NYSE: YETI · Leisure
YETI Holdings (YETI) fair value: undervalued or overvalued?
As of 31 Oct 2026, Faircurve's model values YETI Holdings (YETI) at $45.28 a share. The stock last closed at $46.95, which puts the model's fair value 3.6% below the price. On the model's bands that reads as Fairly valued.
Revalued . Price is the close of 5 Nov 2026. YETI Holdings, Inc.
The report adds the live price, the chart against the range the options market prices and the analysts' consensus. No account needed.
This week, in three parts
What happenedThe run of 31 Oct 2026 moved the fair value from $44.82 to $45.28 (+1.0%). The stock's own trading multiple rose with its price, and the fair value follows it in part: most of the move.
What the model makes of itThe price of $46.95 is 3.6% above it: Fairly valued, on a high evidence grade.
What's nextNo report date on file. Options prices imply a move of about 17% either way over the next month. On the model's Quality Momentum list since 4 Nov 2026 (a strategy with a proving record). The next weekly run is on Saturday 7 Nov 2026.
What price range does the model give YETI?
The calibrated range for YETI over 63 trading days is $39.59 to $57.89. It sits around the last close, and its width comes from the volatility that YETI's own options imply (57% a year), calibrated weekly against realised prices (n = 6,661 past valuations, refreshed 31 Oct 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon. The fair value is the model's opinion and rides beside the range. It is not the centre of it.
The model's own simulated range, from the 20th to the 80th percentile of its runs, is $34.78 to $57.86. In 55% of the simulations the fair value came out above the price the model ran on.
Faircurve Insights · 31 Oct 2026
YETI Holdings, Inc. develops, promotes, sells and distributes premium products for outdoor enthusiasts and recreational activities, all under the YETI brand.
Faircurve's model put the fair value at $45.28 a share on 31 Oct 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The previous run, on 24 Oct 2026, gave $44.82, so the fair value moved +1.0%. In the model's own words, the stock's own trading multiple rose with its price, and the fair value follows it in part: most of the move. The calibrated range over 63 trading days is $41.75 to $57.86, built around the price from the volatility the stock's own options imply. Calibrated weekly against realised prices (6,661 past valuations, refreshed 31 Oct 2026), ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon. The evidence grade is High, which looks at input completeness, the number of comparable companies and how closely they agree, and the spread of outcomes. It does not say whether the fair value is right.
The model gives YETI an overall quality score of 68 out of 100 against comparable companies. Profitability stands out most at 90, with ROIC of 22.3% against a peer median of 8.2%. Balance sheet scores 77, with net debt to EBITDA of 0.66x against a peer median of 2.89x. Stability scores 30, with five-year EBITDA margin downside volatility of 2.5 pts against a peer median of 2.0 pts. The model compares YETI with Mattel, Inc., Acushnet Holdings Corp. and Hasbro, Inc.
Written from the figures on this page for the 31 Oct 2026 valuation and checked by rule before publishing: every number is one printed here, no forecast, no instruction. The price, the gap and the verdict are the page's own and change daily. Not a recommendation.
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When does YETI report earnings, and how has the stock reacted?
Options prices on 5 Nov 2026 imply a move of about 12.7% in either direction through the nearest expiry, about 14 days out. That is the size the market is pricing, not a direction. YETI's 30 day implied volatility works out to about 16.6% over one month.
On 4 Nov 2026 YETI moved 7.8% in one session, against the 3.0% a day that options had priced: 2.5 times the implied size, around an earnings report.
Around its last 8 reports: what the options market priced, and what followed
Each move runs from the last close before the report to the first close after it, so it covers companies that report before the open and after the close. The median size across YETI's last 8 reports, ignoring direction, was 9.5%.
What the options market has priced for a month's move in YETI
How does YETI score on business quality?
