Industry ยท Oct 2026
Security & Protection Services stocks ranked by gap to the model's fair value
Faircurve's model values 8 security & protection services stocks. 6 of them are ranked below by the gap between the model's fair value and the last close, as of 31 Oct 2026: 2 read as Undervalued, 4 as Fairly valued and 0 as Overvalued. The median gap across the ranked names is +5.4%. The widest gaps above the price are ADT (+25.6%), CXW (+19.7%), MSA (+9.7%). The widest below it are BCO (-6.9%), GEO (+0.9%), BRC (+1.1%).
Valuations as of . Prices are the closes of 3 Nov 2026. The gap is the model's fair value against the price: a positive gap means the fair value is above the price. It states what the model concluded, not where the price goes next.
The ranking
| Rank | Company | Last close | Model fair value | Gap | Model verdict | Quality score | Market value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ADT ADT Inc. | $9.85 | $12.37 | +25.6% | Undervalued | 60 | $6.7B |
| 2 | CXW CoreCivic, Inc. | $30.97 | $37.08 | +19.7% | Undervalued | 61 | $3.1B |
| 3 | MSA MSA Safety Incorporated | $174.06 | $190.93 | +9.7% | Fairly valued | 69 | $6.9B |
| 4 | BRC Brady Corporation | $82.49 | $83.38 | +1.1% | Fairly valued | 72 | $3.9B |
| 5 | GEO The GEO Group, Inc. | $28.07 | $28.33 | +0.9% | Fairly valued | 45 | $3.8B |
| 6 | BCO The Brink's Company | $108.00 | $100.53 | -6.9% | Fairly valued | 61 | $4.2B |
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Valued but not ranked
These 2 names are valued but not ranked, for one of four reasons: the model grades the evidence as low or has not graded it yet, the inputs are under review, the gap is wider than 60%, or the valuation is more than three weeks old. The numbers are shown for reference.
| Company | Last close | Model fair value | Gap | Why it is not ranked | Quality score | Market value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALLE Allegion plc | $189.35 | $170.85 | -9.8% | Low evidence grade | 79 | $15.9B |
| NSSC Napco Security Technologies, Inc. | $31.77 | $36.87 | +16.1% | Low evidence grade | 84 | $1.4B |
More in Industrials
- Industrial Machinery 46
- Aerospace & Defense 26
- Engineering & Construction 18
- Electrical Equipment & Parts 12
- Industrial Distribution 12
- Specialty Business Services 12
- Integrated Freight & Logistics 10
- Trucking 10
- Airlines, Airports & Air Services 7
- Rental & Leasing Services 7
- Tools & Accessories 7
- Agricultural Machinery 6
- Railroads 6
- Conglomerates 5
- Metal Fabrication 5
- Staffing & Employment Services 5
- Waste Management 5