NYSE: SLGN · Packaging & Containers
Silgan Holdings (SLGN) fair value: undervalued or overvalued?
As of 31 Oct 2026, Faircurve's model values Silgan Holdings (SLGN) at $40.64 a share. The stock last closed at $41.51, which puts the model's fair value 2.1% below the price. On the model's bands that reads as Fairly valued.
Revalued . Price is the close of 3 Nov 2026. Silgan Holdings Inc.
The report adds the live price, the chart against the range the options market prices, the next earnings date and the analysts' consensus. No account needed.
This week, in three parts
What happenedThe run of 31 Oct 2026 held the fair value at $40.64, within 1% of the run of 24 Oct 2026.
What the model makes of itThe price of $41.51 is 2.1% above it: Fairly valued, on a medium evidence grade.
What's nextNext report on 26 Jan 2027. On the model's Earnings Momentum list since 4 Nov 2026 (a strategy with a proving record). The next weekly run is on Saturday 7 Nov 2026.
What price range does the model give SLGN?
The calibrated range for SLGN over 63 trading days is $32.92 to $48.54. There is no live options data for this stock, so the range is built from the fair value and calibrated weekly against realised prices (n = 10,454 past valuations, refreshed 31 Oct 2026). Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon.
The model's own simulated range, from the 20th to the 80th percentile of its runs, is $24.49 to $59.22. In 50% of the simulations the fair value came out above the price the model ran on.
Faircurve Insights · 31 Oct 2026
Silgan Holdings Inc. (SLGN) manufactures and distributes rigid packaging solutions for consumer products. It sells across North America, Europe and other global markets through three principal divisions.
Faircurve's model puts the fair value of Silgan at $40.64 a share on 31 Oct 2026. The previous run, on 24 Oct 2026, gave $41.05, so the fair value moved -1.0%. The calibrated range over 63 trading days is $32.92 to $48.54. It is built from the fair value because there is no live options data for the stock. The range is calibrated weekly against realised prices, and ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time at this horizon. The model grades the evidence Medium, a grade that looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It does not say whether the fair value is right.
Silgan scores 45 out of 100 on overall quality against comparable companies. Growth quality stands out at 75, with trailing revenue growth of 10.7% against a peer median of 2.4%. Stability scores 91, with five-year EBITDA margin downside volatility of 0.3 points against a peer median of 1.2 points. Balance sheet scores 25, with net debt to EBITDA of 4.58x against a peer median of 2.93x, and profitability scores 18, with ROIC of 6.3% against a peer median of 9.3%. The model compares Silgan with Greif, Crown Holdings, Avery Dennison, Ball and Amcor.
Written from the figures on this page for the 31 Oct 2026 valuation and checked by rule before publishing: every number is one printed here, no forecast, no instruction. The price, the gap and the verdict are the page's own and change daily. Not a recommendation.
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When does SLGN report earnings, and how has the stock reacted?
Silgan Holdings's next earnings report is scheduled for 26 Jan 2027. Companies can move their dates.
Around its last 8 reports: what the options market priced, and what followed
Each move runs from the last close before the report to the first close after it, so it covers companies that report before the open and after the close. The median size across SLGN's last 8 reports, ignoring direction, was 9.2%.
How does SLGN score on business quality?
Silgan Holdings's overall quality score is 45 out of 100. Each factor below is a score against comparable companies, not a percentile of the metric beside it.
| Factor | Score (0 to 100) | Headline measure | Peer median |
|---|---|---|---|
| ProfitabilityReturn on invested capital against the peer group, with a bonus for an improving trend. | 18 | 6.3%ROIC | 9.3% |
| Earnings qualityHow much of reported profit is cash: free cash flow to net income, and the accrual ratio (the share of earnings that is not cash). | 55 | 1.32xFCF / net income | 0.91x |
| Growth qualityTrailing revenue growth, forward growth from consensus, and the direction of analysts' rating changes. | 75 | 10.7%Revenue growth, trailing | 2.4% |
| Capital disciplineReinvestment efficiency (capital spending per unit of revenue) and net buybacks. | 23 | 0.2%Net buybacks / market value | 1.0% |
| Balance sheetNet debt to EBITDA and interest coverage. | 25 | 4.58xNet debt / EBITDA | 2.93x |
| StabilityDownside volatility of the EBITDA margin over the last five years. | 91 | 0.3 ptsEBITDA margin downside volatility, 5y | 1.2 pts |
How does SLGN compare with similar companies?
