NASDAQ: OSW · Leisure
OneSpaWorld Holdings (OSW) fair value: undervalued or overvalued?
As of 3 Oct 2026, Faircurve's model values OneSpaWorld Holdings (OSW) at $22.81 a share. The stock last closed at $23.62, which puts the model's fair value 3.4% below the price. On the model's bands that reads as Fairly valued.
Revalued . Price is the close of 2 Oct 2026. OneSpaWorld Holdings Ltd.
Faircurve Insights · 3 Oct 2026
OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited operates health and wellness centers onboard cruise ships and at destination resorts in the United States and internationally.
Faircurve's model on 3 Oct 2026 gave a fair value of $22.81 a share, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. This was a +2.5% move from the previous run on 26 Sep 2026 which gave $22.25. The calibrated range over 63 trading days was $19.03 to $27.65; ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon. The model's evidence grade was Medium.
The company's overall quality score was 59 out of 100 against comparable companies YETI Holdings, Inc., Mattel, Inc., and Acushnet Holdings Corp. The stock's median move around its last 8 earnings reports was 5.2%, ignoring direction.
Written from the figures on this page for the 3 Oct 2026 valuation and checked by rule before publishing: every number is one printed here, no forecast, no instruction. The price, the gap and the verdict are the page's own and change daily. Not a recommendation.
What price range does the model give OSW?
The calibrated range for OSW over 63 trading days is $19.03 to $27.65. There is no live options data for this stock, so the range is built from the fair value and calibrated weekly against realised prices (n = 4,809 past valuations, refreshed 3 Oct 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon.
The model's own simulated range, from the 20th to the 80th percentile of its runs, is $16.39 to $31.17. In 46% of the simulations the fair value came out above the price the model ran on.
How does OSW score on business quality?
OneSpaWorld Holdings's overall quality score is 59 out of 100. Each factor below is a score against comparable companies, not a percentile of the metric beside it.
| Factor | Score (0 to 100) | Headline measure | Peer median |
|---|---|---|---|
| ProfitabilityReturn on invested capital against the peer group, with a bonus for an improving trend. | 83 | 14.4%ROIC | 7.8% |
| Earnings qualityHow much of reported profit is cash: free cash flow to net income, and the accrual ratio (the share of earnings that is not cash). | 41 | 0.97xFCF / net income | 2.56x |
| Growth qualityTrailing revenue growth, forward growth from consensus, and the direction of analyst estimate revisions. | 62 | 7.4%Revenue growth, trailing | 1.3% |
| Capital disciplineReinvestment efficiency (capital spending per unit of revenue) and net buybacks. | 59 | 1.6%Net buybacks / market value | 0.4% |
| Balance sheetNet debt to EBITDA and interest coverage. | 72 | 0.46xNet debt / EBITDA | 2.48x |
| StabilityDownside volatility of the EBITDA margin over the last five years. | 2 | 12.0 ptsEBITDA margin downside volatility, 5y | 2.9 pts |
How does OSW compare with similar companies?
The companies in leisure closest to OneSpaWorld Holdings in market value, each on the same model and the same date.
| Company | Last close | Model fair value | Gap | Model verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YETI YETI Holdings, Inc. | $40.87 | $42.91 | +5.0% | Fairly valued |
| PLNT Planet Fitness, Inc. | $42.41 | $46.61 | +9.9% | Low evidence grade |
| MAT Mattel, Inc. | $15.27 | $15.84 | +3.7% | Fairly valued |
| FUN Six Flags Entertainment Corporation | $11.60 | $8.58 | -26.0% | Low evidence grade |
| GOLF Acushnet Holdings Corp. | $83.65 | $69.45 | -17.0% | Overvalued |
| LTH Life Time Group Holdings, Inc. | $40.99 | $36.73 | -10.4% | Low evidence grade |
| HAS Hasbro, Inc. | $89.54 | $86.02 | -3.9% | Low evidence grade |
When does OSW report earnings, and how has the stock reacted?
OneSpaWorld Holdings's next earnings report is scheduled for 4 Nov 2026. Companies can move their dates.
How OSW moved around its last 8 earnings reports
Each move runs from the last close before the report to the first close after it, so it covers companies that report before the open and after the close. The median size across these 8 reports, ignoring direction, was 5.2%.
| Report date | Two session move |
|---|---|
| 29 Jul 2026 | -6.2% |
| 29 Apr 2026 | +3.8% |
| 18 Feb 2026 | -4.1% |
| 29 Oct 2025 | +9.5% |
| 30 Jul 2025 | +1.7% |
| 30 Apr 2025 | +10.3% |
| 19 Feb 2025 | -7.4% |
| 30 Oct 2024 | +0.3% |
OneSpaWorld Holdings at a glance
OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited operates health and wellness centers onboard cruise ships and at destination resorts in the United States and internationally.
- Market value
- $2.4B
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical
- Industry
- Leisure
- Revenue expected, next twelve months
- $1.1B
- Consensus revenue growth, next fiscal year
- +7.6%
- Analysts with estimates
- 4
- Beta to the US market
- 0.87
- First valued by Faircurve
- 11 Jul 2026
How the fair value is worked out: the model prices OneSpaWorld Holdings on the value of the whole business, debt included, against the operating profit analysts expect next year (forward EV/EBITDA), runs 2,000 simulations across its inputs and takes the midpoint. The full method is documented here.
What changed in the latest valuation?
On 26 Sep 2026 the model's fair value for OSW was $22.25. As of 3 Oct 2026 it is $22.81, a change of +2.5%. The model revalues every stock it covers each week, and again after an earnings report.
Questions about OneSpaWorld Holdings's valuation
Is OneSpaWorld Holdings stock undervalued or overvalued?
On Faircurve's model, OSW reads as Fairly valued as of 3 Oct 2026. The model's fair value is $22.81 a share against a last close of $23.62, a gap of -3.4%.
What is OSW's fair value?
$22.81 a share as of 3 Oct 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The model's own 20th to 80th percentile range is $16.39 to $31.17.
What price range does the model give OSW?
$19.03 to $27.65 over 63 trading days. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time across 4,809 past valuations, refreshed 3 Oct 2026.
When does OneSpaWorld Holdings report earnings next?
The next report is scheduled for 4 Nov 2026. Companies can move their dates.
How much has OSW moved on past earnings reports?
Across its last 8 reports the median two session move was 5.2%, ignoring direction. The largest was +10.3% around the report of 30 Apr 2025.
How confident is the model in this valuation?
The model's evidence grade for OSW is medium. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It is not a probability that the fair value is right, or that the price reaches it.