT Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc.$305.15$297.48-2.5%Data under review71$10.7B
DNOW Dnow Inc.$16.10$14.84-7.8%Low evidence grade59$2.9B
REZI Resideo Technologies, Inc.$19.24$16.63-13.6%Low evidence grade33$2.8B