Industry ยท Oct 2026
Restaurant stocks ranked by gap to the model's fair value
Faircurve's model values 16 restaurant stocks. 12 of them are ranked below by the gap between the model's fair value and the last close, as of 31 Oct 2026: 3 read as Undervalued, 8 as Fairly valued and 1 as Overvalued. The median gap across the ranked names is -0.8%. The widest gaps above the price are EAT (+46.9%), BJRI (+33.2%), DRI (+16.3%). The widest below it are CAVA (-22.8%), BROS (-11.5%), WING (-9.8%).
Valuations as of . Prices are the closes of 3 Nov 2026. The gap is the model's fair value against the price: a positive gap means the fair value is above the price. It states what the model concluded, not where the price goes next.
The ranking
| Rank | Company | Last close | Model fair value | Gap | Model verdict | Quality score | Market value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EAT Brinker International, Inc. | $207.41 | $304.67 | +46.9% | Undervalued | 80 | $8.8B |
| 2 | BJRI BJ's Restaurants, Inc. | $60.62 | $80.73 | +33.2% | Undervalued | 57 | $1.3B |
| 3 | DRI Darden Restaurants, Inc. | $219.39 | $255.26 | +16.3% | Undervalued | 56 | $24.9B |
| 4 | TXRH Texas Roadhouse, Inc. | $184.49 | $192.57 | +4.4% | Fairly valued | 74 | $12.0B |
| 5 | CBRL Cracker Barrel Old Country Store | $68.33 | $69.42 | +1.6% | Fairly valued | 40 | $1.6B |
| 6 | CMG Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. | $33.26 | $33.40 | +0.4% | Fairly valued | 63 | $40.4B |
| 7 | MCD McDonald's Corporation | $263.04 | $257.72 | -2.0% | Fairly valued | 50 | $182.7B |
| 8 | YUM Yum! Brands, Inc. | $157.01 | $147.57 | -6.0% | Fairly valued | 58 | $42.4B |
| 9 | SBUX Starbucks Corporation | $104.77 | $95.69 | -8.7% | Fairly valued | 56 | $118.2B |
| 10 | WING Wingstop Inc. | $161.57 | $145.67 | -9.8% | Fairly valued | 66 | $4.1B |
| 11 | BROS Dutch Bros Inc. | $43.58 | $38.59 | -11.5% | Fairly valued | 54 | $8.1B |
| 12 | CAVA CAVA Group, Inc. | $60.31 | $46.56 | -22.8% | Overvalued | 58 | $6.9B |
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Valued but not ranked
These 4 names are valued but not ranked, for one of four reasons: the model grades the evidence as low or has not graded it yet, the inputs are under review, the gap is wider than 60%, or the valuation is more than three weeks old. The numbers are shown for reference.
| Company | Last close | Model fair value | Gap | Why it is not ranked | Quality score | Market value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPZ Domino's Pizza, Inc. | $323.09 | $350.00 | +8.3% | Low evidence grade | 76 | $10.3B |
| PZZA Papa John's International, Inc. | $18.56 | $23.81 | +28.3% | Low evidence grade | 60 | $608M |
| SHAK Shake Shack Inc. | $70.14 | $88.50 | +26.2% | Data under review | 68 | $2.8B |
| WEN The Wendy's Company | $7.27 | $7.53 | +3.6% | Low evidence grade | 60 | $1.4B |