California Resources Corporation (CRC) — Fair Value Analysis

Base-case fair value (P50): $77.43 · Current price: $62.47 · Verdict: Undervalued

The Verdict on CRC

Based on our proprietary Monte Carlo simulations, CALIFORNIA RESOURCES CORP (CRC) appears undervalued at its $62.47 level. Our models indicate a median fair value (P50) of $77.43, suggesting a potential +23.9% upside from the current market price. This robust analysis, which accounts for thousands of forward-looking financial scenarios, positions CRC favorably for investors seeking value.

How CRC stacks up against peers

While we do not provide a sector-specific fair value given the "n/a" sector classification, CRC's operational and financial health is rated as strong relative to its peers. This strong quality tier suggests the company is well-positioned to execute on its strategic objectives and navigate potential market volatilities. The significant +23.9% derived from our median fair value of $77.43 further reinforces the positive outlook for CRC compared to its current trading price of $62.47. Even in a downside scenario, CRC’s strong fundamentals offer a degree of resilience.

What this means for investors

The Monte Carlo simulations point to a clear opportunity in CRC, with a median fair value of $77.43 comfortably above the $62.47. This +23.9% potential indicates a compelling entry point for investors considering CRC. Our strong quality tier assessment underpins the company's capability to realize this upside in a bull case scenario. For a deeper dive into the full bear and bull case distributions and to track CRC's fair value as new fundamentals are released, sign up for a free FairCurve account.