YETI Holdings's overall quality score is 68 out of 100. Each factor below is a score against comparable companies, not a percentile of the metric beside it.
| Factor | Score (0 to 100) | Headline measure | Peer median |
|---|---|---|---|
| ProfitabilityReturn on invested capital against the peer group, with a bonus for an improving trend. | 90 | 22.3%ROIC | 8.2% |
| Earnings qualityHow much of reported profit is cash: free cash flow to net income, and the accrual ratio (the share of earnings that is not cash). | 70 | 1.16xFCF / net income | 1.00x |
| Growth qualityTrailing revenue growth, forward growth from consensus, and the direction of analysts' rating changes. | 59 | 2.1%Revenue growth, trailing | 1.6% |
| Capital disciplineReinvestment efficiency (capital spending per unit of revenue) and net buybacks. | 50 | 13.0%Net buybacks / market value | 2.4% |
| Balance sheetNet debt to EBITDA and interest coverage. | 77 | 0.66xNet debt / EBITDA | 2.89x |
| StabilityDownside volatility of the EBITDA margin over the last five years. | 30 | 2.5 ptsEBITDA margin downside volatility, 5y | 2.0 pts |
How does YETI compare with similar companies?
The companies in leisure closest to YETI Holdings in market value, each on the same model and the same date.
| Company | Last close | Model fair value | Gap | Model verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OSW OneSpaWorld Holdings Ltd | $30.72 | $29.41 | -4.3% | Low evidence grade |
| PLNT Planet Fitness, Inc. | $60.07 | $56.63 | -5.7% | Low evidence grade |
| MAT Mattel, Inc. | $14.97 | $16.78 | +12.1% | Fairly valued |
| GOLF Acushnet Holdings Corp. | $83.62 | $72.72 | -13.0% | Fairly valued |
| LTH Life Time Group Holdings, Inc. | $47.75 | $42.95 | -10.1% | Low evidence grade |
| FUN Six Flags Entertainment Corporation | $9.24 | $7.55 | -18.3% | Low evidence grade |
| HAS Hasbro, Inc. | $119.54 | $108.94 | -8.9% | Fairly valued |
What the comparable companies' multiples alone would give for YETI, the peer-implied price, is $48.34 a share on this run. The fair value weighs that against the company's own multiple.
YETI Holdings at a glance
YETI Holdings, Inc. develops, promotes, sells, and distributes premium products designed for outdoor enthusiasts and recreational activities, all under the prominent YETI brand.
- Market value
- $3.2B
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical
- Industry
- Leisure
- Revenue expected, next twelve months
- $2.1B
- Consensus revenue growth, next fiscal year
- +7.6%
- Analysts with estimates
- 12
- Beta to the US market
- 0.89
- First valued by Faircurve
- 11 Jul 2026
At the close of 5 Nov 2026, 55.1% of the 1,060 graded US stocks the model covers traded below the model's fair value. YETI was not among them.
How the fair value is worked out: the model prices YETI Holdings on the value of the whole business, debt included, against the operating profit analysts expect next year (forward EV/EBITDA), runs 2,000 simulations across its inputs and takes the midpoint. The full method is documented here.
What changed in the latest valuation?
On 24 Oct 2026 the model's fair value for YETI was $44.82. As of 31 Oct 2026 it is $45.28, a change of +1.0%. The stock's own trading multiple rose with its price, and the fair value follows it in part: most of the move. The model revalues every stock it covers each week, and again after an earnings report.
Questions about YETI Holdings's valuation
Is YETI Holdings stock undervalued or overvalued?
On Faircurve's model, YETI reads as Fairly valued as of 31 Oct 2026. The model's fair value is $45.28 a share against a last close of $46.95, a gap of -3.6%.
What is YETI's fair value?
$45.28 a share as of 31 Oct 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The model's own 20th to 80th percentile range is $34.78 to $57.86.
What price range does the model give YETI?
$39.59 to $57.89 over 63 trading days. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time across 6,661 past valuations, refreshed 31 Oct 2026.
How much has YETI moved on past earnings reports?
Across its last 8 reports the median two session move was 9.5%, ignoring direction. The largest was -12.4% around the report of 13 Aug 2026.
How confident is the model in this valuation?
The model's evidence grade for YETI is high. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It is not a probability that the fair value is right, or that the price reaches it.
The model's own ideas on YETI
The model has an idea open on YETI under Quality Momentum since 4 Nov 2026, a strategy with a proving record. Signed-in readers see the rule each idea runs on, the floor and the exit level the model set and its time limit, and the model's closed ideas on YETI with their outcomes. A free account is enough.