The companies in packaging & containers closest to Silgan Holdings in market value, each on the same model and the same date.
| Company | Last close | Model fair value | Gap | Model verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GEF Greif, Inc. | $81.25 | $76.59 | -5.7% | Fairly valued |
| SON Sonoco Products Company | $48.83 | $59.09 | +21.0% | Low evidence grade |
| GPK Graphic Packaging Holding Company | $11.31 | $11.08 | -2.0% | Low evidence grade |
| CCK Crown Holdings, Inc. | $120.73 | $141.33 | +17.1% | Undervalued |
| AVY Avery Dennison Corporation | $185.38 | $183.97 | -0.8% | Fairly valued |
| BALL Ball Corporation | $63.21 | $62.92 | -0.5% | Fairly valued |
| AMCR Amcor plc | $46.96 | $43.40 | -7.6% | Fairly valued |
| SW Smurfit Westrock plc | $43.42 | $53.89 | +24.1% | Data under review |
What the comparable companies' multiples alone would give for SLGN, the peer-implied price, is $41.64 a share on this run. The fair value weighs that against the company's own multiple.
All packaging & containers stocks ranked by gap to fair value
Silgan Holdings at a glance
Silgan Holdings Inc., along with its affiliates, manufactures and distributes rigid packaging solutions for consumer products across North America, Europe, and other global markets. The company operates through three principal divisions.
- Market value
- $4.3B
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical
- Industry
- Packaging & Containers
- Revenue expected, next twelve months
- $7.2B
- Consensus revenue growth, next fiscal year
- +5.5%
- Analysts with estimates
- 7
- Beta to the US market
- 0.15
- First valued by Faircurve
- 11 Jul 2026
At the close of 3 Nov 2026, 52.1% of the 1,081 graded US stocks the model covers traded below the model's fair value. SLGN was not among them.
How the fair value is worked out: the model prices Silgan Holdings on the value of the whole business, debt included, against the operating profit analysts expect next year (forward EV/EBITDA), runs 2,000 simulations across its inputs and takes the midpoint. The full method is documented here.
What changed in the latest valuation?
On 24 Oct 2026 the model's fair value for SLGN was $41.05. As of 31 Oct 2026 it is $40.64, a change of -1.0%. The model revalues every stock it covers each week, and again after an earnings report.
Questions about Silgan Holdings's valuation
Is Silgan Holdings stock undervalued or overvalued?
On Faircurve's model, SLGN reads as Fairly valued as of 31 Oct 2026. The model's fair value is $40.64 a share against a last close of $41.51, a gap of -2.1%.
What is SLGN's fair value?
$40.64 a share as of 31 Oct 2026, the midpoint of 2,000 simulations. The model's own 20th to 80th percentile range is $24.49 to $59.22.
What price range does the model give SLGN?
$32.92 to $48.54 over 63 trading days. Ranges built this way held the price 60% of the time across 10,454 past valuations, refreshed 31 Oct 2026.
When does Silgan Holdings report earnings next?
The next report is scheduled for 26 Jan 2027. Companies can move their dates.
How much has SLGN moved on past earnings reports?
Across its last 8 reports the median two session move was 9.2%, ignoring direction. The largest was -16.6% around the report of 30 Jul 2025.
How confident is the model in this valuation?
The model's evidence grade for SLGN is medium. The grade looks at how complete the inputs are, how many comparable companies there are and how closely they agree, and how wide the range of outcomes is. It is not a probability that the fair value is right, or that the price reaches it.
The model's own ideas on SLGN
The model has an idea open on SLGN under Earnings Momentum since 4 Nov 2026, a strategy with a proving record. Signed-in readers see the rule each idea runs on, the floor and the exit level the model set and its time limit, and the model's closed ideas on SLGN with their outcomes. A free account is enough.